Over 6.5 Runs -135 tonight. Good Bet?

[HedgeHog]

5 Dimes has tonight's O/U at 6.5 -135 (on over). Score is 2-2 so just 3 more runs needed. Plus if each team can score one more run, it has to go Over (can't end at 3-3). Looks like a +Ev bet to me.

[pat venditto]

only if you expect the rays to be able to hit the phillies bullpen. hasn't happened yet.

[InTheHole]

A Lot of juice for a play that was originally 7-7.5 but I think it cashs. Good Luck!

[pat venditto]

how do you see it cashing?

[Doug]

I like it, a bit.

[InTheHole]

how do you see it cashing?

It's a NO PLAY for me ...my original play was u7 and I felt comfortable with that play on Monday...wouldn't attempt to predict a total for this game...too many unknown variables HOWEVER if your logic is that it won't go ovr because Tampa doesn't hit the Phil "Bullpen" I want you to consider how a middle reliever or closer wouldn't pitch to form in this senario. This is a must win situation for Tampa....throw everything out the window. Like I said NO PLAY so I take back "it cashes".

[pat venditto]

every game of the series is must win. tampa lost 3 of 4 so far so that logic is thrown out the window. fact of the matter is tampa is not producing.

[ZBOIZ]

I think the weather will play big factor with the totals tonight! 5DIMES had it at 7.5 last night and now it's at 6.5! Maybe It's a worth a look.

[InTheHole]

every game of the series is must win. tampa lost 3 of 4 so far so that logic is thrown out the window. fact of the matter is tampa is not producing.

You would know better than me

[ZBOIZ]

It's really cold and windy the reporters say

[ZBOIZ]

I might take the Under 7.5..... I'm really thinking

[Ganchrow]

A Lot of juice for a play that was originally 7-7.5 but I think it cashs. Good Luck!

Don't confuse juice with payout odds.

Juice on this bet (given the under @ +115) is "only" 3.81%. Compare that to the 4.55% juice on a market at -110/-110.

See http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicappe...ical-hold.html.

[RogueJuror]

Don't confuse juice with payout odds.

Juice on this bet (given the under @ +115) is "only" 3.81%. Compare that to the 4.55% juice on a market at -110/-110.

See http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicappe...ical-hold.html.

I think 'juice' as in the street slang, hurts most people to understand the fundamentals of vigorish, and thus their disinvolvement in advantage wagering.

[I.R.B]

If i were to bet it i would take the o6.5 but -135? dam thats razy on a total. But you said it all in your orginal post.. You just better hope it plays out that way. GL

[rm18]

No reason to expect Tampa Bay to score

[MonkeyF0cker]

Under.

[Kingctb27]

Under.

[Patrick McIrish]

I wouldn't touch it. Could win but they are going to have to score against two of the best pens in baseball, both fully rested. If Lidge and Price go a few innings each they might be tough to score on, hell almost the entire bullpen on both teams has been very effective. I can't imagine many runs being scored tonight, especially by the Rays, Phillies push one across in bottom of 6th, 7th or 8th the game is over.

[yisman]

it already won and we barely started.

[onthewhat]

looks like a lot of people got burried if they played this

[HedgeHog]

Congrats over players.