Biggest Squares On The Planet To Fade

Sunde91 · 09-20-12, 09:01 PM

These guys are so good they take a "sharp" play with the Panthers, with basically split action so no fading public, and it gets blown out.

pulledclear · 09-20-12, 09:14 PM

Originally posted by Sunde91

http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks

12 of 12 at espn took the giants. Jeesus. Some guy on ESPN yesterday said Giants had a 90% chance to win

Should be a rule to fade any play under a 4.5 pt spread where 8 of 12 take the same side

Already loved these plays but the ones that fit this week

Tampa
Cards
Pitt

getting +money on all

KingJD31 · 09-23-12, 05:21 PM

All were on saints,all on niners,all but 1 on colts all but one on lions. Now they are all own balt. Really considering using this

sneakerhead · 09-27-12, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by sneakerhead

Correct me if I am wrong but these plays seem to qualify with the current lines:
Giants
Seahawks
Patriots
Raiders
Broncos
Dolphins (push ats)
Jaguars
Titans
Browns

The bolded teams won SU. The underlined teams covered spread.

SU last week if u bet ML should be ~ +4.06
ATS should be ~ +3.8
Last week was inconsistent though cause of refs and a lot of home teams covered. Lets see how this week goes, this is what falls into criteria:

Bills
Vikings
Chiefs
Jets
Jaguars
Bears

ElCapitan · 09-27-12, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by sneakerhead

Bills
Vikings
Chiefs
Jets
Jaguars
Bears

I like Vikings, Jets, and Bears to win SU. Also like Bills but staying away from KC and JAX.

bigsmitty · 09-27-12, 12:19 PM

Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn

the sad thing is the public listen to these goofs and get buried week after week...

Good stuff here. Like CLE, SEA, DEN, NYG. Remember the broadcasters are there primarily to be liked by the public so they'll spout back the basic public perception to be popular...Cheers

Full Time Hobo · 09-27-12, 12:26 PM

Funny stuff. This the first year you've been doing this?

HardCore · 09-27-12, 01:09 PM

on some real sh*t i wonder how many of them acually gamble i mean with all thier resources you cant tell me thier not raping books

GunShard · 09-27-12, 03:03 PM

So for Week 4, fade the spread on their unanimous decision. Basically fading the public.

Fade the following spreads:

Ravens
Falcons
Patriots
49ers
Texans
Broncos
Cardinals
Bengals
Packers

Rous · 09-27-12, 05:35 PM

NOOOO!!!! has to be a spread of 4.5 or less and at 8 least 8 out of 12 on the side. Read the ENTIRE thread before you throw plays and opinions out your aceeeeeee. Thanks.

Sunde91 · 09-28-12, 02:57 AM

Sneakerhead's units are right on

After 3 weeks

14-7 +13.26 SU
14-6-1 +7.4 ATS

The spread came into play in 3 games

Rams are an excellent play and I can't believe 5 of them picked em this week. Not lovin this card but the system dont give a shit

ZetaPsi808 · 09-28-12, 03:04 AM

sunde solid angles

i might blindly fade these fools in week 4

paco · 10-08-12, 07:35 PM

Every espn analysts picked Houston, Sunde: does this theory prevail tonight?

PromiseLand · 10-08-12, 07:37 PM

I thought I would be on the list with my 0-5 posted plays yesterday. I guess I can always dream...

testertips · 10-08-12, 07:38 PM

Originally posted by paco

Every espn analysts picked Houston, Sunde: does this theory prevail tonight?

cbs 100% on houston to cover too

paco · 10-08-12, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by testertips

cbs 100% on houston to cover too

paco · 10-08-12, 11:46 PM

Originally posted by testertips

cbs 100% on houston to cover too

And it continues,

testertips · 10-09-12, 12:30 AM

Originally posted by paco

And it continues,

sneakerhead · 10-09-12, 12:59 AM

didnt keep track this week but quick calculations:
ATS: 3-2 (+.8 Units)
ML: 2-3 (-.5 Units)

NYSportsGuy210 · 10-09-12, 01:20 AM

What website can I get these picks on?

leetreaper · 10-09-12, 01:23 AM

cbs, it was mentioned a million times here...

sneakerhead · 10-09-12, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210

What website can I get these picks on?

