A 3 team parlay I consider solid

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    A 3 team parlay I consider solid
    Green Bay +4 (-110)
    Arizona -3 (-105)
    Cleveland -1.5 (-110)

    Pays a hair more than 6-1.
  • pat venditto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-07-07
    • 14347

    #2
    square.
    Comment
    • SBR Lou
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-02-07
      • 37863

      #3
      Originally posted by pat venditto
      square.
      Which leg do you disagree with?
      Comment
      • laxdjock
        SBR MVP
        • 09-15-07
        • 4074

        #4
        I'm not high on GB.....Tenn is legit, and I wouldn't be surprised if they win by 7-10.
        Comment
        • Tsoprano
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-14-08
          • 26374

          #5
          Originally posted by pat venditto
          square.
          No, rectangle.
          Comment
          • laxdjock
            SBR MVP
            • 09-15-07
            • 4074

            #6
            B'more and CLE is too close to call.
            Comment
            • SBR Lou
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 08-02-07
              • 37863

              #7
              Originally posted by laxdjock
              I'm not high on GB.....Tenn is legit, and I wouldn't be surprised if they win by 7-10.
              Look at Tenn's next 5 games after GB. Ain't staying undefeated forever, and that being said, they can still squeak out a victory and not cover here. Rodgers is fresh off his new $50M+ contract extension and has an obvious edge over Collins.
              Comment
              • nick2060
                SBR MVP
                • 10-28-08
                • 1051

                #8
                tennessee is definitely beatable and green bays a pretty solid team and has a legit shot. I don't see all three games coming through just because theyre all pretty tough, but best of luck.
                Comment
                • ryanXL977
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-24-08
                  • 20615

                  #9
                  those are the 3 toughest games on the board, if you get all 3, you are a bad ass
                  i like balti, tenn a lot
                  i like stl a bit

                  but i suck at nfl

                  gl
                  Comment
                  • smitch124
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-19-08
                    • 12566

                    #10
                    A 3 team parlay in the NFL feels like it should pay 12-1, why is that?
                    Comment
                    • element1286
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-25-08
                      • 3370

                      #11
                      You did pick some tough ones. I like Baltimore and Arizona a little. And Green Bay a little more. But good luck.
                      Comment
                      • Legend4Aday
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-14-08
                        • 270

                        #12
                        Minnesota, and GL all
                        Comment
                        • TheAnswer03
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-16-08
                          • 191

                          #13
                          This is the week Tennessee loses.
                          Comment
                          • whoatommy
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-29-08
                            • 863

                            #14
                            Going big on the Rams, they're gonna keep rolling. 3-0 ATS the last 3 weeks. With Jackson back and playing at home, I think they outscore the Cards. Line hasn't moved with 75% on the Cards. Red flag right there.
                            Comment
                            • whoatommy
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-29-08
                              • 863

                              #15
                              Originally posted by laxdjock
                              I'm not high on GB.....Tenn is legit, and I wouldn't be surprised if they win by 7-10.
                              Beating a 2008 Colts team isn't very impressive. Still not sold on Tenn. They're good, but not great. Very beatable team with a couple turnovers going the other way. With that said, I'm still afraid of them, lol.
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Green Bay is the best bet of the week, but the other two will lose.
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by laxdjock
                                  I'm not high on GB.....Tenn is legit, and I wouldn't be surprised if they win by 7-10.
                                  Oh Tennessee is good, but Green Bay is a great situational play here. This is a relatively meaningless non-conference game for the Titans (especially with a two game lead in division) following an emotional win vs. their biggest divisional rival on national TV, and they are on a short week to boot.
                                  Comment
                                  • pat venditto
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-07-07
                                    • 14347

                                    #18
                                    all these angles unreal. just flip a coin lt. tennesee at home 7-0 you dont go against that. you either bet them on you pass.losing proposition. overanalyzing
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by pat venditto
                                      all these angles unreal. just flip a coin lt. tennesee at home 7-0 you dont go against that. you either bet them on you pass.losing proposition. overanalyzing
                                      No...WINNING.

                                      If it was as easy as just playing 7-0 teams at home, we would all be rich and all sportsbooks would be closed.
                                      Comment
                                      • pat venditto
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 05-07-07
                                        • 14347

                                        #20
                                        your playing the rigged theory angle. fact of the matter is bettors lose long term because they risk too much per bet. usually 20-100% of their roll you're wrong pal.teams 7-0 has top 3 d in the league you don't fade it. esp when their at home. you're burried lt.
                                        Comment
                                        • donjuan
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-29-07
                                          • 3993

                                          #21
                                          fact of the matter is bettors lose long term because they risk too much per bet.
                                          Only because their optimal stake is 0 on most of their bets.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by pat venditto
                                            your playing the rigged theory angle. fact of the matter is bettors lose long term because they risk too much per bet. usually 20-100% of their roll you're wrong pal.teams 7-0 has top 3 d in the league you don't fade it. esp when their at home. you're burried lt.
                                            Wouldn't call 55% buried.

                                            And no, not the "rigged theory" but the emotional theory, which is very valid. This is an obvious letdown spot for Tennessee. Period.

                                            And I don't know how you went from my plays to a discussion about guys that overbet their plays.
                                            Comment
                                            • pat venditto
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-07-07
                                              • 14347

                                              #23
                                              because you were talking about books being in business for a reason, and the reason is because bettors dont have good risk management and are looking to gamble big % of their roll. sharp books are never risking 50% of their worth on one game like bettors and thats why books are in business.not because of rigged theory angles saying the titans can't cover just because they had an emotional win last week and their 7-0 so they must lose sometime right? even though their at home and are the better team?losing proposition.
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                OK, now I see and I agree with the first part of that. As for the last part though, I am big on emotional angles because they are usually not factored into the line enough. The Packers simply need this game more, and yes, while Tennessee is better, there is no way that can match their intensity of Monday night here.
                                                Comment
                                                • pat venditto
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-07-07
                                                  • 14347

                                                  #25
                                                  okay pal you talked me into it.

                                                  ALL IN TENNESEE

                                                  just kidding. passing gl.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MonkeyF0cker
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 06-12-07
                                                    • 12144

                                                    #26
                                                    Big on GB as well.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ryanXL977
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                      • 20615

                                                      #27
                                                      tenn aint losing today
                                                      they are better than gb
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tsoprano
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 04-14-08
                                                        • 26374

                                                        #28
                                                        Green Bay will not cover
                                                        Comment
                                                        • fiveteamer
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 04-14-08
                                                          • 10805

                                                          #29
                                                          I'm taking GB on the ML with Clev.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • eidolon
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-02-08
                                                            • 9531

                                                            #30
                                                            Looking pretty good right now
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Tsoprano
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 04-14-08
                                                              • 26374

                                                              #31
                                                              Packers wont come through though.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ryanXL977
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-24-08
                                                                • 20615

                                                                #32
                                                                packers gonna win i think
                                                                balti will too thoough
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Tsoprano
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 04-14-08
                                                                  • 26374

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Titans defense is too much for them.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ryanXL977
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                                    • 20615

                                                                    #34
                                                                    i called that balti win down 14! **** eys
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SBR Lou
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 08-02-07
                                                                      • 37863

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Ouch. 2/3, was sweating GB game and the Browns were up 14 getting close to the 4th Q.
                                                                      Comment
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