Soccer Picks and analysis

[ginger565]

MATTERSBURG – PARNDORF (Austria 2nd division)
Before this championship started bookies predicted Mattersburg and Parndorg on two different ends on table, as first promotion candidate and first relegation candidate. After six rounds status of Mattersburg as favourite is seriously disturbed, while last year’s third league club Parndorf remained at the bottom regarding chances to stay in this league.
On that weaknes of Parndorf we’ll build todays attempt of Mattersburg to as their coach Tatar said “finaly play a stable match and seal the question of winner on time”. In other words they will go for all three points with couple of goals margin and not be satisfied with 1:0 or 2:1 and fear the equalizer in the last minutes.
Mattersburg is by far better team than Parndorf on all positions and if or better to say when they score visitors will have to open up and in an open match players of Parndorf, half of them semi-amateurs wont be able to compete with Mattersburg.
Parndorf’s defense is worst in league – their goalkeeper has most interventions so far in this league which means that poor defending leaves a whole lot of space for opposition to shoot and to score as well (they have an average of two conceded goals per match).
Home team is one of the best in the league and its about time they start showing it on the pitch.
Bet: handicap -1,5
Tip: 1
Odds: 2.30
Best of luck

[Pan43]

I am on this, tho at my local bookmaker i am getting bet option Mattersburg and Over 2.5 with 1.91 odds what you think?

[ghislaine]

Already spent my two points but will give You some next time. Your write-ups from soccer are among the most coherent here, great stuff, a pleasure to read em. Schalke Paok stuff the other day, straight shiit

[ginger565]

Already spent my two points but will give You some next time. Your write-ups from soccer are among the most coherent here, great stuff, a pleasure to read em. Schalke Paok stuff the other day, straight shiit

Thanks mate..i do a lot of research and make quite an effort first of all to find a nice value bet for myself and then to share it with you..we're on a nice little winning streak lately Hope we can continue with this Cheers!

[ginger565]

LUZERN – BASEL
Luzern is the only team in Super league who is capable of making headaches for Basel on a regular basis. Against Basel they are always motivated and now they have Alex Frei as sports director. Frei was until this season key player in Basel and knows almost every single detail about them.
Also, Luzern started this season with optimism, winning all three home games and they currently sit on second place. In contrast to last year, they’ve made some serious improvement in attacking part, especially by signing Bozanic who is in top form at the moment (5/5).
On the other hand Basel has very tight schedule behind and in front of them therefore they’ve had less than three days to prepare after an exhausting match in Bulgaria where they played Ludogorets in Champions League play-off. It can be said that they’ve subjected domestic league in order to get back in Champions League group stage once again, and that can be seen from their previous results.
Moreover, today they’ll have a lot of problems concerning injuries of their key offensive players Stocker, Salah and Streller (plus Ritter and Serey). Coach Yakin stated that he is not sure if they’ll be ready adding that even midfielder Fabian Frei could be given rest today. I think that shows his intention not to risk with Stocker and other two. If he is to rest Frei just because he played all the games so far I don’t think he will push those three in starting lineup unprepared.
In the end I must get back on their head-to-head scores. Basel won only one league match against Luzerne out of last five, and last one ended 3:0 in favor of Luzerne – last year when they were much weaker than today, plus Basel has not shown great form in away games this season, they are still winless away.
Bet: +0 handicap
Tip: 1
Odds: 2.20

[ginger565]

LOKOMOTIV - ROSTOV
Rostov will be missing Dzyuba, and it’s the same as if they are missing half of the team because Dzyuba is their top goalscorer and by far the best player this season. He scored 7 out of 12 Rostov goals so far. Without him they will struggle in attacking part while Lokomotiv on the other hand under coach Kuchuk is playing better and better. Lokomotiv recenty also bought Boussoufa and Lassana Diarra, two quality players who should add more depth to their play.
Rostov played some solid games but it was all against lower class teams and now they are facing four difficult challenges in which they won’t be capable of taking as much as point or two and it would be a huge surprise if they get anything here.
Bet: 1
Odds: 1.75
BOL

