KATCHASE's Soccer Unders Project

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  • Sam_Hawkins
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-02-12
    • 922

    #316
    lol another missed penalty
    Comment
    • KATCHASE
      SBR MVP
      • 01-06-10
      • 1755

      #317
      Yeah, I thought this was going to be another Bayern Munich/Sao Paulo disaster, but despite the missed penalties, it finally cashed!
      Comment
      • Sam_Hawkins
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-02-12
        • 922

        #318
        Originally posted by KATCHASE
        Yeah, I thought this was going to be another Bayern Munich/Sao Paulo disaster, but despite the missed penalties, it finally cashed!
        well the last goal I nearly shat my pants, cos it almost seemed like he overshot the free net

        (btw take a look at Argentina: Godoy cruz/argentinos under 3.5 @1.2 - imho even u2.5 is solid... plus Canada: serbian w.e. vs waterloo u4.5 @1.33 is imho good price) - no need to take it, just what I liked :P
        Comment
        • KATCHASE
          SBR MVP
          • 01-06-10
          • 1755

          #319
          Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
          well the last goal I nearly shat my pants, cos it almost seemed like he overshot the free net

          (btw take a look at Argentina: Godoy cruz/argentinos under 3.5 @1.2 - imho even u2.5 is solid... plus Canada: serbian w.e. vs waterloo u4.5 @1.33 is imho good price) - no need to take it, just what I liked :P
          Your Argentina game looks impressive...Argentina is notorious for their goal droughts and every game out of the past 7 meetings between these two teams has gone under 3.5. Plus, both teams seemed to have kicked up their defense into high gear since May. Looks good! BOL
          Comment
          • KATCHASE
            SBR MVP
            • 01-06-10
            • 1755

            #320
            Friday's Results: 2-0 (+2 units)

            Under 2.5's: 0-0
            Under 3.5's: 1-0 (+1 unit)
            Over 2.5's: 1-0 (+1 unit)


            Originally posted by KATCHASE
            Friday, August 2:

            RUSSIA DIVISION 1
            R. VOLOGRAD VS. UFA - Under 3.5 @ 1.22 (4.55 units to win 1 unit)
            Originally posted by KATCHASE
            NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
            AJAX VS. RODA - OVER 2.5 @ 1.35 (2.86 units to win 1 unit)
            Record: 113-49 (+23.66)
            Under 2.5's: 35-31 (-8.75 units)

            Under 3.5's: 33-3 (+20 units)
            Over 2.5's: 45-15 (+12.41 units)
            Comment
            • KATCHASE
              SBR MVP
              • 01-06-10
              • 1755

              #321
              Sunday, August 4:

              GERMANY DFB POKAL
              SC VICTORIA HAMBURG VS. HANNOVER - Over 2.5 @ 1.29 (3.45 units to win 1 unit)
              Comment
              • KATCHASE
                SBR MVP
                • 01-06-10
                • 1755

                #322
                Adding:

                WORLD CLUB FRIENDLY
                ​SHAMROCK (IRL) VS. ASTON VILLA (ENG) - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 (1.82 units to win 1 unit)
                Comment
                • KATCHASE
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-06-10
                  • 1755

                  #323
                  Adding:

                  LATVIA VIRSLIGA
                  ​FK ILUKSTE VS. DAUGAVA RIGA - Over 2.5 @ 1.57 (1.76 units to win 1 unit)
                  Comment
                  • KATCHASE
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-06-10
                    • 1755

                    #324
                    Adding:


                    NORWAY DIV 2, GRP 3
                    BRANN2 VS. ARNA-BJORNAR - Over 2.5 @ 1.19 (5.27 units to win 1 unit)
                    Comment
                    • KATCHASE
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-06-10
                      • 1755

                      #325
                      Sunday's Results: 2-2 (-3.27 units)

                      Under 2.5's: 0-0
                      Under 3.5's: 0-0
                      Over 2.5's: 2-2 (-3.27 unit)

                      Originally posted by KATCHASE
                      Sunday, August 4:

                      GERMANY DFB POKAL
                      SC VICTORIA HAMBURG VS. HANNOVER - Over 2.5 @ 1.29 (3.45 units to win 1 unit)
                      Originally posted by KATCHASE
                      Adding:

                      WORLD CLUB FRIENDLY
                      SHAMROCK (IRL) VS. ASTON VILLA (ENG) - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 (1.82 units to win 1 unit)
                      Originally posted by KATCHASE
                      Adding:

                      LATVIA VIRSLIGA
                      ​FK ILUKSTE VS. DAUGAVA RIGA - Over 2.5 @ 1.57 (1.76 units to win 1 unit)
                      Originally posted by KATCHASE
                      Adding:

                      NORWAY DIV 2, GRP 3
                      BRANN2 VS. ARNA-BJORNAR - Over 2.5 @ 1.19 (5.27 units to win 1 unit)
                      Record: 115-51 (+20.39)
                      Under 2.5's: 35-31 (-8.75 units)
                      Under 3.5's: 33-3 (+20 units)
                      Over 2.5's: 47-17 (+9.14 units)
                      Comment
                      • KATCHASE
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-06-10
                        • 1755

                        #326
                        Wednesday, August 7:

                        CHINA FA CUP
                        GUIZHOU RENHE VS. LIAONING - Over 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)

                        RUSSIA DIVISION 1
                        ​YENISEY VS. SPARTAK NALCHIK - Under 3.5 @ 1.17 (5.89 units to win 1 unit)
                        Comment
                        • KATCHASE
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-06-10
                          • 1755

                          #327
                          Adding:

                          CHINA FA CUP
                          GUANGZHOU EVERGRANDE VS. HANGZHOU GREENTOWN - Over 2.5 @ 1.35 (2.86 units to win 1 unit)
                          Comment
                          • Jaszaafca
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 04-04-13
                            • 635

                            #328
                            Renhe should be fixed at least for over 2.5 looking at the odds
                            Comment
                            • KATCHASE
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-06-10
                              • 1755

                              #329
                              Slow start there in the first half with only 1 goal.
                              Comment
                              • KATCHASE
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-06-10
                                • 1755

                                #330
                                Adding:

                                RUSSIA DIVISION 1
                                NEFTEKHIMIK VS. SALYUT - Under 3.5 @ 1.17 (5.89 units to win 1 unit)
                                Comment
                                • Jaszaafca
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 04-04-13
                                  • 635

                                  #331
                                  Originally posted by KATCHASE
                                  Slow start there in the first half with only 1 goal.
                                  Yeah maybe not fixed but odds pre game for over 2.5 started at 1.90 and before the game it was 1.30..

                                  Well asia and such big odds changes mostly is spot on but maybe not now.

                                  Well Beijing 2-2 after 37 minutes guess that was the game..

                                  Well maybe its fixed, 3-0 now with 10 mins left.. I have over 3.5.
                                  Comment
                                  • KATCHASE
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-06-10
                                    • 1755

                                    #332
                                    Originally posted by Jaszaafca
                                    Yeah maybe not fixed but odds pre game for over 2.5 started at 1.90 and before the game it was 1.30..

                                    Well asia and such big odds changes mostly is spot on but maybe not now.

                                    Well Beijing 2-2 after 37 minutes guess that was the game..

                                    Well maybe its fixed, 3-0 now with 10 mins left.. I have over 3.5.
                                    Good luck to you! Here's to just one more for ya!!
                                    Comment
                                    • Jaszaafca
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 04-04-13
                                      • 635

                                      #333
                                      And there the 4-0 is, clear fix for goals

                                      The handicap for Renhe was 1.90 at start -1 and before the game 1.30 for -1.

                                      Asianodds is a great website, it shows the movement of odds in Asia.
                                      Comment
                                      • KATCHASE
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-06-10
                                        • 1755

                                        #334
                                        Congrats!!! & Thanks for the tip
                                        Comment
                                        • KATCHASE
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-06-10
                                          • 1755

                                          #335
                                          Adding:

                                          FINLAND KAKKONEN EAST
                                          ​HIFK VS. JAPS - Over 2.5 @ 1.45 (2.23 units to win 1 unit)
                                          Comment
                                          • Animorphic
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 07-26-13
                                            • 12

                                            #336
                                            Finland and Iceland are great leagues for overs
                                            Comment
                                            • KATCHASE
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-06-10
                                              • 1755

                                              #337
                                              Originally posted by Animorphic
                                              Finland and Iceland are great leagues for overs
                                              I agree...both of these leagues are on my radar.
                                              Comment
                                              • KATCHASE
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-06-10
                                                • 1755

                                                #338
                                                Wednesday's Results: 3-2 (-5.12 units)

