10 Dime Play Broncos/Patriots

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  • FadeThePublic
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-08-08
    • 653

    #1
    10 Dime Play Broncos/Patriots
    Patriots -3

    Don't think for a moment that last sunday nights performance is indicative of the Patriots talents.

    They were in a buzz saw situation with the chargers off an embarrassing loss and seeking playoff revenge. To further complicate matters they were landlocked on the west coast for consecutive games.

    The broncos take to the monday night road off back to back home games knowing they are 3-14 ATS on Mondays against an opponent off a loss, including 0-5 when Denver is also off a loss.

    The kicker, though, are the numbers bill belichick brings to the table. He is 12-1-1 ATS in his head coaching career when playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU favorite loss, including 6-0 when his team is off a loss. In addition, the pats are 19-6 ATS under belichick when playing off one-loss exact, including 10-0 if they allowed more than 28 points in that loss.

    Fade the public tonight and take the patriots

  • WestsidePete
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-19-07
    • 8049

    #2
    The ATS numbers here mean nothing since Brady is not the QB tonite...
    Comment
    • FadeThePublic
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 05-08-08
      • 653

      #3
      Where the bets are going - Courtesy of SportsbookSpy

      Broncos
      Spread 61% Moneyline 74%

      Patriots
      Spread 39% Moneyline 26%
      Comment
      • Bluehorseshoe
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-13-06
        • 15063

        #4
        Originally posted by FadeThePublic
        Where the bets are going - Courtesy of SportsbookSpy

        Broncos
        Spread 61% Moneyline 74%

        Patriots
        Spread 39% Moneyline 26%
        That's really not that much of a lean. I'm looking at it being 55% in favor of the Broncos according to SportsOptions.
        Comment
        • FadeThePublic
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 05-08-08
          • 653

          #5
          Originally posted by WestsidePete
          The ATS numbers here mean nothing since Brady is not the QB tonite...
          It's still the same coach and for the most part the same team minus brady

          Broncos are 3-14 ATS on mondays against an opponent off a loss, including 0-5 when denver is also off a loss
          Comment
          • FadeThePublic
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 05-08-08
            • 653

            #6
            Originally posted by Bluehorseshoe
            That's really not that much of a lean. I'm looking at it being 55% in favor of the Broncos according to SportsOptions.
            Another factor is a high percentage of touts are on the Broncos tonight
            Comment
            • WestsidePete
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-19-07
              • 8049

              #7
              Originally posted by FadeThePublic
              It's still the same coach and for the most part the same team minus brady

              Broncos are 3-14 ATS on mondays against an opponent off a loss, including 0-5 when denver is also off a loss
              Not saying the Pats can't win, but you must also consider how Shanahan has completely owned the Pats with Belichick and even Brady as QB...
              Comment
              • slacker00
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-06-05
                • 12262

                #8
                10 dimes as in 10 grand? Are you a millionaire?
                Comment
                • FadeThePublic
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-08-08
                  • 653

                  #9
                  Originally posted by slacker00
                  10 dimes as in 10 grand? Are you a millionaire?
                  If I was a millionaire I would be betting at least 500 dimes a game (if anyone would actually take that kind of action)

                  10 dimes is reasonable to me on a big play. That is the maximum for me

                  I'm up and I can afford it

                  Started out as a nickel and dime bettor and worked my way up.

                  Not saying everyone should bet 10 dimes a game even if they have the money.

                  Bet what you can afford to lose plain and simple
                  Comment
                  • FadeThePublic
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 05-08-08
                    • 653

                    #10
                    Originally posted by WestsidePete
                    Not saying the Pats can't win, but you must also consider how Shanahan has completely owned the Pats with Belichick and even Brady as QB...
                    That is true.

                    Revenge is sweet though

                    GL
                    Comment
                    • goode79
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 10-17-08
                      • 1

                      #11
                      what about mike being 5-1 ats and straight up vs new england plus 2-0 in foxboro
                      Comment
                      • FadeThePublic
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-08-08
                        • 653

                        #12
                        Originally posted by goode79
                        what about mike being 5-1 ats and straight up vs new england plus 2-0 in foxboro
                        Good point goode - No pun intended

                        hopefully after tonight it will be 5-2 and 2-1 then
                        Comment
                        • frostno98
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-11-07
                          • 9769

                          #13
                          Denver's the right play here.
                          Comment
                          • Shark79
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-19-07
                            • 11211

                            #14
                            Maroney off for season not a factor ?
                            Comment
                            • 13th Street
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-20-07
                              • 289

                              #15
                              Originally posted by FadeThePublic
                              Patriots -3

                              Don't think for a moment that last sunday nights performance is indicative of the Patriots talents.

