The Karayilan thread

Spaceviews · 07-17-09, 02:32 PM

HELLO Karayilan, Took a blind shot at this thing & parlayed galway Ov-(2) bray wanderers Ov-(2)& tottenham U-(3) Who knows Maybe I'll get lucky

Lets break a leg today!!!!

Spaceviews · 07-17-09, 02:34 PM

NEED Galway to pick it up!!!!!

kmarinouofm · 07-17-09, 02:46 PM

please no one take this the wrong way but lets not really post in this thread... i know by writing this its counterproductive.. but me and Roag are trying to twitter these picks out to everyone.. Karayilan is almost impossible to catch sometimes.. so when we see activity in this thread we jump all over it so we can tell everyone about the pick...But to come back time and time again for no reason just sucks.. Especially if you are posting plays.. just do it in a new thread.. this is THE KARAYILAN THREAD so lets keep it that way.. if you want his picks sent to your phone or twitter just join our Twitter list and you will be all set..if you want to thank him for the pick after the game .. i am all for that.. i do it myself...or if you want to tell him you agree with his pick.. again go ahead, i do that myself sometimes... but don't clog up this thread for no reason...

This thread is like a bear trap.. and every time me or Roag here it go off, we come running to see what animal we caught... only to find out its one of our neighbors who got snagged in the trap...

Spaceviews · 07-17-09, 02:57 PM

My APOLOGIES

I don't know how the twitter system works. Sorry guys

rezkoness69 · 07-17-09, 03:02 PM

haha great metaphor...nice pick with the galaxy Kara, i had them on the money line...also, although I dont have an account, its nice of you guys to take the time to twitter these plays. When I go on trips, I'll have to use it.

Oops, i got stuck in the "trap" again.

Karayilan9 · 07-18-09, 11:28 AM

MLS Toronto FC v Houston Dynamo - Under 2.5 Goals -125 (1.8) WIN

Today we have a conference showdown, the leaders of the East vs the leaders of the West. Houston are heading to the end of their four game road stretch and have been having a tough time, their incredible unbeaten record came to an end against LA Galaxy and they lost their last game to Seattle. Form wise both teams are pretty much equal. However, Houston has been hit hard by loosing so many key players and being on a road trip at the same time. Ching and Holden their top strikers are out, however, Toronto is missing key striker Ali Gerba aswell. Houston will want to leave this match without a loss, a draw would be a good result considering the situation. Toronto will go for the win but will be cautious, both teams will have respect for each other and try not to give the other team alot of space or room to attack. I expect a low scoring game in this match up.

oda11 · 07-18-09, 02:07 PM

Phew, last penalty kick had me sweating! Great call again K!

Karayilan9 · 07-18-09, 03:52 PM

The missing strikers had a huge impact like I predicted in the last game, they had so many clear cut chances but could only convert them into two goals, the pitch was disgusting, they were running over hills and climbing mountains on the field today, it looked real bad.

Anyway hope you all cashed on that one

Brazil Serie A - Fluminese vs Goias - Under 2.5 Goals 2.07 (+107) LOSS

These are two teams who have been having stinkers lately, they have both lost their last 2 games, Fluminese haven't won in 7 games. There goal record at home is the lowest in the league by a margin, in 6 games they have scored 3 goals and let in 5, 80% of their home games have been Under 2.5 goals. However, 80% of Goias road games have been Over 2.5 goals. But they have been slowing down in their last games, they have only scored 1 goal in their last 3. In addition to this, Fluminese turned their last game into a scene from Fight Club, it was anything goes, 4 red cards later, they are now missing their two best players, star striker Fred and midfielder Diquinho. These teams played a game 3 days ago and may be tired from that game. This could be a low scoring game, 90% of the money is on the Over and Fluminese win, I don't see Fluminese winning this match either.

UPDATE! Fluminense v Goias - Goias +0.5 -110 (1.9) WIN

I have a Twitter now aswell

Karayilan9 · 07-18-09, 09:31 PM

Almost a clean sweep again, the Fluminese game was 0-0 at half time and as I explained before in this thread in these situations I hedge the game. Anyway Goias came back from 1-0 down to trash Fluminese 4-1.

There are MLS and Brazil Serie A games tomorrow, should have some picks posted up soon

TheLock · 07-18-09, 09:33 PM

Nice work.