                                                Under 2.5's: 0-0
                                                Under 3.5's: 1-1 (-4.89 units)
                                                Over 2.5's: 2-1 (-0.23 units)

                                                Originally posted by KATCHASE
                                                Wednesday, August 7:

                                                CHINA FA CUP
                                                GUIZHOU RENHE VS. LIAONING - Over 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)

                                                RUSSIA DIVISION 1
                                                ​YENISEY VS. SPARTAK NALCHIK - Under 3.5 @ 1.17 (5.89 units to win 1 unit)
                                                Originally posted by KATCHASE

                                                CHINA FA CUP
                                                GUANGZHOU EVERGRANDE VS. HANGZHOU GREENTOWN - Over 2.5 @ 1.35 (2.86 units to win 1 unit)
                                                Originally posted by KATCHASE

                                                RUSSIA DIVISION 1
                                                NEFTEKHIMIK VS. SALYUT - Under 3.5 @ 1.17 (5.89 units to win 1 unit)
                                                Originally posted by KATCHASE

                                                FINLAND KAKKONEN EAST
                                                ​HIFK VS. JAPS - Over 2.5 @ 1.45 (2.23 units to win 1 unit)
                                                Record: 118-53 (+15.27)
                                                Under 2.5's: 35-31 (-8.75 units)
                                                Under 3.5's: 34-4 (+15.11 units)
                                                Over 2.5's: 49-18 (+8.91 units)
                                                Comment
                                                • KATCHASE
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-06-10
                                                  • 1755

                                                  #339
                                                  Thursday, August 8:

                                                  EUROPA LEAGUE QUALIFICATION
                                                  MET. DONETSK (UKR) VS. KUKESI (ALB) - Over 2.5 @ 1.5 (2 units to win 1 unit)

                                                  EUROPA LEAGUE QUALIFICATION
                                                  MACCABI HAIFA (ISR) VS. VENTSPILS (LAT) - Over 2.5 @ 1.5 (2 units to win 1 unit)


                                                  Comment
                                                  • KATCHASE
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-06-10
                                                    • 1755

                                                    #340
                                                    Thursday's Results: 1-1 (-1 unit)

                                                    Under 2.5's: 0-0
                                                    Under 3.5's: 0-0
                                                    Over 2.5's: 1-1 (-1 unit)

                                                    Originally posted by KATCHASE
                                                    Thursday, August 8:

                                                    EUROPA LEAGUE QUALIFICATION
                                                    MET. DONETSK (UKR) VS. KUKESI (ALB) - Over 2.5 @ 1.5 (2 units to win 1 unit)

                                                    EUROPA LEAGUE QUALIFICATION
                                                    MACCABI HAIFA (ISR) VS. VENTSPILS (LAT) - Over 2.5 @ 1.5 (2 units to win 1 unit)


                                                    Record: 119-54 (+14.27)
                                                    Under 2.5's: 35-31 (-8.75 units)
                                                    Under 3.5's: 34-4 (+15.11 units)
                                                    Over 2.5's: 50-19 (+7.91 units)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KATCHASE
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-06-10
                                                      • 1755

                                                      #341
                                                      Friday, August 9:

                                                      LITHUANIA A LYGA
                                                      ​TAURAS TAURAGE VS. ATLANTAS - Over 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • onemoregoal
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-04-13
                                                        • 8149

                                                        #342
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KATCHASE
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-06-10
                                                          • 1755

                                                          #343
                                                          Friday's Results: 1-0 (+1 unit)

                                                          Under 2.5's: 0-0
                                                          Under 3.5's: 0-0
                                                          Over 2.5's: 1-0 (+1 unit)

                                                          Originally posted by KATCHASE
                                                          Friday, August 9:

                                                          LITHUANIA A LYGA
                                                          TAURAS TAURAGE VS. ATLANTAS - Over 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)
                                                          Record: 120-54 (+15.27)
                                                          Under 2.5's: 35-31 (-8.75 units)
                                                          Under 3.5's: 34-4 (+15.11 units)
                                                          Over 2.5's: 51-19 (+8.91 units)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KATCHASE
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-06-10
                                                            • 1755

                                                            #344
                                                            Saturday, August 10:

                                                            AUSTRALIA VICTORIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
                                                            ​SOUTHERN STARS VS. MELBOURNE KNIGHTS - Over 2.5 @ 1.35 (2.86 units to win 1 unit)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KATCHASE
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-06-10
                                                              • 1755

