How bad do you think you could be betting ATS if you tried.

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  • SlickFazzer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-22-08
    • 20209

    #1
    How bad do you think you could be betting ATS if you tried.
    betting football and basketball spreads at -110..

    Kind of like a RAZZ of sports betting.

    below 40%?

  • VegasDave
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-03-07
    • 8056

    #2
    I'd guess no worse than 47%...

    If you could hit under 40% winners, that means all you'd have to do is fade yourself and you'd be at over 60% winners. Not going to happen.
    Comment
    • SlickFazzer
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-22-08
      • 20209

      #3
      Good argument USC.
      Comment
      • fiveteamer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-14-08
        • 10805

        #4
        I would be surprised if I could break 40%.
        Comment
        • SlickFazzer
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-22-08
          • 20209

          #5
          Its interesting:

          Going 6-4 (60%) forever is impossible.

          Yet going worse than 4-6 (40%) forever may be impossible is well.

          Its a fine line sports bettors try to walk.
          Comment
          • VegasDave
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-03-07
            • 8056

            #6
            Originally posted by SlickFazzer
            Good argument USC.
            Just the truth. Think about it. Isn't this game of razz exactly what we are all playing?

            Don't we cap games in an attempt to find CERTAIN losers, and bet against them? The only difference in your game is you'd bet FOR those teams you were confident would lose, not against them.

            Even the best of us only cap around 55% - 58% winners -110/-110. As such, those same people could pull off a 45% - 42%.

            But the other 99% that can't cap over 53%? They would be stuck in the 47% - 53% range no matter how hard they tried to win or lose.
            Comment
            • fiveteamer
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-14-08
              • 10805

              #7
              OK, maybe 44%
              Comment
              • yisman
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-01-08
                • 75682

                #8
                well, I'd just fade my picks, so I could do 35% or so.
                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                [/quote]

                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                Comment
                • dochock77
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 10-22-08
                  • 24

                  #9
                  ill tell you after tomorrow.
                  Comment
                  • ryanXL977
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-24-08
                    • 20615

                    #10
                    you cant fade yourself bc you will end up reverse fading your fade and then reversing that

                    most of you guys would do better to fade vendittos
                    Comment
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