In Soviet Russia, I Don`t Pick Odds, Odds Pick Me.

[evgeni99]

“The act of facing overwhelming odds produces greatness and beauty.”
― Malcolm Gladwell

[evgeni99]

#001
Peterborough - Walsall
Pick: Walsall to cover

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2804488-02-14-2014-peterborough-walsall-opinions.html

#002
Helmond - Oss
Pick: Oss to cover

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2805364-02-14-2014-helmond-oss-anyone-taking.html

[evgeni99]

#001
Peterborough - Walsall
Pick: Walsall to cover

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2804488-02-14-2014-peterborough-walsall-opinions.html

#002
Helmond - Oss
Pick: Oss to cover

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...ne-taking.html

1 Win - 1 Loss

[evgeni99]

#003
Fleetwood Town - Northampton
Pick: Northampton to cover (+0.5)

#004
Waalwijk - Nijmegen
Pick: Nijmegen to cover (+0.25)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2806264-villarreal-celta-vigo-waalwijk-nijmegen-two-upsets.html

#005
Villarreal - Celta Vigo
Pick: Celta Vigo to cover (+0.5)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2806264-villarreal-celta-vigo-waalwijk-nijmegen-two-upsets.html

[evgeni99]

#003
Fleetwood Town - Northampton
Pick: Northampton to cover (+0.5)

#004
Waalwijk - Nijmegen
Pick: Nijmegen to cover (+0.25)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2806264-villarreal-celta-vigo-waalwijk-nijmegen-two-upsets.html

#005
Villarreal - Celta Vigo
Pick: Celta Vigo to cover (+0.5)
http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...wo-upsets.html

3 Win - 2 Loss

[evgeni99]

#006
Verona - Torino
Pick: Torino to cover (+0.25)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2808180-verona-torino-opinions.html

[evgeni99]

#006
Verona - Torino
Pick: Torino to cover (+0.25)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...-opinions.html

4 Wins - 2 Losses

[evgeni99]

#007
Ajax - Salzburg
Pick: Salzburg to cover (+0.5)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2810544-ajax-salzburg.html

[GRIZZ]

You make some cheeky picks, nice so far. Might tail a few, BOL

[evgeni99]

#007
Ajax - Salzburg
Pick: Salzburg to cover (+0.5) (The pick changed to +0.25 day of the game, but still a win)


http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...-salzburg.html

5 Wins - 2 Losses

[evgeni99]

#008
Schalke - Mainz
Pick: Mainz to cover (+0.5)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...l#post21210176

#009
Troyes - Nancy
Pick: Troyes ML

[evgeni99]

#008
Schalke - Mainz
Pick: Mainz to cover (+0.5)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...l#post21210176

#009
Troyes - Nancy
Pick: Troyes ML

7 Wins - 2 Losses

[Vaughany]

Nice hits bud. mainz thoroughly deserved the point

[Semper Fidelis]

Good job buddy, glad I tailed you instead of everyone else that were all on Mainz!
Anything on tap for today? Huge slate of games to pick from.

[Semper Fidelis]

Edit: Schalke, not Mainz! lol

[evgeni99]

Good job buddy, glad I tailed you instead of everyone else that were all on Mainz!
Anything on tap for today? Huge slate of games to pick from.

I usually post picks that I am very confident with (Oss and Northampton were forced and rushed, which will not repeat). But expect something later on

[evgeni99]

#010
Bordeaux - Evian TG
Pick: Evian TG to cover (+0.5)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2813364-bordeaux-evian-tg.html

[evgeni99]

#010
Bordeaux - Evian TG
Pick: Evian TG to cover (+0.5)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...-evian-tg.html

7 Wins - 3 Losses

[Akatana]

Good stuff.
Tell me what you think about these plays for the 2nd legs of EL this week.
I'm thinking of pounding Napoli and Genk to Qualify as a double @ around even. ?

[Semper Fidelis]

Wow that was just unlucky friend! That's ok, happens all the time, let's get them again soon! Looking forward to future plays!

[evgeni99]

Wow that was just unlucky friend! That's ok, happens all the time, let's get them again soon! Looking forward to future plays!