                                                              #345
                                                              Trying out a 2-team parlay chase experiment:

                                                              Rabotnicki (Macedonia) + Daugavpils (Latvia) @ 1.53 (1.87 units to win 1 unit)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KATCHASE
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-06-10
                                                                • 1755

                                                                #346
                                                                PARTIZAN (SERBIA) + MARIBOR (SLOVENIA) @ 1.34 (2.95 units to win 1 unit)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KATCHASE
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-06-10
                                                                  • 1755

                                                                  #347
                                                                  PSV (NETHERLANDS) + FC PORTO (PORTUGAL) @ 1.37 (2.71 units to win 1 unit)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KATCHASE
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-06-10
                                                                    • 1755

                                                                    #348
                                                                    I've decided to test the practical application and sustainability of a 2-team parlay chase strategy.

                                                                    How it works...

                                                                    Each bet will be a parlay of 2 teams "to win", and will typically consist of heavy favorites with very low odds. This will be a chase experiment where every loss will be followed by a bet to win back the units lost + 1 unit.

                                                                    (A) BET:
                                                                    The first bet in a chase series will be referred to an (A) bet.
                                                                    An (A) bet will be played to win 1 unit.
                                                                    If that bet wins, the series is over and I move on the next (A) bet.

                                                                    (B) BET:
                                                                    If an (A) bet loses, the next play in the series will be referred to as a (B) bet.
                                                                    A (B) bet will be played to win back the units lost on the (A) bet + 1 unit.
                                                                    If a (B) bet wins, the series is over.

                                                                    (C) BET:
                                                                    If a (B) bet loses, the next play in the series will be referred to as a (C) bet.
                                                                    A (C) bet will be played to win back the units lost on the (A) bet + the units lost on the (B) bet + 1 unit.
                                                                    If a (C) bet wins, the series is over

                                                                    (D) BET:
                                                                    If a (C) bet loses, the next play in the series will be referred to as a (D) bet.
                                                                    A (D) bet will will be played to win back the units lost on the (A) bet + (B) bet + (C) bet + 1 unit.
                                                                    If a (D) bet wins, the series is over.

                                                                    With unlimited resources, this could carry on indefinitely (and guarantee profits), but I for one don't have unlimited resources and am hoping to not have to move past a (D) bet.

                                                                    Because some games will be starting at the same time, or very close together, I expect to have some over-lapping series. I will assign each bet a number such as #1(A)...where '#1' refers to the series number and '(A)' refers to the bet type.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KATCHASE
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-06-10
                                                                      • 1755

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Saturday's Results: 3-1 (+0.14 units)

                                                                      Under 3.5's: 0-0
                                                                      Over 2.5's: 0-1 (-2.86 units)
                                                                      Parlay Chase: 3-0 (+3 units)

                                                                      Originally posted by KATCHASE
                                                                      Saturday, August 10:

                                                                      AUSTRALIA VICTORIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
                                                                      SOUTHERN STARS VS. MELBOURNE KNIGHTS - Over 2.5 @ 1.35 (2.86 units to win 1 unit)
                                                                      #1(A)
                                                                      Originally posted by KATCHASE
                                                                      Trying out a 2-team parlay chase experiment:

                                                                      Rabotnicki (Macedonia) + Daugavpils (Latvia) @ 1.53 (1.87 units to win 1 unit)
                                                                      #2(A)
                                                                      Originally posted by KATCHASE
                                                                      PARTIZAN (SERBIA) + MARIBOR (SLOVENIA) @ 1.34 (2.95 units to win 1 unit)

                                                                      #3(A)
                                                                      Originally posted by KATCHASE
                                                                      PSV (NETHERLANDS) + FC PORTO (PORTUGAL) @ 1.37 (2.71 units to win 1 unit)

                                                                      Record: 123-51 (+15.41)
                                                                      Under 2.5's: 35-31 (-8.75 units)
                                                                      Under 3.5's: 34-4 (+15.11 units)
                                                                      Over 2.5's: 51-20 (+6.05 units)
                                                                      Parlay Chase: 3-0 (+3 units) (Pending: 0 games, 0 units)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • speedracer122
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 05-09-13
                                                                        • 193

                                                                        #350
                                                                        interesting approach with the parlay chase. look forward to your results! bol
                                                                        Comment
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