                              They were in a buzz saw situation with the chargers off an embarrassing loss and seeking playoff revenge. To further complicate matters they were landlocked on the west coast for consecutive games.

                              The broncos take to the monday night road off back to back home games knowing they are 3-14 ATS on Mondays against an opponent off a loss, including 0-5 when Denver is also off a loss.

                              The kicker, though, are the numbers bill belichick brings to the table. He is 12-1-1 ATS in his head coaching career when playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU favorite loss, including 6-0 when his team is off a loss. In addition, the pats are 19-6 ATS under belichick when playing off one-loss exact, including 10-0 if they allowed more than 28 points in that loss.

                              Fade the public tonight and take the patriots

                              All of that information you quoted was posted in the PLAYBOOK, under their 5* Best Bet. That's a publication. You quoted it, word for word.
                              How very sad!
                              Comment
                              • FadeThePublic
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-08-08
                                • 653

                                #16
                                Originally posted by frostno98
                                Denver's the right play here.
                                I can tell why you like denver here

                                your avatar

                                GL anyways

                                Comment
                                • FadeThePublic
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-08-08
                                  • 653

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Shark79
                                  Maroney off for season not a factor ?
                                  could be

                                  I hope thats not the case
                                  Comment
                                  • FadeThePublic
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-08-08
                                    • 653

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by 13th Street
                                    All of that information you quoted was posted in the PLAYBOOK, under their 5* Best Bet. That's a publication. You quoted it, word for word.
                                    How very sad!
                                    Yes I did

                                    But I liked the patriots to begin with

                                    My name is fade the public ya know

                                    It was very useful info that I came across and was FREE so I figured I would post it for others

                                    A lot of people have to pay to see that paragraph

                                    Give credit to them for the write-up but that is my own pick
                                    Comment
                                    • tatommack
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-10-08
                                      • 4171

                                      #19
                                      what book u use that lets you do that much action
                                      Comment
                                      • Tsoprano
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-14-08
                                        • 26374

                                        #20
                                        Im on the pats too
                                        Comment
                                        • JBC77
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-23-07
                                          • 3816

                                          #21
                                          Everyone I talked today likes the Pats. Didn't bet....just can't figure they reason out. The UPS man that delivers to my office even has them......
                                          Comment
                                          • FadeThePublic
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 05-08-08
                                            • 653

                                            #22
                                            Easy money SBR

                                            This one was over before the 2nd half

                                            Congrats to those that tailed me on the patriots

                                            I love money and know you do too
                                            Comment
                                            • strictlywinners
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 07-17-07
                                              • 3377

                                              #23
                                              great play my man, sorry I couldn't pull trigger on pats with you, I got over 48 for 3k over 48.5 for 1k, yea my bet moved the spread i know it sucks. And over 2nd half for 1k, so I lost 100 on the game.
                                              Comment
                                              • FadeThePublic
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 05-08-08
                                                • 653

                                                #24
                                                It was a blowout

                                                It was a massacre

                                                Final Score: Broncos 7 Patriots 41

                                                Comment
                                                • FadeThePublic
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 05-08-08
                                                  • 653

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by strictlywinners
                                                  great play my man, sorry I couldn't pull trigger on pats with you, I got over 48 for 3k over 48.5 for 1k, yea my bet moved the spread i know it sucks. And over 2nd half for 1k, so I lost 100 on the game.
                                                  Thanks

                                                  sorry to hear bout your loss

                                                  on the bright side it's only 100 that you lost

                                                  could've been worse

                                                  Comment
                                                  • Cloak & Dagger
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-15-07
                                                    • 4781

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by 13th Street
                                                    All of that information you quoted was posted in the PLAYBOOK, under their 5* Best Bet. That's a publication. You quoted it, word for word.
                                                    How very sad!
                                                    so basically..he posted somebody elses play??
                                                    Comment
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