Off day today for Bund 2, DFB Pokal games taking place. Next week!
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Greuther Fürth - Kaiserslautern, x@3.41 (Pinnacle) 1 unit
under 2.5 @1.92 (marathonbet) 1 unitComment -
Locked this one in.Originally posted by zizoudane10
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Draw large betGreuther Furth- KaiserslauternComment -
I wonder if the trick X and Under will work today, because X and Under is pub play.Comment -
When the pub play is huge, try to avoid it!!! I have learned a lo of lessons so far.Originally posted by DarkNiteComment -
2:1 FT, -2 unitsOriginally posted by zizoudane10
I didn't have time to watch the game live yesterday, watched the recap this morning. Totally a 50:50 match. Both with big chances, could have ended 2:2/1:1 as well. (X was a great bet here that I would have made even without playing every monday draw).
On to the next one
Record:
1 draw - 2 loss, +0.46 units
2 under - 1 loss, +0.82 unitsComment -
No problem pal. Thought it was 50:50 also. Honestly think it will end at 1-1 after the half goin scoreless in the 2nd half. Well, onto the next one.Originally posted by zizoudane102:1 FT, -2 units
I didn't have time to watch the game live yesterday, watched the recap this morning. Totally a 50:50 match. Both with big chances, could have ended 2:2/1:1 as well. (X was a great bet here that I would have made even without playing every monday draw).
On to the next one
Record:
1 draw - 2 loss, +0.46 units
2 under - 1 loss, +0.82 unitsComment -
hey can someone answer this for me, and AH of (0, +0.5) results in a win if there is a draw correct?Comment -
Half win, yeah.Originally posted by burkestarComment -
Don't forget, draw Monday:
Fortuna Duesseldorf (GER-2) vs Union Berlin (GER-2) +239
Line from 5DimesComment -
Under ? On the draw !!
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bundesliga.deIn all 3 Season games, Düsseldorf shot one goal.
Düsseldorf hasnt won a single game in its last 17 games on the road (14 in Bundesliga, two DFB-Pokal, one in 2. Liga).
16 Meetings between Union Berlin and Düsseldorf since 2000 , in none of these matches were more goals shot than 3.
The "Standard result" between these two teams is 1:0
In 8 auf the last 11 meetings between these to teams, exactly one goal was shot! (six times 1:0 for Union Berlin).
Pretty interesting if you ask me...
The under should be a shot...
Why are the odds for Union so high?Comment -
According to the lines, this game will be real X//0-0 or 1-1.Comment -
Gettin dirty now, 4 yellows in space of 5 minutes. Union taken deserved lead...have had 4 shots on target compared to Dusseldorf's 1 and 7 shots off targetComment -
And its overComment -
this might hit now! Union are just sitting back and letting dusseldorf attack
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Amazing save by Union keeper in 91st min to keep out free header from 3 yards out. That was your chance fellasComment -
freekick in 92nd min for dusseldorf...Comment -
keeper went up! foul on union keeper thoComment -
Todays Bund2 game - St. Pauli/Dresden +264Comment -
Killer loss on this one. 88th minute goal to finish 2-1.Comment -
I've made a deeper research, fascinated by this theory (which I remember from last year thread).
All odds are based on OPENING lines from Pinny/SBO/Dafa (whichever is greater).
That means if you were able to beat the opening line taking a better price the profit would have been better.
Why the opening line? Because since it's a system you could play any game in advance (without looking at anything else) just when the line came out.
2013/2014 (5 games)
Draw: 1 Win (20.00%) -1.55u
Under: 2 Wins (40.00%) -1.13u
2012/2013 (27 games, playoff excluded. Do not know why you guys ended up with 26, probably missed the 27th.
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Draw: 14 Wins (51.85%) +24.64u
Under: 15 Wins (55.56%) +1.37u
2011/2012 (29 games)
Draw: 12 Wins (41.38%) +14.28u
Under: 19 Wins (65.52%) +9.61u
It makes +37.37u for the draw in the last 61 games.
2010/2011 and 2008/2009 combined shown a loss of less than 3.5u whilst the worst year in recent past (2009/2010) closed down by 13u.
2007/2008 was another great year with a profit not far from 20u.
In the last 6 years and counting (175 games played) playing blindly the draw on Monday Night game from B2 we've got about 40u of profit for a +22.50% yield.
Not sure about the under since I backtested just 61 games (+9.85u).
It has to be said, anyway, that between 2008 and 2011 the system closed in red for three straight seasons.Comment -
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Kaiser and Cottbus both been in goalfests so far, 3 goals per game average. And only 1 out of last 7 meeting has had less than 3 goals...Iddrissou will be suspended for Kaiser though so that could make a difference, nontheless, Im staying away!Comment -
your staying away but i took the overOriginally posted by VaughanyComment -
If Idrissou was available i'd probably played to Over too, or the Over 1 1st halfOriginally posted by canadabettingComment -
lol ya i know nothing about these teams but I just like what you said about the avg 3 goals per game or whateverOriginally posted by Vaughany
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well should of gone with the Over! good play canadabetting! my decision making is horrible at the moment
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Well you know what they say...go against your gut feeling..... I appreciate the tip though! thank you!Originally posted by Vaughanywell should of gone with the Over! good play canadabetting! my decision making is horrible at the momentComment -
Draw cashed in.Comment -
Energie Cottbus/Koln +238
Today's match looks like a good draw candidate, played half unit. Good luck.
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Or maybe not
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So far this year
Draws: 2W - 5L (28.57%) +0.36u
Under: 2W - 5L (28.57%) -3.13u
well below the average of the last 63 games (44.44% for the draw and 57.14% for the under).
Tonight we'll have
St. Pauli v Dusseldorf
Draw on Pinny priced +262 ATM
Under is @+115Comment -
Damn...the day I decide to play St Pauli on the side, is the day the Draw hits! You can all thank me, because I affect outcomes.Comment
