how freaking good are the oddsmakers?

[AribaAriba]

I mean they have the USA olympics basketball team winning against france at -25 and they won by 27. It will be pretty fascinating to know how would they create this line with all the randomness of players for each team.

[paco]

It all evens out. On the other side, how horrible were oddsmakers on setting Argentina (with 3 legit nba starters) as 5 point dogs? Didn't Argentina win by 30+?

[alta]

It all evens out. On the other side, how horrible were oddsmakers on setting Argentina (with 3 legit nba starters) as 5 point dogs? Didn't Argentina win by 30+?

5 point favorite

LITHUANIA 23 16 22 18 79
ARGENTINA 24 27 27 24 102

[chilidog]

I think that oddsmakers are wrong just as often as we are.

[lunchbawks]

all the big bet sports have sharp lines.. NBA, NFL, MLB
nhl oddsmakers have no idea, same with MLS soccer

small league is most +ev, its gotta be

[AribaAriba]

would liketo meet these bozos who create line like this maybe they're something special, probably typical sports fanatic who sits on couch with their beer belly touching their laptop.

[AribaAriba]

I think that oddsmakers are wrong just as often as we are.

so true, i read in an article that vegas makes it money on juice and pubic bets are often 50-50 long term.

[CollegePro]

Well, total for USA game eas over under 168.. Boris diaw make two point shot with 4sec left to go over...

[convick]

For every game that lands close to the number there's 10 games that are not even close.

[k13]

all the big bet sports have sharp lines.. NBA, NFL, MLB
nhl oddsmakers have no idea, same with MLS soccer

small league is most +ev, its gotta be

The spread only matters in ~20% of games in the NFL.

[HoulihansTX]

The spread only matters in ~20% of games in the NFL.

Pick the winner league

[lunchbawks]

The spread only matters in ~20% of games in the NFL.

...thats alot

[k13]

...thats alot

You can just make every spread +3 blindly and you'll be close to that number.