Somebody tell me how the Tam/Oak game doesnt go over 8

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  • acl123
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-17-11
    • 5896

    #1
    Somebody tell me how the Tam/Oak game doesnt go over 8
    There is no logical explanation for this to be + money
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Well, they are two of the three worst hitting teams in baseball. That said, no play for me, just a tiny lean to the Over.
    Comment
    • acl123
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-17-11
      • 5896

      #3
      Originally posted by LT Profits
      Well, they are two of the three worst hitting teams in baseball. That said, no play for me, just a tiny lean to the Over.
      Well that seems pretty logical.
      Comment
      • ChalkyDog
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-02-11
        • 9598

        #4
        HA! Just played the under -115.
        Comment
        • boeing power
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-23-10
          • 9698

          #5
          Can't fade you here kid

          Coin flip
          Comment
          • Bob Loblaw
            SBR MVP
            • 01-07-10
            • 3508

            #6
            Originally posted by LT Profits
            Well, they are two of the three worst hitting teams in baseball. That said, no play for me, just a tiny lean to the Over.
            With two of the three best bullpens in baseball and one of the best under parks out there that has seen 13 straight games finish with less than the 9 runs needed tonight
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by Bob Loblaw
              With two of the three best bullpens in baseball and one of the best under parks out there
              They are in Tampa, not in Oakland. Oakland is the best under park in the AL. Tampa is fairly neutral I think, reason for the unders is shitty offense.
              Comment
              • ChalkyDog
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-02-11
                • 9598

                #8
                Originally posted by Bob Loblaw
                With two of the three best bullpens in baseball and one of the best under parks out there that has seen 13 straight games finish with less than the 9 runs needed tonight
                This makes me fell better. Now I can say I capped the game.

                Too bad it was after I placed the bet.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                  They are in Tampa, not in Oakland. Oakland is the best under park in the AL. Tampa is fairly neutral I think, reason for the unders is shitty offense.
                  Should say combo of shitty offense and good Tampa pitching.
                  Comment
                  • acl123
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-17-11
                    • 5896

                    #10
                    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oakland's last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
                    Comment
                    • Bob Loblaw
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-07-10
                      • 3508

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      They are in Tampa, not in Oakland. Oakland is the best under park in the AL. Tampa is fairly neutral I think, reason for the unders is shitty offense.
                      The Under is 89-47-7 (65%) in Tampa over the last 2 years. Don't have the numbers from 3 years ago in front of me but that was another under year if I'm not mistaken.
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 65673

                        #12
                        Originally posted by acl123
                        There is no logical explanation for this to be + money

                        The same way the Mets with a AA scrub pitcher against a gas can named Chatwood with an ERA of over 5 went way under.
                        Comment
                        • PickWinnerAllDay
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-31-11
                          • 12722

                          #13
                          overs are square bets in all situations
                          Comment
                          • Bob Loblaw
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-07-10
                            • 3508

                            #14
                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                            Should say combo of shitty offense and good Tampa pitching.
                            The Under is 71-66-7 away from Tampa in that same timeframe. The park has something to do with it.
                            Comment
                            • tatddy
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-02-10
                              • 10779

                              #15
                              Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                              overs are square bets in all situations
                              Not this year. Past few years yes. But not this year. Too man bad pens out there.
                              Comment
                              • PickWinnerAllDay
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-31-11
                                • 12722

                                #16
                                Cobb's K per 9 rate at home is like 9, on road it is like 4.5... Just strange to see shit like that consistently.
                                Comment
                                • PickWinnerAllDay
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-31-11
                                  • 12722

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by tatddy
                                  Not this year. Past few years yes. But not this year. Too man bad pens out there.
                                  This year has been my best unders year. Have improved last 3 seasons though. Would like to keep that going indefinitely, but unlikely haha
                                  Comment
                                  • tatddy
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-02-10
                                    • 10779

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                    This year has been my best unders year. Have improved last 3 seasons though. Would like to keep that going indefinitely, but unlikely haha
                                    I'm not saying you personally haven't been successful. I'm just stating that there is value in overs this year when, in prior years, they have been a complete stay away for me.
                                    Comment
                                    • acl123
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-17-11
                                      • 5896

                                      #19
                                      Picker i dare you to fade this.
                                      Comment
                                      • PickWinnerAllDay
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-31-11
                                        • 12722

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by acl123
                                        Picker i dare you to fade this.
                                        One bet tonight, Phils/reds under7, will enjoy watching the game as both pitchers are fun to watch. If it loses, it loses. I like putting my money in the hand of cy young candidate pitchers and less than scary offenses.
                                        Comment
                                        • tatddy
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-02-10
                                          • 10779

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                          One bet tonight, Phils/reds under7, will enjoy watching the game as both pitchers are fun to watch. If it loses, it loses. I like putting my money in the hand of cy young candidate pitchers and less than scary offenses.
                                          Not to mention the + under ump behind the dish.
                                          Comment
                                          • acl123
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-17-11
                                            • 5896

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                            One bet tonight, Phils/reds under7, will enjoy watching the game as both pitchers are fun to watch. If it loses, it loses. I like putting my money in the hand of cy young candidate pitchers and less than scary offenses.
                                            Good luck picker
                                            Comment
                                            • jbart28
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-16-11
                                              • 3387

                                              #23
                                              Tyson Ross will give up 5.

                                              Reddick and Cespedes will get Cobb and he will give up 3.

                                              The bullpen is a freeroll to victory lane
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Bob Loblaw
                                                The Under is 89-47-7 (65%) in Tampa over the last 2 years. Don't have the numbers from 3 years ago in front of me but that was another under year if I'm not mistaken.
                                                Yes but look at the pitching they have had, Is there anything specific about the Trop that should make it a pitcher's park?
                                                Comment
                                                • Bob Loblaw
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-07-10
                                                  • 3508

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                  Yes but look at the pitching they have had, Is there anything specific about the Trop that should make it a pitcher's park?
                                                  They bring the same team with them on the road. Their road era is almost a run higher, same thing last year. Offensively they hit 20 points better on the road, same thing last year. I don't know what it is exactly about the Trop but there's something.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PickWinnerAllDay
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-31-11
                                                    • 12722

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                    Yes but look at the pitching they have had, Is there anything specific about the Trop that should make it a pitcher's park?
                                                    Attendance maybe.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • boeing power
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-23-10
                                                      • 9698

                                                      #27
                                                      The trop has a large foul ground that favors pitchers overall.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • boeing power
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-23-10
                                                        • 9698

                                                        #28
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                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by boeing power
                                                          Thanks. I am VERY surprised that Pittsburgh and San Francisco are below Petco.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • boeing power
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-23-10
                                                            • 9698

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                            Thanks. I am VERY surprised that Pittsburgh and San Francisco are below Petco.
                                                            Lt,
                                                            those stats were only for 2012 so not a huge sample size.

                                                            But the trop was 29th in 2011
                                                            and 30th in 2010
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChalkyDog
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-02-11
                                                              • 9598

                                                              #31
                                                              Crazy, can't believe the trop is that pitcher friendly.

                                                              And agreed with LT, how the hell is pittsburg more hitter friendly than the beast that is Petco?
                                                              Comment
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