The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

[groovybrandone]

cleveland is pk now

edit. jk read it wrong, its pk +105, -1.5 -110

[Dexter]

my NFL plays for early games:

Clev +3 -120 2 units
TBay -4 -110 1 unit
Atl -9 1/2 -110 1 unit
Dal +3 1/2 -115 2 units
Det +3 1/2 -110 1 unit
Mia -4 -120 2 units

good night

Did you ever track your plays like this in years past? I see you've been here since 2007 but don't recall seeing you before - then again i dont venture much into other thread esp in PT

Good Luck today...

[Dexter]

Nobody feels even a little bit bad for this guy? I mean his life has to be pretty sad. To pick out basically the only successful capper and lay into him just reeks of feelings of inadequacy. I hope things turn around for you Daimo.

cmon Dr. Stale - he cant be the "only" successful capper out there.

[groovybrandone]

darn, gotta sit cleveland out. lines arent moving back and its -190 for +3 lol. have them in a teaser though. gluck today yall and thanks for the picks seer

[The Seer]

Season update through Sat 10/13/2012

NCAAF
includes sides & totals
wk 1: 3-3, +2.70 units
wk 2: 11-6, +10.05 units
wk 3: 11-9, -.50 units
wk 4: 16-15, +5.25 units
wk 5: 22-9, +20.90 units
wk 6: 21-12-1, +9.05 units
wk 7: 14-14-1, -3.55 units ( I excluded the 2 unit win on Ark since not all books paid)
NCAAF total year to date 98-68-2, +43.90 units

NFL
includes sides, totals, props
wk 1: 6-9, -3.35 units
wk 2: 6-4-1, +2.35 units
wk 3: 14-7, +13.25 units
wk 4: 13-11, -.15 units
wk 5: 16-7, +8.20 units
wk 6: 1-2, -1.10 units

NFL total year to date 56-40-1, +19.20 units

Grand total 154-108-3, +63.10 units

[jihadvillager]

Season update through Sat 10/13/2012

NCAAF
includes sides & totals
wk 1: 3-3, +2.70 units
wk 2: 11-6, +10.05 units
wk 3: 11-9, -.50 units
wk 4: 16-15, +5.25 units
wk 5: 22-9, +20.90 units
wk 6: 21-12-1, +9.05 units
wk 7: 14-14-1, -3.55 units ( I excluded the 2 unit win on Ark since not all books paid)
NCAAF total year to date 98-68-2, +43.90 units

NFL
includes sides, totals, props
wk 1: 6-9, -3.35 units
wk 2: 6-4-1, +2.35 units
wk 3: 14-7, +13.25 units
wk 4: 13-11, -.15 units
wk 5: 16-7, +8.20 units
wk 6: 1-2, -1.10 units

NFL total year to date 56-40-1, +19.20 units

Grand total 154-108-3, +63.10 units

Thanks for the picks- most of the lines we locked in last night got worse this morning so it was good to have locked in a little early. Bol to us today!

[The Seer]

Thanks for the picks- most of the lines we locked in last night got worse this morning so it was good to have locked in a little early. Bol to us today!

I just decided to get the final work in late last night and felt like I knew which way the movement was going. GL to us.

some notes on todays games that influenced my bets:
Whichever team was favored in the last 25 games involving Dallas has only covered 4 times. Lines based on public perception seem to be spot on in their games. They are also historically a good bet off a bye. They still have the number 1 pass defense in the NFL which should prove too much for a QB like Flacco. I loved the match up of DWare & the Baltimore Oline.

Atl wins at home. Smith is 30-13 as a fave. It was also about the ineptness of the raiders especially on the road where this year they have been beaten 21-3, 35-13, & 37-6. They have lost SU & AS their last 8 games out of the bye. I still hate big spreads though in the NFL.

Detroit's Dline with Suh should have a field day vs Vick. Plus, I was taking anything over a fg as other than Philly's blowout loss to AZ all of their other games were decided by 2 points and 1 point.

Clev outgained Cin when they played in week 2. The Bengals have only covered 3 of 16 as a fave and in this series the fave has only covered 1 of 10. They play close games. Cincy is perceived to be as good as they were last year but they're not.

Miami has the number 1 rushing defense in the NFL and are tied for 3rd in interceptions which puts pressure on Bradford to make the plays. St L's 2 losses were on the road.

[falcon42]

Here are my plays (with a lot of influence from your plays)

Rams/Dolphins OVER 38 (1.5u)
Dolphins -5.5 (2u)
Lions +3.5 (3u)
Cowboys +3 (2u) & 1 unit on ML
Raiders +10 (1.5u)
Browns +1.5 and ML (1 unit a piece)
Giants/49ers OVER 46.5 (2u)
Giants +6.5 (2u)
Cardinals -4 (1.5u)
Seahawks +3.5 (1.5u)
Chargers SU (1u)


the only one I am against you on is Raiders +10, and that is kind of by the reasoning that you stated not liking big NFL lines. I also think they get a few things fixed coming out of the bye.

Interested to see the rest of your plays this weekend, and thanks again for all the picks and insight

[The Seer]

Here are my plays (with a lot of influence from your plays)

Rams/Dolphins OVER 38 (1.5u)
Dolphins -5.5 (2u)
Lions +3.5 (3u)
Cowboys +3 (2u) & 1 unit on ML
Raiders +10 (1.5u)
Browns +1.5 and ML (1 unit a piece)
Giants/49ers OVER 46.5 (2u)
Giants +6.5 (2u)
Cardinals -4 (1.5u)
Seahawks +3.5 (1.5u)
Chargers SU (1u)


the only one I am against you on is Raiders +10, and that is kind of by the reasoning that you stated not liking big NFL lines. I also think they get a few things fixed coming out of the bye.