[ginger565]

We're on a quite nice winning streak here Let's keep it coming

BASEL - LUDOGORETS
First match in Bulgaria has already shown us how these two teams play and that is open and aggressively. Ludogorets has a big task today, they must chase at least 3 goal margin victory or 4:2 to get extra time chance. They have already proven that they have a quality attacking system in two tough games against Partizan and away against Slovan.
On the other hand Basel is not the kind of team which relies on defending. Their defensive part has not been very convincing this year and they’ve hardly managed to get a clean sheet this season so I expect them to react on strong Ludogorets’ offensive with attacking play of their own. Against Maccabi they had advantage from the first game but were still seeking for that extra goal to confirm their overall victory. Salah and Stocker are both available after minor injuries so they shouldn’t have problems scoring.
Ludogorets has been defending quite well in national championship but Basel is by far better team than Bulgarian teams and they will have hard time keeping their net untouched especially if they are to go all out as I expect and as the result from first match obliges them to do so.
Both teams will get 50k euros per player if they go through in group stage, and I don’t expect Ludogorets to go in groups but that kind of money will be a good motivation for them to at least try to do something here.
Bet: Both to score
Tip: Yes
Odds: 1.85
Cheers

[ginger565]

TOTTENHAM – DINAMO TBLISI


Dinamo Tblisi will have a real hard time scoring in this match and that’s what im gonna base my bet on. First of all they haven’t managed to score on their home turf in front of their audience where they usually have more chances to score than away. Second of all, Tottenham has already shown that they wont underestimate them and I expect a dose of seriousness in this rematch.
In all last three matches Spurs had a clean sheet and their opponents were all much stronger teams than Dinamo. Even if AVB uses some rotations in lineup today (which I doubt) they will primarily be in the offensive part. On all that we must add that Dinamo will surely miss Xisco, their best and most experienced striker.
My perspective of this match is that Dinamo will “park their bus” in their own half and try to save themselves from some kind of debacle against Soldado and company. I’m sure that English team will score so this bet definitely has a value.


Bet: home team wins without receiving a goal
Odds: 1.95

[ginger565]

Tottenham passed, now we move to brasilian league

NAUTICO – SAO PAOLO

Just by looking at the table one can see in how difficult situation Nautico is. With or without second division syndrome, they are justifying their status of relegation candidate from the beginning of the season. They’ve lost 11 out of last 15 games and they also have worst efficiency in the league with only 9 goals scored so far. Constant coach shifts are also not helping them gain stability – in last four months they’ve changed four coaches.
Moreover, they’ve recently moved onto the new stadium so they don’t even have the feeling of playing on home turf. They’ve also been eliminated from Sul-Americani Cup against biggest rival, now playing in second division Sport Recife. In this match they wont be able to count on their key defender Joao Filipe so I expect their defense to be even more unstable.
In last four league games they played against Cricuma, Bahia, Fluminense and Atletico PR and lost all four of them – on the other hand Sao Paolo played with Fluminense and Atletico and took 4 points in those two matches. They’ve also played very good against Flamengo where they missed last minute penalty worth all three points and took a point against top team of Botafogo. All that suggests that they are close to getting out of crisis because they are showing it not only with results but also with their play on the field.
Difference in squad quality is also notable cause Sao Paolo has a couple of times more expensive team than hosts and they will also be stronger today because their top striker Luis Fabiano is back from suspension.
Advantage for visitors is also the fact that Nautico played four games in last two weeks and Sao Paolo only two and I expect more freshness in away team.

BET: 2
Odds: 2.10
Good luck

[ginger565]

Sao Paolo won even with 10 players on the field..today we switch a bit to MLB cause there are not many options in soccer so check out my mlb thread if you are interested by any chance Chees

[edabramov]

Sao Paolo won even with 10 players on the field..today we switch a bit to MLB cause there are not many options in soccer so check out my mlb thread if you are interested by any chance Chees

Tailed you on Sao Paolo, was doubting it but a win is a win. Cheers bro.