Indeed, at 1-1 I really felt Evain did enough to draw. Hope you managed to make something from that temporary comeback. Live bets are sometimes as important

Good stuff.
Tell me what you think about these plays for the 2nd legs of EL this week.
I'm thinking of pounding Napoli and Genk to Qualify as a double @ around even. ?

I usually do not like to make predictions so in advance, but at this moment I can tell you that I do not know enough about the Genk game to give you a tip. On the other hand, the Napoli game is the more interesting one. I am surprised that Swansea are getting such high odds, they played very well at home against them. I will do more research up to the game and decide on it then.

[Akatana]

I usually do not like to make predictions so in advance, but at this moment I can tell you that I do not know enough about the Genk game to give you a tip. On the other hand, the Napoli game is the more interesting one. I am surprised that Swansea are getting such high odds, they played very well at home against them. I will do more research up to the game and decide on it then.[/QUOTE]

Well i agree totally. Swansea actually played way way better than i expected them to. But it was pretty standard at the same time, Swansea is more or less a typical "home team" they don't do really well away from home.
I think their heads and hearts will be in two different places, and that is Whether to really put everything they can into this game or not and that's where i think they will be caught by Napoli who pretty much can dominate any team at home as we saw in the Champions League, they Beat Arsenal 2-0 and Dortmund 2-1 and we even witness this in the Serie A where they loose to top Serie A teams away and then at home smash them into pieces.
Although i don't really want to admit this i think Swansea deserved to get something at home but unfortunately for them they didn't and "to me" that was their only chance because they will be going to the stadium where team's such as, AS Roma, AC Milan, Arsenal, Inter, Dortmund etc. have been defeated this season. I think it will be a little too much for the Swans and they're not in such a great place at the EPL table as well so they will bare that in mind too i'm sure. Ok now that was all intention talk let's not forget about Rafa Benitez's experience in these kind of situations and the records he can break, i still believe Napoli care enough to want to go as far as they possibly can in this competition. The squad is good, Higuain played almost all the match at the liberty and i'm sure will do the same at the san paolo.
I just thought i give you my take on the situation. I pretty much made my mind up about Napoli but i will wait till monday or tuesday to see what happens after the Genoa game to complete my decision but i'm worried odds will drop so i don't know. I will see.

[evgeni99]

Well i agree totally. Swansea actually played way way better than i expected them to. But it was pretty standard at the same time, Swansea is more or less a typical "home team" they don't do really well away from home.
I think their heads and hearts will be in two different places, and that is Whether to really put everything they can into this game or not and that's where i think they will be caught by Napoli who pretty much can dominate any team at home as we saw in the Champions League, they Beat Arsenal 2-0 and Dortmund 2-1 and we even witness this in the Serie A where they loose to top Serie A teams away and then at home smash them into pieces.
Although i don't really want to admit this i think Swansea deserved to get something at home but unfortunately for them they didn't and "to me" that was their only chance because they will be going to the stadium where team's such as, AS Roma, AC Milan, Arsenal, Inter, Dortmund etc. have been defeated this season. I think it will be a little too much for the Swans and they're not in such a great place at the EPL table as well so they will bare that in mind too i'm sure. Ok now that was all intention talk let's not forget about Rafa Benitez's experience in these kind of situations and the records he can break, i still believe Napoli care enough to want to go as far as they possibly can in this competition. The squad is good, Higuain played almost all the match at the liberty and i'm sure will do the same at the san paolo.
I just thought i give you my take on the situation. I pretty much made my mind up about Napoli but i will wait till monday or tuesday to see what happens after the Genoa game to complete my decision but i'm worried odds will drop so i don't know. I will see.

That weekend game against Liverpool put even a bigger question mark on the Swansea game. I am still deciding if to do anything with this game.

[evgeni99]

#011
Hull City - Brighton
Pick: Brighton to cover (+0.5)

[MutaPukan]

Good point, i'm leaning Napoli but you're right after that game against Liverpool, I'm having doubts. It's kind of hard to determine right now whether Swansea's increase in sharpness if coming from the new changes at the club or it's just temporary.

