2014/2015 season

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  • cashin81
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-10-14
    • 12946

    #316
    beautiful 0-4
    Comment
    • Springhettios
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-22-14
      • 227

      #317
      Nice call!
      Comment
      • cogiditopapa
        SBR MVP
        • 08-03-10
        • 3489

        #318
        Nice game guys. Definitely Neymar makes this team so much better. 4 shots on target 4 goals....that is accuracy.
        Comment
        • cogiditopapa
          SBR MVP
          • 08-03-10
          • 3489

          #319
          Adding for today:

          Ecuador - ElSalvador
          Ecuador -1 at 1.51 (2 units)

          Colombia - Canada
          Colombia -1.5 at 1.67 (1.5 units)

          Denmark - Portugal
          Over 2.5 at 2.15 (0.25 units)

          Poland - Scotland
          Poland ML at 1.83 (0.25 units)
          Comment
          • Springhettios
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-22-14
            • 227

            #320
            Quick question, man. So how much research goes into each game? And is this research like previous knowledge you have of the team because you have watched them or is it current form, statistics, etc. I try to look up previews for each game to see certain team news and previous form but I am unsure of what else should be done for research. For the Poland match do you feel good about that ML. I am thinking of taking it but I saw you only put down .25 units. Keep up the good work, you're killing it!
            Comment
            • cogiditopapa
              SBR MVP
              • 08-03-10
              • 3489

              #321
              Hey bro, in that game Specially I watch them play Germany,I really just think they got momentum. In addition I read a couple of articles where it was stated that in the last match that this 2 teams played last lewandowski didn't feature in that game. So this bet is more based on current form. As for how confident I am, you can see that reflected on my bet, only 0.25 = $25, I am not confident to put more money on this game as I don't have more info to feel confident to lay down more. In most of the European Qualifiers you will see that my bets will be around that Same stake as I don't have much information but when I bet is mostly because I have seen the teams play and some stats go into the equation.

              Total different case most of the time for CONCACAF & Conmebol domestic leagues & Tourneys even national teams. I have seen them play so many times and I keep up with what is going on with must of them. If you see 95% or my main plays come from the Americas and mostly CONCACAF. GL bro! And thanks for your kind comment.
              Comment
              • cogiditopapa
                SBR MVP
                • 08-03-10
                • 3489

                #322
                One question that I always ask after I add the current form + team news + current stats +H2H games (if available) is "can the trend continue"?, why? I see each team as a stock and teams develop patterns which become trends, it is critical to understand when a team is on the rise (bull) or on decrement (bear).

                The perfect example and recent is Brazil, after hitting the lowest part of their trend at the end of the WC changes needed to be made, this must of the time indicates you that a change of pattern is coming therefore the trend is about to change. In the 1st game they played against Colombia in this very same forum a capper posted that Brazil will lose against Colombia, the capper mind was still stuck on Germany or Netherlands vs Brazil. I stated that Brazil will not lose the game, why? Brazil made a urgent change in their team, this was the beginning to a new pattern (look to win games again), Brazil has a fatherhood over Colombia, not even the best Colombian team when Asprilla, Valencia and Valderrama was around were able to get a result agains Brazil, Colombia even though one of the good teams at WC still has a long way to go before they can battle head to head against a team like Brazil. Any how, I ended up betting live on the draw as I was watching the game, I thought Brazil will not lose and that for me was already a change pattern (I only bet $25 on that game, I lost the bet). Then the Ecuador game came and then the Argentina game (I dint bet on both of them) after seen Brazil winning both against top opponents in South America I confirmed that Brazil has now changed the pattern and has created a new trend, now insert the original equation at the begging of the paragraph and everything point in the right direction of the trend that is why I know feel confident to lay down 25 units = $2500 on Brazil. If you see the lines they were very good, one of the lines I picked up was Brazil -1 at 1.62 that is also another encouragement to increase my bet. I don't mind the juice on a game like this.

                Hope this example helps.
                Comment
                • Springhettios
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-22-14
                  • 227

                  #323
                  Thanks for the explanation!! I really wish I had put more down on that game but I was in a rut and wasn't 100% sure with making picks. Haha
                  Comment
                  • dk70
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-08-12
                    • 636

                    #324
                    Thanks for the big winner!
                    Comment
                    • cogiditopapa
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-03-10
                      • 3489

                      #325
                      I am glad you both also made some units in this play!
                      Comment
                      • MustWinPlease
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-18-14
                        • 750

                        #326
                        hey man are you confident on ecuador, colombia and USA winning?
                        Comment
                        • cogiditopapa
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-03-10
                          • 3489

                          #327
                          Adding:

                          Ecuador - ElSalvador
                          Ecuador -1,-1.5 at 1.70 (1.81 units)

                          USA - Honduras
                          USA -1 at 1.65 (6.25 units)