[ginger565]

IRELAND - SWEDEN
There are few options i have in mind here. First of all is Ibrahimovic to score option - he's scored 5 out of last 6 Sweden goals, if there is to be a penalty he'll take it probably and he always spends whole 90 minutes on the field. Some bookies offer up to 2.90 (at least my local bookies) which is excellent.

Also DNB seems quite nice with 1.85. I really dont think Ireland can do more than to take a point here. What do you think people?

Btw here are some probable lineups and missing players
IRELAND (missing McGeady, Kelly, St Ledger, Hendrick)
Forde - Coleman, Dunne, O'Shea, Wilson - Walters, Whelan, McCarthy, McClean - Long, Keane

SWEDEN (missing Elm, Granqvist, Bengtsson)
Isaksson - Lustig, Nilsson, Antonsson, Olsson - Wernbloom, Ekdal - Larsson, Ibrahimovic, Kacaniklic - Elmander

Cheers

[Vaughany]

Ireland always tough to beat at home, they raise their game. And Sweden defended like chumps against Norway in their last game which puts me off a bit. They shouldnt be losing to Ireland tho

[ginger565]

Sweden won after all but no goal from Ibrahimovic who was assisting instead of scoring :/ Anyways some nice info for today. Some of it could come in handy.
WC qualifiers Africa: Gambia - Tanzania
Hosts are eyeing a revenge and Tanzania is coming in this match without seven key players including three best strikers, most experienced defender and three important midfielders (Samata, Ulimwengu, Bocco, Abubakar, Athuman, Yondani, Kapombe).
Odds on home team victory are around 1.80..still worth a shot.
MLS league: LA Galaxy - Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles will miss their two best strikers Donovan and Keane who scored 12 out of last 13 Galaxy's goals. Instead young Villareal and McBean will step up. They are also without first goalkeeper Penedo, and chief in defense Gonzalez. Colorado lost only once in last 10 outings and they could surprise here as they dont have much problems with absences except for Torres.

handicap +1 on away team..or X2 is also equivalent

[ginger565]

Gambia is leading 2:0 in 67th min Did anyone follow perhaps?

[Vaughany]

Gambia is leading 2:0 in 67th min Did anyone follow perhaps?

Unfortunately not! May play the Colorado +1 tho, very tempting

[ginger565]

Unfortunately not! May play the Colorado +1 tho, very tempting

Both Gambia and Colorado won..another good day behind us..stay tuned for today's picks

[ginger565]

Corinthias – Nautico


Corinthias is one of the very best teams in the league with very wide and quality bench while Nautico is by far the worst team in the league.
Nautico has obvious problems with quality, especially in the offensive part which is proven by fact that they’ve only scored one goal in the last seven games (nine in whole season). They already had a tight schedule they couldn’t cope with and now they also had some postponed matches to play and all that is a real nightmare for them. This will be their third match in only six days and in last two they lost on home turf without even scoring a goal. These days they’ve also made their FIFTH switch on coaching position in the last five months and it is most obvious that the problem is not in staff but in lack of quality in player roster.
Corinthias has some problems with injuries for this match and will miss kinds of Pato and Emerson but there are still Romarinho and Danilo and I have absolutely no doubt that they will find the way to Nautico’s net.
Hosts have excellent defense which is allowing only 0.44 goals per match and I don’t see how Nautico who scored only once in last seven away games could be a threat here, moreover because Corinthias received only one goal on home turf since end of May (including all competitions!!!!). I expect that trend to continue.


