The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

**MrWD** · 10-04-12, 06:13 PM

Seer,

What made you pick Stl? Is it because Arizona cannot go 5-0?

**The Seer** · 10-04-12, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by MrWD

Seer,

What made you pick Stl? Is it because Arizona cannot go 5-0?

Jeff Fisher has drastically improved StL
2-0 at home under Fisher
StL lost by 6 & 3 last year
Az coming off OT win on short week
3 of AZ wins have been by 4 points or less

**MrWD** · 10-04-12, 06:34 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

Jeff Fisher has drastically improved StL
2-0 at home under Fisher
StL lost by 6 & 3 last year
Az coming off OT win on short week
3 of AZ wins have been by 4 points or less

Ah, very nice details! Gluck!

**jihadvillager** · 10-04-12, 08:47 PM

any play on EC 2h?

**tusky26** · 10-04-12, 09:02 PM

Seer,
First, nice "In yo' face!" reply to that hater daimloshakake or whatever the flip his name is. I went and looked at his recent posts and ALL of them are just like these. Talking smack and not posting anything to substantiate himself as a reliable judge of anything more than a beat off.

Secondly, thanks for taking the time to explain some of the picks. I am an average Joe who wants the thrill of gambling but I don't take the time needed to cap games. Nor the know how. My learning curve is too great, so I read the logic that you put into it and follow blindly (for the most part) on some of the picks. Its hard to roll with each pick honestly. I am a chef, so game time plays are when I'm on the line cooking my ass off, so I tail what I can. I have shapoopy luck, so I lose more than I win.

In all this, I did have a question..... Are your picks and the units placed on them strictly based on the capping and your confidence in them, or does bank roll come into play on unit decision sometimes? I ask because of a comment I read a page or two back. Can't remember exactly what, but anyway.......

**The Seer** · 10-04-12, 09:18 PM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

any play on EC 2h?

No, just letting it all ride

**The Seer** · 10-04-12, 09:23 PM

Originally posted by tusky26

Seer,

In all this, I did have a question..... Are your picks and the units placed on them strictly based on the capping and your confidence in them, or does bank roll come into play on unit decision sometimes? I ask because of a comment I read a page or two back. Can't remember exactly what, but anyway.......

It's all of the above: i first weigh the info then confidence then bankroll

**Lazyboy311** · 10-04-12, 10:03 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

It's all of the above: i first weigh the info then confidence then bankroll

......and when all is said and done, you weigh your bankroll

You da man!!! Thanks as always, sir. Too bad ur a UT fan

**Pistol_Peter** · 10-04-12, 11:02 PM

I went 2-1 today and I'm okay with that.

I bet the 1H Utah +8, Ark St. -2, and ECU +11.5. Little upset I didn't play the STL at +2, but I'm done messing with NFL for now.

Thanks again for your picks Seer. In my mind, I thought USC would just over power Utah at the end so I couldn't take them for the whole game.

**The Seer** · 10-04-12, 11:33 PM

Originally posted by Pistol_Peter

I went 2-1 today and I'm okay with that.

I bet the 1H Utah +8, Ark St. -2, and ECU +11.5. Little upset I didn't play the STL at +2, but I'm done messing with NFL for now.

Thanks again for your picks Seer. In my mind, I thought USC would just over power Utah at the end so I couldn't take them for the whole game.

I hear ya. I thought I was gonna lose Utah after the pick 6 but thanks to the ole backdoor cover: 3-2 +.85 units. It beats losing. UCF got steamed late so I had a feeling EC was doomed. That's sometimes why I wait on games because I hate getting steam on the opposite side. It makes me think I totally missed something. I usually will just drop the play. GL this weekend.

**baskets** · 10-04-12, 11:38 PM

Seer, will you please start a thread to send JJ to Asia to pick up some Thailand piece of pussy to pal around on some exotic island.?

I tell the truth at SBR so people don't like my frankness. But you have the necessary popularity to put a thread out there to get JJ to Asia where he can make some excellent videos.

This needs to happen to take SBR to the next level

**2TrivBicc** · 10-04-12, 11:43 PM

Positive night with your insight thx again. Looking forward to the weekend! Have a good 1

**shooms79** · 10-05-12, 12:19 AM

3-2. Good night sir. Usually books love thurs bc public gets waxed and chases friday and in a hole. Kudos and keep up the good work

**briedward** · 10-05-12, 12:52 AM

Nice job Seer!

**bigelv** · 10-05-12, 04:29 PM

Seer u gonna have anything for tonight?

**Dmoneytx** · 10-05-12, 04:50 PM

Seer, just wanted to say hi. I cap in the tennis section & I have heard that YOU are an excellent capper to tag along with college football. I know how games can sometimes go unpredicted, but I have good faith that you know what you are doing and will prob do well. Just wanted to say thanks in advance for the time and effort you put into your picks and will for the furture. Best of luck this weekend, I'll be pulling for ya

**moodyt2** · 10-05-12, 05:16 PM

Still liking Syracuse in tonight's game?