ASH0479 · 07-19-09, 01:23 AM

////

cant wait to see them

lelicek · 07-19-09, 02:20 AM

please KARAYILAN, i repeat it again : post your picks longer beffore kick off..one half hour mainly on midnight games (for me as european) do not suffice for me to win with you !
PLEASE !!!

kmarinouofm · 07-19-09, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by lelicek

please KARAYILAN, i repeat it again : post your picks longer beffore kick off..one half hour mainly on midnight games (for me as european) do not suffice for me to win with you !
PLEASE !!!

do you want him to place them for you too?? Isn't it enough that he started a Twitter account. So people get it sent to their phones ... U want the picks. Wait like we do. It's worth it

TheLock · 07-19-09, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by lelicek

please KARAYILAN, i repeat it again : post your picks longer beffore kick off..one half hour mainly on midnight games (for me as european) do not suffice for me to win with you !
PLEASE !!!

Um, shut up.

Karayilan9 · 07-19-09, 01:04 PM

Brazil Serie A the GRENAL DERBY - Gremio vs Internacional - Over 2.5 Goals +100 (2) WIN

The big GRE-NAL derby, this is the 100 year anniversary of this huge match up, this game is more than just a game, the rivalry is intense, the importance of this game goes deeper than football its one of the most important events to the people of the region.

Ever since Gremio got knocked out the Copa Libertadores they have took the league by storm and climbed up the table, every game since then has also been Over 2.5 goals. Internacional is currently 3rd, last game they had their defender Glaydson sent off while Gremio in their last game had defender Thiego sent off. Winning this match means everything to both teams, there h2h records are pretty even, Internacional edge it. Star striker Maxi Lopez is back for this game for Gremio, however, Internacional want to show their stars are better. Both teams are hyped up for these games and traditionally there have been goals between these teams.

Brazil Serie A - Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro - Over 2.5 Goals 1.72 (-138) LOSS

These two teams are on fire, Vitoria is averaging 3 goals a game at home and so are Atletico. Vitoria has played 5 won 5, scored 16 and conceded 5 goals @ home, AM have played 6 games, won 4 draw 1 lost 1, scored 17 let in 10. Vitoria's home record is ridiculous, they have an advantage due to their geographic location aswell. Vitoria has the leagues top goal scorer Roger, AM has the most deadly strike partnership in the leageu, Lewis and Tardelli have combined to score 14 goals. These are two teams who are on a roll, both will go for the win in this game, Vitoria can't be faded at home but AM have the potential to cause an upset, I see the value in there being a few goals in this game.

Brazil Serie A - Atletico Paranease vs Coritiba - Over 2.5 Goals 1.70 (-140) LOSS

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EDIT: Also I will be playing a parlay, every Brazil Serie A game Over 2.5 goals @ +10000

kmarinouofm · 07-19-09, 01:11 PM

Where can u lay such a unique bet like over 1.5

Karayilan9 · 07-19-09, 01:26 PM

Kmarin, I was meant to write 2.5 goals, you can do it at Bet365, Betfair, quite a few books have the option. Don't go crazy on it but there is an outside chance of this happening and I'll take it at small stakes.

kmarinouofm · 07-19-09, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by Karayilan9

Kmarin, I was meant to write 2.5 goals, you can do it at Bet365, Betfair, quite a few books have the option. Don't go crazy on it but there is an outside chance of this happening and I'll take it at small stakes.

Oh i knew you could parlay all of them if i wanted.. i was just wondering where you find a o/u on 1.5 goals...

but now that you told me it was mistake it makes perfect sense

aznjeff07 · 07-19-09, 01:39 PM

my book has vitoria over 3 for -102. Is it still worth a play?

Karayilan9 · 07-19-09, 01:44 PM

Kmarinouofm
Oh i knew you could parlay all of them if i wanted.. i was just wondering where you find a o/u on 1.5 goals...

You can do Over 1.5 goals parlay on Bet365, the odds arn't as good but I think its likely to hit, you can get it for +500 / +600 but I don't play parlays for any meaningful stakes, I capped every game today as possibly going Over 2.5 games but don't play more than 3 games at a time so I'll parlay them all and see what happens.

Engine · 07-19-09, 02:01 PM

Tailing the goal crazy parlay. Should be fun.

Thanks, Karayilan!

Spaceviews · 07-19-09, 02:03 PM

I did the same (parlayed all Brazil ser.A games, 8 in all) 5 to win 350 something (i could only find 7 of those games , but parlayed them all for sh#ts & giggles. LETS BREAK A LEG!!!!!

gilbert91016 · 07-19-09, 02:21 PM

Good luck everybody whit u guys on the parlay. And plays

Karayilan9 · 07-19-09, 04:13 PM

Brazil Serie A - Barueri vs Nautico - Barueri -1 2 (+100) WIN

xmrblueduckyx · 07-19-09, 04:35 PM

hey kar, what book do you use?

Karayilan9 · 07-19-09, 06:20 PM

xmrblueduckyx
hey kar, what book do you use?