Bet: Away team NOT to score
Odds: 1.80


Equivalent is also home team to win without receiving a goal which can be found at around 2.00 but I prefer first option which is safer.
Cheers

[pellumb341]

nice picks mate , information is the key of success

[ginger565]

nice picks mate , information is the key of success

True, true, true..another good day in profit Thans mate

[ginger565]

SLOVENIA – CYPRUS (WCQ Europe)
Slovenia and Cyprus played seven times so far and not once did Cyprus manage to win. There is absolutely no reason why that trend should be broken today. Their motivation is not on the highest level as they don’t have even theoretical chance to go to Brasil and they have a lot of problems with absences. Striker Cristofi, defender Christoua and winger Efrem are all out including one of their most dangerous offensive player from APOEL, Aloneftis who has a suspension. As for their play it is enough to say that they haven’t scored in more than 340 minutes.
Slovenia on the other hand will be boosted by the return of their captain Cesar and they still have a chance to advance at least to play-offs if they win all the remaining three matches. They’ve had a bit of luck beating Albania recently but their stable and organized, moreover disciplined play will be enough to get them all three points here against last-placed Cyprus.
Bet: 2
Odds: 2.10

[ZdenoK]

SLOVENIA – CYPRUS (WCQ Europe)
Slovenia and Cyprus played seven times so far and not once did Cyprus manage to win. There is absolutely no reason why that trend should be broken today. Their motivation is not on the highest level as they don’t have even theoretical chance to go to Brasil and they have a lot of problems with absences. Striker Cristofi, defender Christoua and winger Efrem are all out including one of their most dangerous offensive player from APOEL, Aloneftis who has a suspension. As for their play it is enough to say that they haven’t scored in more than 340 minutes.
Slovenia on the other hand will be boosted by the return of their captain Cesar and they still have a chance to advance at least to play-offs if they win all the remaining three matches. They’ve had a bit of luck beating Albania recently but their stable and organized, moreover disciplined play will be enough to get them all three points here against last-placed Cyprus.
Bet: 2
Odds: 2.10

You made a mistake with your tip. I'm on Slovenia as well and under 2.5.

[pellumb341]

yeah i agree that Cyprus has no motivation and they are shit (watched them in the first game against Albania) , good thing that some key players are missing.The only thing that concerns me is that Slovenia is not as good as people think.I have watched both games against Albania ,the first one they lost 1-0 and the second one they won 1-0 before 3 days...but as you said they were very veryyy lucky and the only reason why they won was : Handanovic.Anyways,let's hope they win.

[onemoregoal]

Cypriots will take the money if any is offered

[ginger565]

You made a mistake with your tip. I'm on Slovenia as well and under 2.5.

I don't see the mistake..I also took Slovenia to win

[ZdenoK]

I don't see the mistake..I also took Slovenia to win

You accidently switched the teams in title, put Slovenia as home team and later with pick marked your bet on team 2. Just wanted to point that out so somebody might follow the wrong tip! Should be clear who you backed up to anyone who read the analysis though. Nonetheless, good job

[ginger565]

NAUTICO – GREMIO
Nautico so far managed to collect only 9 points which is 13 less than they need to get to safe zone so in reality no one believes they will be able to stay up in this league. Even the chairman decided to give up – after they fired their last coach (fifth time this season) they decided not to invest in new coaching names so they left the team in hands of inexperienced former assistant.
In last round they’ve managed to get a point away in Corinthias but it was lack of efficiency from opponents side that caused the goalless draw. Only spark of “creativity” from Nautico was kicking the ball as far from their goal as they can. That kind of play brought them only one goal in last 8 rounds, and today they’ll be without two of their best strikers Carioca and Rogerio (suspension and injury).
Gremio is on the other hand on second place, only six points behind leading Cruzeiro and today they’ll try to shorten the gap because Cruzeiro is also going on difficult away trip to Goias where Gremio was also defeated two rounds before. That defeat was the only “black spot” in Gremio’s form – in last seven outings they won six. They do have some absences but those are not so important for the team and are mostly related to defense line which inefficient Nautico is not capable to put in danger. Since they appointed coach Gaucho they’ve found their winning formula and I really don’t see how Nautico will be able get two consecutive positive results against top teams – they wouldn’t be on the last spot if they are really able to do so.