2024 NFL Expert Picks | ESPN

http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks

Visit ESPN to view NFL Expert Picks for the current week and season

NYSportsGuy210 · 10-09-12, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by sneakerhead

http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks

Thanks sneaker. I Googled "CBS NFL Football Picks Week 5" too.

I got this link: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/feature...s/expert/picks

leetreaper · 10-09-12, 01:30 AM

Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210

Thanks sneaker. I Googled "CBS NFL Football Picks Week 5" too.

I got this link: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/feature...s/expert/picks

Thats the one, click on college football, ull get the cfb picks as well...

NYSportsGuy210 · 10-09-12, 01:31 AM

Originally posted by leetreaper

Thats the one, click on college football, ull get the cfb picks as well...

Are the CBS guys good fades for college football though?

sneakerhead · 10-09-12, 01:34 AM

Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210

Are the CBS guys good fades for college football though?

i didnt track this year, last year one dude was pretty solid though

leetreaper · 10-09-12, 01:37 AM

Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210

Are the CBS guys good fades for college football though?

College is pretty easy, st8forward, fading NFL is a better idea if u want to do that...

Sunde91 · 10-09-12, 01:51 AM

I think CBS guys have a much better clue. Their ATS numbers for sure aren't bad enough to fade.

Week 4 to be literal Miami moved to 4 so count
2-5 -1.8 SU
3-4 -1.4 ATS

Week 5
2-3 -.5 SU
3-2 +.8 ATS

Overall
18-15 +10.96 SU
20-12-1 +6.8 ATS

Spread came into play in 5 of 32 games

I don't remember or care to comeback and track consistently so Sneaker feel free if it comes to mind.

NYSportsGuy210 · 10-09-12, 01:56 AM

Okay so only play games that have spreads of 4.5 or lower and fade the ESPN guys when 8 or more of the 12 are on a certain team SU.

Got it. When do their picks come out....every Wednesday?

PAYTON20 · 10-09-12, 02:15 AM

It's actually crossed my mind that ESPN and popular media is working in direct conjunction with the books because of how often they're dead wrong.

It's almost as if they promote a losing play at times

Sunde91 · 10-09-12, 02:21 AM

All picks should be up by Thursday.

Profit in the NFL is profit and I'm confident fading them any number of ways wings long term because they are the ultimate perception meter. They live week to week and only buy teams when they're high and sell when they're low. It's reflected in inflated lines that have added value.

It's better than fading public %s. An example is Giants/Pathers with split action, yet they all took Panthers. Why? Because Panthers were off a win over Saints, a team they still think is elite, so they believe Panthers are super legit. While Giants were off a sloppy win vs Tampa, so they suck.

hockey216 · 10-09-12, 02:25 AM

you could just wait for the nba playoffs and fade michael wilbon. the guy is an auto-fade.

Thor4140 · 10-09-12, 09:53 AM

Originally posted by PAYTON20

It's actually crossed my mind that ESPN and popular media is working in direct conjunction with the books because of how often they're dead wrong.

It's almost as if they promote a losing play at times

that crossed my mind fifteen years aggo but try convincing nitwits of this. That ticker is another thing to suck u in on a bet. This country is great for this kind of sneaky shit. Remember Kramer giving out stock picks and getting caught misleading people into buyin AIG? Fade those stock shows also.

The Seer · 10-09-12, 01:14 PM

Originally posted by Sunde91

Profit in the NFL is profit and I'm confident fading them any number of ways wings long term because they are the ultimate perception meter. They live week to week and only buy teams when they're high and sell when they're low. It's reflected in inflated lines that have added value.

listen up boys, Sunde gets it

jjgold · 10-09-12, 01:29 PM

You have to out guess them

Real simple