[evgeni99]

#012
Köln - Greuther Furth
Pick: Greuther Furth (+0.5) (Live pick, 10min in 0:0)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2815196-k-ln-greuther-furth.html

[Semper Fidelis]

[QUOTE=evgeni99;21221742]Indeed, at 1-1 I really felt Evain did enough to draw. Hope you managed to make something from that temporary comeback. Live bets are sometimes as important


Unfortunately 5dimes does not offer live wagering with soccer matches, only pre-match and at HT. So once I make a pick, I'm stuck with it until the final whistle! Really wish they did offer live wagering - I don't know how many times situations like that come up where my team finally scores a goal, making me think my wager is won, only to find out later that they allow an equalizer in injury time. Very frustrating, to say the least!

How confident are you on Brighton today buddy? The same confidence as your other picks, or is this one lesser than the others? Although I could hedge out at HT if things aren't going well (I believe 5dimes will offer HT lines on these cup matches), I usually don't have time to check and/or do anything while at work! Thanks for any advice and for your plays my friend, and BOL today!

[evgeni99]

Unfortunately 5dimes does not offer live wagering with soccer matches, only pre-match and at HT. So once I make a pick, I'm stuck with it until the final whistle! Really wish they did offer live wagering - I don't know how many times situations like that come up where my team finally scores a goal, making me think my wager is won, only to find out later that they allow an equalizer in injury time. Very frustrating, to say the least!

How confident are you on Brighton today buddy? The same confidence as your other picks, or is this one lesser than the others? Although I could hedge out at HT if things aren't going well (I believe 5dimes will offer HT lines on these cup matches), I usually don't have time to check and/or do anything while at work! Thanks for any advice and for your plays my friend, and BOL today!

Just because this is the FA Cup, I will say put a medium stake. Not the best pick, but the best for a Monday.

[evgeni99]

#011
Hull City - Brighton
Pick: Brighton to cover (+0.5)

#012
Köln - Greuther Furth
Pick: Greuther Furth (+0.5)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2815196-k-ln-greuther-furth.html

8 Wins - 4 Losses

[barca12]

Damn, I just noticed now that you have your own thread . Will always tail you when in doubt

[evgeni99]

#013
Zenit Petersburg - Dortmund
Pick: Zenit to cover (+0.5)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...-dortmund.html

[evgeni99]

#013
Zenit Petersburg - Dortmund
Pick: Zenit to cover (+0.5)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...-dortmund.html

8 Wins - 5 Losses

[evgeni99]

#014
Olympiakos Piraeus - Manchester United
Pick: Manchester ML

#015
Swindon - Crawley Town
Pick: Crawley DNB

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2816252-english-league-one-two-games-interest.html

#016
Scunthorpe - Bristol Rovers
Pick: Bristol Rovers to cover (+0.25)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2816252-english-league-one-two-games-interest.html

#017
Newport - AFC Wimbledon
Pick: Wimbledon to cover (+0.25)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2816252-english-league-one-two-games-interest.html

[evgeni99]

#014
Olympiakos Piraeus - Manchester United
Pick: Manchester ML

#015
Swindon - Crawley Town
Pick: Crawley DNB

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2816252-english-league-one-two-games-interest.html

#016
Scunthorpe - Bristol Rovers
Pick: Bristol Rovers to cover (+0.25)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2816252-english-league-one-two-games-interest.html

#017
Newport - AFC Wimbledon
Pick: Wimbledon to cover (+0.25)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-bet...-interest.html

10 Wins - 1 Void - 6 Losses

[Semper Fidelis]

Hello there my friend, missed your plays yesterday! I'm assuming there was nothing you really liked other than the Swiss game? Hoping you'll have a few today with the huge Europa card on tap. I like your style, being very selective and going for quality over quantity - I refined my approach along the same philosophy a while back, and I have found I win more profits when I am more selective like that. I'd much rather wager only a few games/matches a day and hit 75% than to only hit 55% on multiples. Thanks again for your astute observations and advice - I know I'm not alone in expressing my appreciation. Looking forward to future picks, and BOL today my friend!