                          Colombia - Canada
                          Over 2.5 at 1.67 (1.5 units)

                          Peru - Guatemala
                          Guatemala +1.5 at 1.71 (0.8 units)
                          Guatemala +1 at 2.43 (0.5 units)
                          Guatemala ML at 11.01 (0.10 units)
                          Comment
                          • cogiditopapa
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-03-10
                            • 3489

                            #328
                            Originally posted by MustWinPlease
                            hey man are you confident on ecuador, colombia and USA winning?
                            All 3 should win today.
                            Ecuador - ElSalvador
                            Ecuador is now one of the top 5 teams in SouthAmerica, they have a pretty decent attack. I think this game will be something like the game they played against Bolivia a few days ago. El Salvador is actually a good surprise, they played ok for about 35-40 min against Colombia, I think El Salvador will do the same today but as stated by their coach Roca, there is difference in the level of play and they are here to learn.

                            USA - Honduras
                            Klisnmman called out the heavyweights for this match (Jones, Bradley, Besler, Suzi, Dempsey, Altidore). The US always play to win no matter what and today Klisnmman will use a mix of experienced and new players which after watching the matches against CzechRepiblic and Ecuador they looked pretty good, now with the heavyweights added The US should have better midfield control and good attacking power. Honduras is in transition process, the coach Hernan Medford more than likely will be let go after this round of friendly matches, Honduras had a terrible performance at the UNCAF cup and they carry that in the game against Mexico were they were just not able to create much. Rumors are that Coach Pinto (former CostaRica WC coach will be the new coach for Honduras shortly, if this happens expect honduras to start playing way better and start winning matches but not tonight based on the info on hand).

                            Colombia - Canada
                            Colombia we all know about the players and pace that Colombia is currently having not much to say about that. Canada is in the process of rebuilding their team, a mix of youngsters, unattached players and a mix of Montreal impact, TorontoFC and Whitecaps will take the field against Colombia. Canada finally won their 1st match in 2 years in the last match played against Jamaica. I expect an organized team trying to hold the Colombian midfield and forwards, coach Floro don't expect a result in the scoreboard against Colombia but he does expect to use this as a learning experience as his project is looking forward to Copa de Oro next year and also the CONCACAF WCQ.
                            Comment
                            • sneakerhead
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-14-10
                              • 7727

                              #329
                              Going to USA game, best of luck!
                              Might parlay USA/Columbia ML.
                              Comment
                              • cogiditopapa
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-03-10
                                • 3489

                                #330
                                Originally posted by sneakerhead
                                Going to USA game, best of luck!
                                Might parlay USA/Columbia ML.
                                Man that sound like a lot of fun! Enjoy it and I like your parlay! Go USA!
                                Comment
                                • MustWinPlease
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-18-14
                                  • 750

                                  #331
                                  thanks for the preview cogiditopapa!
                                  tailing a few picks
                                  Comment
                                  • cogiditopapa
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-03-10
                                    • 3489

                                    #332
                                    GL and a few games to watch the next few hours then!
                                    Comment
                                    • MustWinPlease
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-18-14
                                      • 750

                                      #333
                                      FFS USA, couldnt even beat Honduras ffs.
                                      Comment
                                      • cogiditopapa
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-03-10
                                        • 3489

                                        #334
                                        Klisnmman and his changes... Well nothing we can do about this gentleman.
                                        Comment
                                        • Springhettios
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 02-22-14
                                          • 227

                                          #335
                                          Bad day for me just got worse. Haha, USA looked awful.
                                          Comment
                                          • cogiditopapa
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-03-10
                                            • 3489

                                            #336
                                            10/8 - 10/14

                                            15W-4P-13L
                                            +7.6209 units

                                            Record
                                            184W-39P-171L
                                            +84.7088 units
                                            Comment
                                            • sneakerhead
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 07-14-10
                                              • 7727

                                              #337
                                              Terrible 2nd half by USA, they barely maintained possession, you could see that Honduras just wanted it more and played their hearts out.
                                              And, Klinsman pulled everyone out towards the end, could just feel a tying goal was coming at the stadium.
                                              Comment
                                              • cogiditopapa
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-03-10
                                                • 3489

                                                #338
                                                Originally posted by sneakerhead
                                                Terrible 2nd half by USA, they barely maintained possession, you could see that Honduras just wanted it more and played their hearts out.
                                                And, Klinsman pulled everyone out towards the end, could just feel a tying goal was coming at the stadium.
                                                I saw it man! I could slowly felt how my units were running away from me. It must had been worst to see it at the stadium!. Klisnmman, I will never like him for not taking Donovan to the WC! =)
                                                Comment
                                                • cogiditopapa
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-03-10
                                                  • 3489

                                                  #339
                                                  10/15

                                                  Huachipato - SaoPaulo
                                                  SaoPaulo DNB at 1.83 (0.5 units)