**jrmartin.mig** · 10-05-12, 05:29 PM

What's the deal with the line movement in the Pitt Syracuse game tonight?

**moodyt2** · 10-05-12, 05:48 PM

13 minutes till game time. Is this one a no play for you Seer?

**The Seer** · 10-05-12, 05:49 PM

Alright guys, real busy this afternoon
I took
Syracuse -2 -110 2 units

I'll should be able get back on here before the late game. I'm leaning Utah St.

**Romanov** · 10-05-12, 05:57 PM

Thx man. BOL

**jihadvillager** · 10-05-12, 06:00 PM

Thanks seer

**caseyking2** · 10-05-12, 06:42 PM

Seer congrats on the run. Just out of curiosity what are your unit values? Its probably in your post somewhere but I couldn't find it. Congrats again.

**2TrivBicc** · 10-05-12, 06:56 PM

Thx Seer got the Orangemen @ my local +2 mid week! BOL

**Romanov** · 10-05-12, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by caseyking2

Seer congrats on the run. Just out of curiosity what are your unit values? Its probably in your post somewhere but I couldn't find it. Congrats again.

If i recall correctly, he plays $100/unit.

Seer, are you going to play this nxt one close to gametime or early?

**jihadvillager** · 10-05-12, 07:06 PM

Was leaning byu but line dropped to 6.5. Wil follow the seer as usual

**The Seer** · 10-05-12, 07:32 PM

Originally posted by jrmartin.mig

What's the deal with the line movement in the Pitt Syracuse game tonight?

Not real sure what caused movement that big. AS with most games I read alot of local coverage of teams. Bye weeks can help or hurt teams. From what I read up on, it really helped Syracuse. Syracuse had excellent practices and thought they corrected alot of things in that time. Their was never much of a problem with their scheme or personnel. They were being hurt by alot of penalties and turnovers. They were averaging almost 500 yds of offense but were shooting themselves in the foot.They felt they fixed this and were confident going into this game. Like I said before, bye weeks can hurt some teams and I felt it might have hurt the momentum that Pitt had going. I had a gut feeling that Pitt would regress a little. I couldn't get much else on Pitt so I could only go 2 units here based mainly on how I thought Syracuse was capable of playing here. Somebody must have seen something more than me causing the line movement. I also leaned over but I'm not real confident in totals right now.

**The Seer** · 10-05-12, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by baskets

Seer, will you please start a thread to send JJ to Asia to pick up some Thailand piece of pussy to pal around on some exotic island.?

I tell the truth at SBR so people don't like my frankness. But you have the necessary popularity to put a thread out there to get JJ to Asia where he can make some excellent videos.

This needs to happen to take SBR to the next level

Baskets, jj is real stubborn. He complains about being a loser and having a miserable life but I don't think he would know what to do otherwise. Like women are naturally drawn to drama, jj is drawn to misery. He's rather stay home lonely and lose bets.

**The Seer** · 10-05-12, 07:37 PM

Originally posted by 2TrivBicc

Positive night with your insight thx again. Looking forward to the weekend! Have a good 1

Originally posted by shooms79

3-2. Good night sir. Usually books love thurs bc public gets waxed and chases friday and in a hole. Kudos and keep up the good work

Originally posted by briedward

Nice job Seer!

**The Seer** · 10-05-12, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by Dmoneytx

Seer, just wanted to say hi. I cap in the tennis section & I have heard that YOU are an excellent capper to tag along with college football. I know how games can sometimes go unpredicted, but I have good faith that you know what you are doing and will prob do well. Just wanted to say thanks in advance for the time and effort you put into your picks and will for the furture. Best of luck this weekend, I'll be pulling for ya

Hey fella, I'll try to check out your tennis thread soon. Good luck in your plays.

**The Seer** · 10-05-12, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by caseyking2

Seer congrats on the run. Just out of curiosity what are your unit values? Its probably in your post somewhere but I couldn't find it. Congrats again.

Romanov is correct. I use units because it's universal. People play $10, $50, $100, $1000 or whatever. It's easier for everyone to keep track. Since I'm up over 50 units, if you were a $10 player you'd be up over $500, $100 player over $5000, etc.

**The Seer** · 10-05-12, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

Was leaning byu but line dropped to 6.5. Wil follow the seer as usual

There are some 7s out there now. I wouldn't play it at anything less than 7 and it's only worth a unit. If Syracuse covers, some guys may wish to pass and go into tomorrow up 2 units instead of risking one.

**jihadvillager** · 10-05-12, 08:58 PM

damn. middle is gona hit we gonna get ****** on cuse. happens!

**The Seer** · 10-05-12, 09:04 PM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

damn. middle is gona hit we gonna get ****** on cuse. happens!

yep, one of the few times.

late game
Utah St +7 -120 1 unit

**jaeguyoon** · 10-05-12, 09:17 PM

tough loss. I had pitt in a teaser so it's not too bad. But I need Utah St to cover +13.5 to close out the teaser. Let's go!