New Method more Money - Football aka Soccer

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  • ThePatient
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-18-13
    • 33

    #911
    What do you think about the over/under for the Oxford match?
    Comment
    • NicAtNight
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-29-11
      • 290

      #912
      Anything on Jordan - Uruguay?
      Comment
      • martywest17
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-03-10
        • 219

        #913
        Took Jordan +4

        I think Uruguay will take it easy knowing they are pretty much set on Qualifying.
        Comment
        • martywest17
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-03-10
          • 219

          #914
          0-0 Half time.
          Comment
          • TheMLBKing
            SBR MVP
            • 04-20-13
            • 1129

            #915
            will uruguay even win?
            Comment
            • martywest17
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-03-10
              • 219

              #916
              Dont think so.. 0-0 In injury time... WOW... nice work Jordan
              Comment
              • edabramov
                SBR MVP
                • 07-27-13
                • 2059

                #917
                Lol 0-5 away 0-0 at home. Jordan..
                Comment
                • martywest17
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-03-10
                  • 219

                  #918
                  Cashed!
                  Comment
                  • EasyPicks
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-21-11
                    • 3804

                    #919
                    Originally posted by ThePatient
                    What do you think about the over/under for the Oxford match?
                    sry for just replying now; but I only play one minor league (Portuguese 2nd division and on occasion, if a fix comes up, the Italian Serie B)

                    Originally posted by martywest17
                    Took Jordan +4

                    I think Uruguay will take it easy knowing they are pretty much set on Qualifying.
                    very nice bet
                    Comment
                    • EasyPicks
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-21-11
                      • 3804

                      #920
                      thx for the points marty
                      Comment
                      • martywest17
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-03-10
                        • 219

                        #921
                        Originally posted by EasyPicks
                        thx for the points marty
                        No Worries mate... Looking forward to your Weekend EPL Picks.... Cmon Liver. YNWA
                        Comment
                        • Muxaxu85
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 11-15-13
                          • 23

                          #922
                          Any tips for Portuguese 2nd Liga?
                          Comment
                          • Muxaxu85
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 11-15-13
                            • 23

                            #923
                            And for Serie B as well?
                            Comment
                            • andy888888
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-27-12
                              • 1288

                              #924
                              probably the 2 most fixed divisions in europe...
                              Comment
                              • EasyPicks
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-21-11
                                • 3804

                                #925
                                Originally posted by andy888888
                                probably the 2 most fixed divisions in europe...
                                not probably, but in reality .... of all Western Europe (and not all of Europe)
                                Comment
                                • EasyPicks
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-21-11
                                  • 3804

                                  #926
                                  324# Frankfurt x Schalke OVER 2.5, 3 @1.86 [to win 2u]

                                  325# Hertha x Leverkusen OVER 2.5 @1.85 [to win 2u]

                                  326# Dortmund x Bayern OVER 2.5, 3 @1.82 [to win 1u]
                                  Comment
                                  • EasyPicks
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-21-11
                                    • 3804

                                    #927
                                    327# Benfica x Braga OVER 2.5, 3 @1.99 [3u]

                                    328# Benfica HT @2.15 [1u]

                                    329#
                                    Porto x Nacional OVER 3 @1.926 [to win 1u]

                                    330# Everton x Liverpool OVER 2.5 @1.971 [to win 1u]

                                    331# West Ham x Chelsea OVER 2.5 @1.91 [to win 2u]

                                    332#
                                    Chelsea -1 @2.15 [1u]
                                    Comment
                                    • KC Needs Hockey
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 10-27-10
                                      • 387

                                      #928
                                      GL to us on plays with Wallco's system I am able to put a little bit more money on each game here so cheers!
                                      Comment
                                      • EasyPicks
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-21-11
                                        • 3804

                                        #929
                                        Originally posted by KC Needs Hockey
                                        GL to us on plays with Wallco's system I am able to put a little bit more money on each game here so cheers!
                                        4 game chase?
                                        Comment
                                        • EasyPicks
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-21-11
                                          • 3804

                                          #930
                                          thx for the points KC
                                          Comment
                                          • EasyPicks
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-21-11
                                            • 3804

                                            #931
                                            Everton x Liverpool OVER already cashed at 19'

                                            eheheh
                                            Comment
                                            • KC Needs Hockey
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-27-10
                                              • 387

                                              #932
                                              Only a 3 game chase for NHL and I'm up 56 units off the system because of a "mistake" bet that actually closed the only chase that has lost in the system. The actual system is still up 44 units and we are only a quarter of the way through the NHL season. He ran the same system last year and I think we finished at like +60 for the year and over the last 5 seasons back tested the system is +223 units.
                                              Comment
                                              • EasyPicks
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-21-11
                                                • 3804

                                                #933
                                                Originally posted by KC Needs Hockey
                                                Only a 3 game chase for NHL and I'm up 56 units off the system because of a "mistake" bet that actually closed the only chase that has lost in the system. The actual system is still up 44 units and we are only a quarter of the way through the NHL season. He ran the same system last year and I think we finished at like +60 for the year and over the last 5 seasons back tested the system is +223 units.
                                                wow!!!