                                                  BocaJuniors - DeportivoCapiata
                                                  Over 2.5 at 2.05 (0.5 units)

                                                  CesarVallejo - Bahia
                                                  Bahia DNB at 2.25 (0.5 units)

                                                  Goias - Emelec
                                                  Goias ML at 1.87 (0.5 units)

                                                  TampaBayRowdies - MinnesotaUnited
                                                  Over 2.5 at 1.75 (2.5 units)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cogiditopapa
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-03-10
                                                    • 3489

                                                    #340
                                                    10/16

                                                    HoustonDinamo - NewEnglandRevolution
                                                    NewEnglandRevolution DNB at 2.02 (0.5 units)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cogiditopapa
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-03-10
                                                      • 3489

                                                      #341
                                                      10/17

                                                      Lens - PSG
                                                      Lens +1 at 2.67 (1 unit)
                                                      Lens +0.5 at 3.55 (0.5 units)

                                                      LeHavre - Angers
                                                      Over 2 at 1.78 (1 unit)

                                                      Heidemheim - Kaiserslautern
                                                      Over 2.5 at 1.77 (0.25 units)

                                                      GimnasiaLaPlata - Olimpo
                                                      Over 2 at 1.91 (0.25 units)

                                                      Quilmes - AtleticoRafaela
                                                      AtleticoRafaela DNB at 2.10 (0.25 units)

                                                      Monarcas - Veracruz
                                                      Draw at 3.40 (0.35 units)
                                                      FT Correct Score 1-1 at 6.50 (0.15 units)

                                                      PortlandTimbers - RSL
                                                      Over 2.5 at 1.65 (1.64 units)
                                                      Over 3 at 2.0 (3.491 units)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Springhettios
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 02-22-14
                                                        • 227

                                                        #342
                                                        Originally posted by cogiditopapa
                                                        10/16

                                                        HoustonDinamo - NewEnglandRevolution
                                                        NewEnglandRevolution DNB at 2.02 (0.5 units)

                                                        Keep it up!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dk70
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 01-08-12
                                                          • 636

                                                          #343
                                                          Thanks for the winner
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cogiditopapa
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-03-10
                                                            • 3489

                                                            #344
                                                            Glad we cash that one out! Jones is a machine in the midfield!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cogiditopapa
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-03-10
                                                              • 3489

                                                              #345
                                                              UCatolica - LDU
                                                              Draw at 3.40 (0.25 units)

                                                              Granada - RayoVallecano
                                                              RayoVallecano DNB at 2.45 (0.25 units)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • donny1266
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-13-14
                                                                • 1076

                                                                #346
                                                                You probably already know this but just for others, the Lens game is being played in Paris at the stade de France whilst lens home ground is being renovated. They have no home games for a while. Might affect the result being in PSGs home city.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cogiditopapa
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-03-10
                                                                  • 3489

                                                                  #347
                                                                  Originally posted by donny1266
                                                                  You probably already know this but just for others, the Lens game is being played in Paris at the stade de France whilst lens home ground is being renovated. They have no home games for a while. Might affect the result being in PSGs home city.
                                                                  Donny, thank you for pointing this out, I was aware of that. My bet is based on PSG struggle to get results as of late and the added injury list, specially Ibra. I think when Ibra is not on the field is a huge liability for PSG. Lens on the other hand will be more than glad to get a result in this match, a draw sound like win I am sure. Current Lens coach knows PSG all too well.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • donny1266
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-13-14
                                                                    • 1076

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Ah no worries then. I think it'll be close maybe one goal in it either way. PSG not looking good this season.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dk70
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-08-12
                                                                      • 636

                                                                      #349
                                                                      What do you like for tomorrow cogiditopapa?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cogiditopapa
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-03-10
                                                                        • 3489

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Here DK.

                                                                        10/18

                                                                        ManCity - Tottenham
                                                                        ManCity -1,1.5 at 2.01 (1 unit)

                                                                        CrystalPalace - Chelsea
                                                                        Chelsea -1 at 1.70 (1 unit)

                                                                        Koln - BorussiaDortmund
                                                                        BorussiaDortmund -1 at 2.05 (0.5 units)

                                                                        Lille - Guingamp
                                                                        Lille ML at 1.68 (0.5 units)


                                                                        TorontoFC - Montreal
                                                                        Under 3 at 1.80 (1.5 units)

                                                                        ColoradoRapids - FCDallas
                                                                        FCDallas DNB at 1.92 (1 unit)

                                                                        SanJose - WC
                                                                        WC ML at 2.45 (2.5 units)
                                                                        WC 0.0, -0.5 at 1.95 (6 units)

                                                                        PhiladelphiaUnion - SKC
                                                                        SKC DNB at 2.02 (1.5 units)
                                                                        Comment
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