Interested to see the rest of your plays this weekend, and thanks again for all the picks and insight

looks good

[briedward]

Whew my under 19 first half cashed for STL/MIA thanks to two missed FGs by STL.

[tusky26]

I think I got lucky with my local book. We live in Arkansas and he is honoring the play. Makes sense though. He would have a freakin' mutiny if he called it a no play with how they have been playing. SOOOO many people played them that I think he knows how much he would lose in futures if he didn't. honor it.

[Smutbucket]

Did you ever track your plays like this in years past? I see you've been here since 2007 but don't recall seeing you before - then again i dont venture much into other thread esp in PT

Good Luck today...

he had a thread last year. its not totaled up entirely. from what I saw he was up units before having a rough end of season.....-30units + in ncaaf, not sure how he finished NFL,

this was copy and pasted from his thread from last year.....dated 12/28/11 (before his 2-14 -27units bowl run)

update:
NCAAF total YTD: 163-146 for +21.4 units
separately NCAAF Bowl games are: 13-4-1 +10.4
the best part is the bowls are on a 11-1-1 run gaining +13 units
NFL YTD: 154-131 +25.6 units
football total YTD: 317-277-16 for +47 units
the past week and a half run is 30-10-2 for +33.5 units which is nice since the end is near

heres his thread:
http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...hread-p33.html

[The Seer]

adding:
Seattle +4 -110 3 units
Arizona -5 -110 1 unit

[jihadvillager]

adding:
Seattle +4 -110 3 units
Arizona -5 -110 1 unit

Lets get it!we got backdoored on miami lets say a prayer for dallas but not keeping too many high hopes. Feel like the refs screwed the cowboys this most of this game.

[The Seer]

adding:
7 pt teaser SF pick & GB +10 -130 2 units

[groovybrandone]

best we couldve hoped for there on dal

[jihadvillager]

adding:
7 pt teaser SF pick & GB +10 -130 2 units

love it. we got some love on dallas!

[moodyt2]

Come on Detroit!

[jihadvillager]

nice morning session. would have been monster if we didnt get backdoored on Miami but still nice to make out with a decent profit!

[jihadvillager]

seahawks need to give flynn a shot. wilson in a slump- that fumble NE 30 might have cost us the cover. tough luck

[The Seer]

only two plays for me tonight, gonna be out, GL

Foster over 105 1/2 yds -115 1 unit
Rogers under 285.5 yds -115 1 unit

[jihadvillager]

only two plays for me tonight, gonna be out, GL
Foster over 105 1/2 yds -115 1 unit
Rogers under 285.5 yds -115 1 unit

Thanks Seer- have a Good night!

[jihadvillager]

cmon seattle. One time!

[groovybrandone]

hell of a throw by wilson

[jihadvillager]

penetrate YEA! hell of a hit Seer.

[briedward]

I'm happy to report I made up yesterday's loss with winning 100% today. So I can have a healthy bankroll to follow seer next Saturday. I bet 5 units under first half MIA/STL, 5 units DET spread, 10 units ML ATL (sweatfest), 5 units NYG ML (I believe in Eli, especially on the road). Wish I had bet more on NYG - I stared at second half ML for that game which was +230 but I didn't pull the trigger. My motto: lose big, win small.

[jihadvillager]

public on the over 2nite. no lean on the under Seer?

[tr4sh]

Did Seahawks really pull that off? wow I stopped following when Pats had the ball in redzone up 13.

[jihadvillager]

Did Seahawks really pull that off? wow I stopped following when Pats had the ball in redzone up 13.

yeah brady picked, then seahawks ran it down to NE 30 and fumbled, then they stopped NE, then got and TD, then stopped NE then failed to score, then stopped NE again, and then Scored the winning TD.

[The Seer]

public on the over 2nite. no lean on the under Seer?

Yes only because I found a 47 & I think Hou will grind it best they can & don't want to get in a shootout

GB/Hou under 47 -105 1 unit

[The Seer]

adding:
2nd half Hou -4 -110 1 unit

[tblues2005]

Thanks The Seer.

[Dexter]

he had a thread last year. its not totaled up entirely. from what I saw he was up units before having a rough end of season.....-30units + in ncaaf, not sure how he finished NFL,

this was copy and pasted from his thread from last year.....dated 12/28/11 (before his 2-14 -27units bowl run)

update:
NCAAF total YTD: 163-146 for +21.4 units
separately NCAAF Bowl games are: 13-4-1 +10.4
the best part is the bowls are on a 11-1-1 run gaining +13 units
NFL YTD: 154-131 +25.6 units
football total YTD: 317-277-16 for +47 units
the past week and a half run is 30-10-2 for +33.5 units which is nice since the end is near

heres his thread:
http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...hread-p33.html

thanks for the reply - i guess TheSeer is big time here in PT and has others reply for him....

[jihadvillager]

tough night game for us. thanks for the picks and get some rest Seer!

[The Seer]

tough night game for us. thanks for the picks and get some rest Seer!

yep, 4-7 today,at least we hit the biggest one
we'll see what we can't come up with for tomorrow

[/B]thanks for the reply - i guess TheSeer is big time here in PT and has others reply for him....

not sure what you mean but sometimes with all of the posts I miss a few when it's busy