                                                damn me for not paying attention to the NHL
                                                Comment
                                                • EasyPicks
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-21-11
                                                  • 3804

                                                  #934
                                                  Originally posted by EasyPicks
                                                  324# Frankfurt x Schalke OVER 2.5, 3 @1.86 [to win 2u]

                                                  325# Hertha x Leverkusen OVER 2.5 @1.85 [to win 2u]

                                                  326# Dortmund x Bayern OVER 2.5, 3 @1.82 [to win 1u]
                                                  Originally posted by EasyPicks
                                                  327# Benfica x Braga OVER 2.5, 3 @1.99 [3u]

                                                  328# Benfica HT @2.15 [1u]

                                                  329#
                                                  Porto x Nacional OVER 3 @1.926 [to win 1u]

                                                  330# Everton x Liverpool OVER 2.5 @1.971 [to win 1u]*

                                                  331# West Ham x Chelsea OVER 2.5 @1.91 [to win 2u]

                                                  332#
                                                  Chelsea -1 @2.15 [1u]
                                                  5-4 -0.78u

                                                  * I've made a mistake (this was a 2u stake. I've also only bet one unit...fkk it), would had made for a plus units day....but also with Benfica and Porto shiting the bed like that I was doomed for a bad day!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KC Needs Hockey
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 10-27-10
                                                    • 387

                                                    #935
                                                    Todays card for me

                                                    Zenit o1.5
                                                    Barca/Ajax o2.5
                                                    Porto -2
                                                    Chelsea -.5
                                                    Schalke/S.B. o2.5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EasyPicks
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-21-11
                                                      • 3804

                                                      #936
                                                      Originally posted by KC Needs Hockey
                                                      Todays card for me

                                                      Zenit o1.5
                                                      Barca/Ajax o2.5
                                                      Porto -2
                                                      Chelsea -.5
                                                      Schalke/S.B. o2.5

                                                      not a good day...

                                                      2 many surprises (Austria V., Ajax, Basel) and just 17 goals in 8 games
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EasyPicks
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-21-11
                                                        • 3804

                                                        #937
                                                        Ok back to the weekend grinding.
                                                        After two days of pure joy and profits in the NBA going 8-0 and +12 units, I'm ready to do the same in soccer this weekend! eheheh
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EasyPicks
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-21-11
                                                          • 3804

                                                          #938
                                                          Games I'm studying:

                                                          Mainz
                                                          -
                                                          Dortmund
                                                          Schalke
                                                          -
                                                          Stuttgart
                                                          Leverkusen
                                                          -
                                                          Nurnberg
                                                          Elche
                                                          -
                                                          Atl. Madrid
                                                          Real Madrid
                                                          -
                                                          Valladolid
                                                          Monaco
                                                          -
                                                          Rennes
                                                          Academica
                                                          -
                                                          FC Porto
                                                          Parma
                                                          -
                                                          Bologna
                                                          Genoa
                                                          -
                                                          Torino
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EasyPicks
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-21-11
                                                            • 3804

                                                            #939
                                                            333# Leverkusen x Nurnberg OVER 2.5, 3 @1.752 [to win 1u]

                                                            334# Mainz x Dortmund OVER 3 @1.87 [to win 1u]

                                                            335#
                                                            Schalke x Stuttgart OVER 2.5, 3 @1.758 [to win 1u]

                                                            336# Dortmund -1 @2.03 [1u]
                                                            Comment
                                                            • plekz
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-28-13
                                                              • 1491

                                                              #940
                                                              EP:

                                                              Is Sidney Sam confirmed back for Leverkusen? Otherwise do you really see them producing that many without him? or are you counting on Nurnberg to carry aswell?

                                                              I like the Dortmund bet, they showed a good ability to bounce back after the cold shower Bayern gave em last weekend beating Napoli at home.

                                                              What's the reasoning for the Schalke bet? assume you expect Stuttgart to take advantage of the fact that Draxler is not in shape, and that Aogo managed to fubar his knee for the rest of the season? (adding to the already injury riddled lineup of Schalke)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EasyPicks
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-21-11
                                                                • 3804

                                                                #941
                                                                plekz,

                                                                I bet these teams overs following a model that I've developed and back tested (10 years). Its bet the OVER or pass. This week the model says over (but with low confidence that's why the only one unit bet).

                                                                I'm really confident in Dortmund -1 (I'm only scared for probably fatigue of some Dortmund players)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • plekz
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-28-13
                                                                  • 1491

                                                                  #942
                                                                  Aaah, my bad should have probably looked at the first page of the thread as i assume that the information regarding the system is documented there

                                                                  I'm not that worried about any fatigue to tell you the truth, they played the tuesday game so they've had three full days to recoup should be fine with that not to mention that the moral boost for beating Napoli convincingly should also strengthen them
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EasyPicks
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-21-11
                                                                    • 3804

                                                                    #943
                                                                    Originally posted by EasyPicks
                                                                    333# Leverkusen x Nurnberg OVER 2.5, 3 @1.752 [to win 1u] half win

                                                                    334# Mainz x Dortmund OVER 3 @1.87 [to win 1u]

                                                                    335#
                                                                    Schalke x Stuttgart OVER 2.5, 3 @1.758 [to win 1u]
                                                                    half win

                                                                    336# Dortmund -1 @2.03 [1u]

                                                                    so far so good

                                                                    ------update------


                                                                    4-0
                                                                    +3.03u
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BigBurk
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-25-11
                                                                      • 3785

                                                                      #944
                                                                      Well done my friend, seems like your system is getting better each week!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EasyPicks
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-21-11
                                                                        • 3804

                                                                        #945
                                                                        Originally posted by BigBurk
                                                                        Well done my friend, seems like your system is getting better each week!
                                                                        thx for the kind words

                                                                        I really back tested intensively the model for the past 10 years...and for my surprise, not one single year negative (APROX. +25u/year)
                                                                        Comment
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