2014/2015 season

[cogiditopapa]

WestHam - Liverpool
Over 3 at 2.10 (0.5 units)

[cogiditopapa]

PortlandTimbers - WhiteCaps
BTTS at 1.61 (2.12 units)
Over 3 at 2.05 (1 unit)

PhiladelphiaUnion - HoustonDinamo
BTTS at 1.67 (1 unit)
Over 2.5 at 2.15 (1 unit)

ColumbusCrew - NewEngland
BTTS at 1.71 (1 unit)
Over 2.5 at 1.825 (1 unit)

[cogiditopapa]

9/20

Everton - CrystalPalace
Over 2.5 at 1.77 (6 units)
Over 3 at 2.20 (3.6 units)

Wolfsburg -BayernLeverkusen
Over 3 at 1.90 (1 unit)

Leicester - ManU
Over 2.5 at 1.71 (2 units)

Cordoba - Sevilla
Sevilla -1 at 2.85 (1 unit)

[cogiditopapa]

Municipal - Coatepeque
Municapal -1.5 at 1.90 (8.88 units)
Over 2.5 at 1.75 (10.66 units)

Coatepeque will play with reserves only at municipal stadium "el trebol". the A squad didn't travel to the city of Guatemala for this match due to unpaid salaries for the past 2 months. Both bets were the maximum limits I was allow in BET365.

Guastatoya - Comunicaciones
Comunicaciones DNB at 2.20 (4.46 units)

[dk70]

No Guatamala for me at 5dimes. Good luck today!

[dk70]

Fantastic Day! Great job!

[cogiditopapa]

Thanks DK, good info paid off. Too bad you have no Guatemalan League in 5Dimes.

[jontebond]

Thanks DK, good info paid off. Too bad you have no Guatemalan League in 5Dimes.

Jesus, you have been killing it this Sunday! Great work!

[cogiditopapa]

Thanks Jonte. It was a good day. Good info paid off.

[cogiditopapa]

Guastatoya - Comunicaciones
Comunicaciones DNB at 2.20 (2.2 units)
Comunicaciones ML at 3.0 (3.097 units)

In the DNB play I just added 2.2 units more to the existing bet I posted this morning. I only added 2.2 units more as it was the maximum allowed by BET365. Win or lose I will count the DNB play as 1.

[cogiditopapa]

Chivas - Queretaro
Over 2.5 at 2.20 (2.2 units)

[cogiditopapa]

9/20 - 9/21

10W-1P-6L
+8.4069 units

Record
128W-30-113L
+78.44 units

[cogiditopapa]

9/22

Getafe - Valencia
Valencia ML at 2.00 (1.8796 units)

Valencinnes - Clermont
Over 2.5 at 2.25 (1 unit)

[cogiditopapa]

9/22

2W-0P-0L
+3.1296 units

Record
130W-30P-113L
+81.5696 units



I have now triple up my original bankroll.


Time = 55 days (from 7/31 to 9/22)
wagers placed = 243
ROI = 203.924%
Winning rate = 53.49%


my next objective is another +40 units. My unit size is still the same, 1 unit = $50.00.

[dk70]

Great job and thanks for sharing!

[WinterRaven]

Congratulations man you're making really good progress. I'm just starting to get back some of my original bankroll thanks to you lol.

By the way, how do you come up with your picks if you don't mind me asking? Do you just look at news about injuries and stuff like that or do you have some system involving stats or something else?

[cogiditopapa]

Thanks both!

to your question Winter. I do read a lot and I research as much as possible. Stats and info are definitely the key. I try to pick my spots as best as possible to place my wagers. I do not bet just to have action. When I bet, I must have a piece of info that triggers my bet or I must have seen the team played quite of few times.

I very seldom place bets based on stats only. Also my units size reflect how confident I am in play as you have seen. I try to be as discipline as possible to stick to what I know, I push hard when the info I have is good but I also bet small or I just stay away if the puzzle between the stats and info don't add up, even if I like the game very much.

In short words I think discipline to wait for the right bet is critical, we all love to have action but action is the worst thing to do. It destroys bankrolls quick.

[WinterRaven]

Thanks for the answer. That makes sense to me. I think my problem when I started betting during this year's World Cup is what you just said. I would bet almost every match even if I didn't know much about the teams involved. I sometimes still have that problem (though I bet fewer games), but I guess it's just something I have to be aware of from now on.