I am barred from most local books, they won't take my money cos they don't like winners but this worked out a blessing in disguise as there is much more value online. I have accounts with most of the big online books and shop around for the best lines, I recommend you do this if you want to catch the best odds there can be big differences in the lines!

Barueri destroyed Nautico 4-0, 2-2 on the night, missed my parlay with the 2 teams that should have had the easiest Overs. Vitoria and Atletico Mineiro forgot how to score today as did Coritiba and AP, they will be back to scoring next week.

The GRENAL derby was an intense game, loved the passion and it won us the money.

7-3 for the weekend, good but we can do better!

Spaceviews · 07-19-09, 06:28 PM

Thanx Karyilan

I rode that parlay train as well. Close man........Close

I figured if YOU were gonna parlay all those they were worth a small wager on each

You"ve got some SERIOUS skills my friend!!

THANX AGAIN

Karayilan9 · 07-19-09, 06:47 PM

SpaceViews

Thanx Karyilan

I rode that parlay train as well. Close man........Close

I figured if YOU were gonna parlay all those they were worth a small wager on each

You"ve got some SERIOUS skills my friend!!

THANX AGAIN

The Overs went 6-2, I capped each game to go Over, we'll get one of these big parlays soon

There are Brazil games every day from the 19th-26th, there should be a few nice plays among them.

Current Record: W 114. P 10. L 65

TurkzZ · 07-19-09, 08:07 PM

nice picks man, we are killing the brazilian league here

bigjonson · 07-19-09, 08:09 PM

Around and about: when are picks posted?

I seem to always miss them hehe

kmarinouofm · 07-19-09, 08:10 PM

Yeah you guys have been dancing a samba around these games lately. Keep it up and we will all be going to carnival this year

Karayilan9 · 07-19-09, 08:17 PM

Kmarinouofm thanks! you watching the CF America vs Inter game! take that to the bank

kmarinouofm · 07-19-09, 11:30 PM

Originally posted by Karayilan9

Kmarinouofm thanks! you watching the CF America vs Inter game! take that to the bank

i didn't watch it live.. did you ? If you did how did CF America look? I think they aren't going to get any respect from the books and we might be able to cash in on them a few more times...

Looks like i finished off the weekend nice with that CF America pick and the over in the Galaxy Game..I hope you played them too Karayilan... I am really excited man.. we got some nice soccer matchup's this week!!

mariomonte · 07-20-09, 02:20 AM

Originally posted by Karayilan9

The Overs went 6-2

Oh my.
Guess whose bets where exactly and only on the 2 0-0 games

Karayilan9 · 07-21-09, 07:21 PM

Brazil Serie A - Avai vs Gremio - Over 2.5 goals @ -111 (1.9)

I have been riding the Gremio Over train for five games now, they have had their last 8 games in a row go Over2.5 goals. Ever since they were eliminated from the Copa Libertadores they have been playing better in the league. The team is looking better with each game however, they have a serious problem on the road. Their record is awful, W0, D1, L4, I think tomorrow could be the day they get their first road win however, Avai are on the rise aswel and been impressive in their last games. These are two teams who have been scoring and starting to click as a team unit, 80% of Avai home games have gone Over, Avai has only kept a clean sheet once, Gremio has only achieved it twice. With Maxi Lopez fully fit, Mineiro, Souza... their is alot of attacking threat and talent on these teams while their defenses arn't watertight. The value is in the Over in this game.

Brazil Serie A - Flamengo vs Barueri - Over 2.5 goals @ -142 (1.7) / Barueri +0.5 @ +100 (2)

emio Barueri is one of the most in-form teams in the league in terms of not loosing, they are unbeaten in 9 games and have managed to score a crazy 28 goals in 12 games while conceding 17. Flamengo also have a great attack with Adriano and co but have serious worries in defense, they score alot but let in alot. Flamengo's form has been streaky, there is not much consistancy in their results and the defense keeps letting the side down. The leagues most potent attack against a frail defense could give us a few goals and Barueri could carry on their great run if Flamengo's carry on with their poor defense. Barueri is being underestimated in this game, mainly due to Flamengo having the big name and reputation.

Brazil Serie A - Goias vs Palmeires - Palmeires +0 , +0.5 @ -117 (1.85)

Palmeires are one of the if not the hottest teams in the league right now, ever since their Copa Libertadores exit, change of manager and change of playing style they have been on fire. They are unbeaten in over 10 games now and joint league leaders. Goias also is doing relatively well but struggles against the leagues stronger oppositions and has only managed draws or losses against the teams at the top of the table. Palmeires will be attracting the attention of European teams, Barcelona already snapped up Kerrison, the players will put in extra effort to get that recognition in these up comming games so we can expect to see the best of these teams. I don't expect Palmeires to loose this game.

More plays and write ups tomorrow.