Bet: 2 (Gremio wins)
Odds: 2.00
Cheers

[stemellor]

NAUTICO – GREMIO
Nautico so far managed to collect only 9 points which is 13 less than they need to get to safe zone so in reality no one believes they will be able to stay up in this league. Even the chairman decided to give up – after they fired their last coach (fifth time this season) they decided not to invest in new coaching names so they left the team in hands of inexperienced former assistant.
In last round they’ve managed to get a point away in Corinthias but it was lack of efficiency from opponents side that caused the goalless draw. Only spark of “creativity” from Nautico was kicking the ball as far from their goal as they can. That kind of play brought them only one goal in last 8 rounds, and today they’ll be without two of their best strikers Carioca and Rogerio (suspension and injury).
Gremio is on the other hand on second place, only six points behind leading Cruzeiro and today they’ll try to shorten the gap because Cruzeiro is also going on difficult away trip to Goias where Gremio was also defeated two rounds before. That defeat was the only “black spot” in Gremio’s form – in last seven outings they won six. They do have some absences but those are not so important for the team and are mostly related to defense line which inefficient Nautico is not capable to put in danger. Since they appointed coach Gaucho they’ve found their winning formula and I really don’t see how Nautico will be able get two consecutive positive results against top teams – they wouldn’t be on the last spot if they are really able to do so.

Bet: 2 (Gremio wins)
Odds: 2.00
Cheers

Thanks - really good pick

[ginger565]

ATLETICO ** - CORITIBA
Atletico is on the edge of falling into danger zone and therefore they have an imperative to win today and key factors should be the home turf and absent players in the visiting team. In home team strikers Donizeti and Guilherme are fit after injuries and should provide enough firepower upfront today when Tardelli is expected to get some rest.
On the other hand there is probably no team in Brazil with one player standing apart and above his teammates like Coritiba with Alex. He did not even travel for this away match, even though he is not injured according to betprepare betting site where I found that info. Other than Alex, several more players will be missing today in all lines, including defensive midfielder Junior Urso and the important defensive pair Leandro Almeida and Victor Ferraz. Because of this, the Coritiba defense will feature three players with only eight matches played in total between them.
Odds on home win are already down so I’ll go with home team to score some goals. Atletico has scored at least two goals in six out of last seven home games and I expect the same today.
Bet: Home team over 1,5 goals
Odds: 1.85
Cheers

[Johndrama]

damn you're good, bet won in the 26th min, you're not even letting me sweat it for 90 min. I applaud you sir, keep up the good work

[bolek]

Thanx I tailed as well. Jo Jo Jo goal goal goal
Cheers

[ginger565]

Thanks people..there's more to come i hope Keep tuned

[ginger565]

AALEN – MUNICH 1860

Aalen seemed like a solid team beating Kaiserslautern recently but I don’t understand that they can be such major favourites against undoubtedly better Munich who is main candidate for promotion to Bundesliga. Quality difference between these two is major.
Even though this might be a difficult match I think odds on Draw no Bet are exceptionally good. Munich appointed new coach Funkel who by the way lead 5 different clubs to promotions so far and it’s expected for players to be motivated in order to prove their spot in first lineup with new coach.
Bet: DNB away win
Odds: 2.00
Cheers

[shodanyoz]

waiting for your next picks BOL

[ginger565]

Man Utd - Crystal Palace


Finally an "easy" game for United. Certainly easier than the matches they played recently. After the draw against Chelsea and defeat to Liverpool, this is the match where the Red Devils should prove the critics wrong. Crystal Palace doesn't have the firepower to make life difficult for United, unless the Manchester team underestimates them and doesn't go into the match fully concentrated. Since they are in a so called "crisis", I expect David Moyes' players to go all out from the beginning and break down the visitors in the first half. The next match for United is a local derby against City, and there is nothing better for boosting morale than a resounding win. As the captain Vidić points out, the defence is pretty good, but the attack has yet to start firing on all cylinders. This is the perfect opportunity for them. De Gea is confident in goal, and playing in front of a packed Old Trafford has never been easy, and it certainly won't be for today's visiting team.


Bet: Home team to win by nil
Odds: 1,85