[cogiditopapa]

My pleasure. Keep it in mind and it should work, so far it has for me, I have try to keep focus everyday just like you do.

[cogiditopapa]

9/23

RealMadrid - Elche
Over 4.5 at 2.55 (0.66 units)

CeltaDeVigo - DeportivoLaCoruña
Over 2.5 at 1.95 (1.06 units)

[cogiditopapa]

PortlandTimbers - AlphaUnited
Over 4,4.5 at 1.90 (19.04 units)
Over 4.5 at 2.05 (12 units)
Portland -3.5 at 1.83 (11.4554 units)

Portland playing at home against the weakest team in the group. Portland must win this match in order to have a comfortable lead to play the last game of the group against Olimpia from Honduras, in Honduras. Alpha united is an amateur team, the League in. Guyana is semi-professional. Olímpia won 6-0 their match against Guyana in Honduras. Portland won the game in Guyana 1-4, the field was in poor shape in Guyana. Portland field is in a much better shape, supporters are loud and Portland had been a scoring machine so far (Coach Coleb has been rotating his team completely in the past 2 games and both have seen wins by 4-2 against. Olimpia and 3-0 against Vancouver).The trip from Guyana to Portland was 4,700 miles. Longest in CCL history.

[MustWinPlease]

You are putting 19 units on over 4.5 goals corrcect?

[cogiditopapa]

In the Over 4,4.5 I have 19 units, this was the maximum allowed combined between bet365 and Pinnacle.
In the Over 4.5 I have 12 units. This was over the limit at Bovada but they approved it.
In the -3.5, 5 units was max bet allowed in Bovada. The rest was placed on BET365.

[cogiditopapa]

FYI, Bovada approved a 10 units bet on -3.5 so I now have a total of 11.4554 units in this play.

[cogiditopapa]

SportingKC - RealEsteli
Over 3.5 at 2.05 (1.7526)

[mrlif1]

i see nothing past Portland rolling hard tonight.. gl

[MustWinPlease]

portland aint trying atm

[dk70]

6-0 88'

[dk70]

Big Hit Gogiditopapa!!

[cogiditopapa]

Good info paid off again. DK, win and mr if you placed a bet on this congrats. Cheers.

[cogiditopapa]

9/23

5W-0P-1L
+39.5213 units

Record
135W-30P-114L
+121.0909 units

I have now quadruple up my original bankroll.

Time = 56 days (from 7/31 to 9/23)
wagers placed = 249
ROI = 302.7272 %
Winning rate = 54.2168%

time to achieve this objective = 1 day (9/23)

my next objective is another +40 units. My unit size is still the same, 1 unit = $50.00.

[mrlif1]

[cogiditopapa]

9/24

Granada - Levante
Granada -1 at 2.05 (5.06 units)

RayoVallecano - AthleticBilbao
Over 2.5 at 1.91 (1.10 units)

Almeria - AtleticoMadrid
Almeria +1 at 1.87 (1.16 units)

Malaga - Barcelona
-1.5 at 2.10 (9 units)

[cogiditopapa]

Pachuca - Municipal
Over 3,3.5 at 1.87 (9.4 units)
Over 3.5 at 2.05 (23 units)
Pachuca -2 at 1.71 (7 units)
Pachuca -2,-2,5 at 1.95 (3.08)
Pachuca -3 at 3.00 (1.7446)

Pachuca will go for a win to secure the qualification to the next round, they will have one game left when they visit Real España in Honduras, but this last game should be of no importance as Real España is already out of chances to qualify. Municipal will be without 3 key players the most important one is Carlos "el pesacadito" Ruiz some of you may remember him from his time in MLS (LAGalaxy), he is also the machine that moves Municipal forward without him Municipal has very little chance of damaging Pachuca. In the last outing this 2,teams exchange a total of 10 goals, Pachuca won as a visitor 7-3 to municipal in Estadio Mateo Flores in Guatemala City. I watch the game and I follow municipal as they are from my home country Guatemala, their defense is shaky. Municipal must win this match to have any hope as they seat 2nd in the group with 4 points but Pachuca is two levels above Municipal and with missing key players will be mission impossible to damage Pachuca in anyway.

[dk70]

Curious as to why the Granada line moved against us? +117 to +145