Failed to fetch SBR header.

MLB Plus Money only thread

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • frogsrangers
    Restricted User
    • 04-25-12
    • 5792

    #1
    MLB Plus Money only thread
    Going to try a new thread here just for shits and giggles

    Will call it the MLB Plus Money Only thread

    No juice allowed

    Basically only playing MLB plays if they are +101 or better.

    I will try to find the good values at plus money on the board and run with them.

    With all the underdogs that win at MLB, I think its impossible to profit in the long run unless you hit the underdog and RL winners.

    This is just a thread for fun, so tail at your own risk

    Progress so far:

    Friday August 10: -1 unit, 0-1

    Marlins ML +144 - LOSS

    Saturday August 11: +3.6 units, 5-3


    W - Reds -1.5 +125
    L - Pirates -1.5 +120
    W - Houston ML +165
    W - Miami ML +115
    L - Arizona -1.5 +160
    L - Boston -1.5 +130
    W - Oakland ML +130
    W - Texas ML +125

    Total To Date: 5-4, +2.6 units
  • frogsrangers
    Restricted User
    • 04-25-12
    • 5792

    #2
    Miami +120
    Pittsburgh -1.5 +120
    Houston +170
    St Louis -1.5 +135
    Minnesota +110
    Texas -1.5 +140
    Comment
    • High3rEl3m3nt
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-28-10
      • 8022

      #3
      Play plus money dogs on the overnight lines and you'll consistently max their value.
      Comment
      • aldo5408
        SBR Hustler
        • 11-05-09
        • 79

        #4
        Your bettin all these ?
        Comment
        • frogsrangers
          Restricted User
          • 04-25-12
          • 5792

          #5
          Damn Cardinals just gave up a 3 run bomb to tie it
          Comment
          • accuscoresucks
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-03-07
            • 7160

            #6
            i suspect this deff works under 2 condions
            +lines only
            always make sure their is bias in a picked line
            Comment
            • Barnes & Whine
              SBR MVP
              • 09-29-11
              • 3103

              #7
              Like Astros +200 against the Cubbies. A. Galarraga used to be a money pitcher for Detriot.
              Comment
              • Utah_Jay
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-01-11
                • 258

                #8
                Frogs, I think this is a great way to go if you pick and choose your moves wisely. Looking forward to watching this thread.
                Comment
                • frogsrangers
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-25-12
                  • 5792

                  #9
                  A couple of late blown leads yesterday by the Twins and Cards ruined a profitable day

                  2-4 yesterday, -1.4 units

                  Overall: 7-8, +1.2 units
                  Comment
                  • frogsrangers
                    Restricted User
                    • 04-25-12
                    • 5792

                    #10
                    Today I am going with

                    Pittsburgh -1.5 +170
                    San Diego +175
                    Miami +148
                    Chicago Cubs -1.5 +115
                    Texas -1.5 +190
                    Toronto +110
                    Minnesota +130
                    Comment
                    • frogsrangers
                      Restricted User
                      • 04-25-12
                      • 5792

                      #11
                      4-3 today

                      +2.3 units today

                      11-11 overall, +3.5 units overall
                      Comment
                      • frogsrangers
                        Restricted User
                        • 04-25-12
                        • 5792

                        #12
                        Big Card today, lets get this

                        Pittsburgh +110
                        Miami -1.5 +145
                        Cincinnati -1.5 +110
                        Houston +108
                        San Diego +161
                        St. Louis -1.5 +175
                        Colorado -1.5 +145
                        Washington +110
                        Baltimore -1.5 +175
                        Toronto +115
                        Oakland -1.5 +135
                        LA Angels -1.5 +105
                        Seattle +151
                        Comment
                        • odog11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-14-11
                          • 3874

                          #13
                          Originally posted by frogsrangers
                          Big Card today, lets get this

                          Pittsburgh +110
                          Miami -1.5 +145
                          Cincinnati -1.5 +110
                          Houston +108
                          St. Louis -1.5 +175
                          Colorado -1.5 +145
                          Washington +110
                          Baltimore -1.5 +175
                          Toronto +115
                          Oakland -1.5 +135
                          LA Angels -1.5 +105
                          Seattle +151
                          Have you thought of tracking the ML vs the RL plays? They are different animals. Good luck tonight.
                          Comment
                          • frogsrangers
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-25-12
                            • 5792

                            #14
                            Originally posted by odog11
                            Have you thought of tracking the ML vs the RL plays? They are different animals. Good luck tonight.
                            ML Dogs are 7-5, RLs are 4-6

                            Both are in good territory. At +150 or greater, you only need to hit 40% of them to profit, which is exactly where I am at for the Run Lines.
                            Comment
                            • chase hardy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-07-10
                              • 1324

                              #15
                              You left out the best play of today. San diego
                              Comment
                              • frogsrangers
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-25-12
                                • 5792

                                #16
                                Originally posted by chase hardy
                                You left out the best play of today. San diego
                                At the time I posted the picks, the value was on Atlanta, but now the lines have shifted enough to put the value into San Diego

                                Will add
                                Comment
                                • pattymayo
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-19-09
                                  • 10221

                                  #17
                                  Are you betting all of these or just tracking them?
                                  Comment
                                  • frogsrangers
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 04-25-12
                                    • 5792

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by pattymayo
                                    Are you betting all of these or just tracking them?
                                    Funny you should ask

                                    Last night was the first night I bet them, but I forgot my wallet so I only had enough money to make 6 plays.

                                    Guess which 5 plays I made?

                                    Oakland Raiders
                                    Pirates RL
                                    Twins ML
                                    Blue Jays ML
                                    Rangers RL

                                    Those went 2-3, while the 3 picks I decided to forgo(Marlins, Cubs RL, Padres) went 2-1

                                    So remember to always make sure you bring enough cash with you!
                                    Comment
                                    • frogsrangers
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 04-25-12
                                      • 5792

                                      #19
                                      Today's Results:

                                      7-6, +3.69 units

                                      18-17 overall, +7.19 units overall

                                      Maybe time to start tailing? Or is this just a lucky run?
                                      Comment
                                      • frogsrangers
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 04-25-12
                                        • 5792

                                        #20
                                        Miami +120
                                        Cubs -1.5 +165
                                        Rockies -1.5 +170
                                        Washington -1.5 +145
                                        Pittsburgh +130
                                        Atlanta -1.5 +125
                                        NY Mets -1.5 +150
                                        Arizona +166
                                        Minnesota +139
                                        Boston +114
                                        Oakland -1.5 +140
                                        Cleveland +157
                                        Comment
                                        • Bettalent
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-24-11
                                          • 124

                                          #21
                                          Love betting plus money, can have a 40-45% win percentage and still go plus. BOL
                                          Comment
                                          • fitguy67
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-13-11
                                            • 5082

                                            #22
                                            most people don't apply Kelly Criterion properly...it's to bet TO WIN based on the perceived long-term yield ($ netted/$ risked)...that's all bets TO WIN (not the American hybrid of faves to win/dogs to risk)...

                                            if you're going to bet lots of dogs betting them to win (just as you do with your faves) will help greatly to weather the inevitable very-dry spells...volatility (and thus the likelihood of your account crashing) will decrease greatly if you do
                                            Comment
                                            Search
                                            Collapse
                                            SBR Contests
                                            Collapse
                                            Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                            Collapse
                                            Working...