Paging Nicky Santauro: World Series Price

[poetwarrior41]

Yo Nicky.......i need to give you your props, just saw the Greek is using a series price of: Rays-155
Phillies +135
I never thought the Rays would be over -130...... I still think the play is still Phillies, i think there is alot of value in that price. Congrats on making a good line!

[MonkeyF0cker]

Uhh. How was that a good line? He was 10 cents off the opener and will probably be 15-20 cents off at the start of game one...

[poetwarrior41]

He made the line higher then i ever thought it would be. Trust me that puppy is going to drop, the wiseguys will pound the dog at that price.

[blackbart]

rays-146

[Nicky Santoro]

thanks poet..

you know, it's funny monkey boy came in here, cause i expected him to be here, and i expect Donny Juan to be here next.. saying i was wrong..

i made the line -165/+145 and the line opened at -155/+135.. and this guy is criticizing me..lol..

first of all, when i made series prediction, tb was up 3-1 and coasting.. had they won game 5, 7-2.. i 1000% guarantee you line would have been -165/+145.. they struggled like crazy to win the series, which was why it opened up 10 cents less than i expected.

monkey, anytime you wanna go up against me 1 on 1 on predicting opening lines, i am there.. wait till NBA.. you wanna mock me, i will go head to head vs anyone that wants to go up against me.. donny juan, this challenge is for you too..

thanks again, poet..

[MonkeyF0cker]

And it will be 20 cents off by game one. Any time you want to start booking my action, I'm all for it Nicky. I could use an extra 1.6% edge in openers for every event.

[donjuan]

Er, I'd rather be good at predicting the closing line than the opening line. Predicting the opening line is close to worthless, so that might be something you are actually good at. Nicky, why don't you post in the Think Tank?

[smitch124]

Predicting the opening line is close to worthless

Well, not really you could get a job at a book...

[rjt721]

Not for nothing, but the line wasn't very difficult to calculate for a potential Philly/TB World Series.

[donjuan]

Well, not really you could get a job at a book...

So that openers could be just as soft as ever?

[smitch124]

Is that a problem?

[donjuan]

For a book, yes. From my perspective, no.

[Nicky Santoro]

you know what i've always dreamed of seeing in a forum, and maybe it exists, but i have yet to see it..

we get like 12 guys who know a little about the game.. and we all sit back and take a while to study each game and then come up with our own line.. then.................. we put them all together and make an avg and have our sbr real line..according to 12 guys who really know what they're doing.. the avg of the 12 guys would make the real line.. and each person can give his reasoning why he made it line so and so..and we can learn new info from each other..

so if our avg was 5.5, and the next day, the line opens at 7.5.. we'd have an idea that it would be hard for 12 of us to be wrong, so we'd take the dog +7.5..

now we'd have to do this some private way where books can't look in and get an idea.. i know this would work.. and we'd make money doing it.. but can we find 12 guys and would this be too complicating, and way way too much work for all of us to be available at all times and the time and effort it would take.. probably..

and maybe it already exists. .who knows.

[onthewhat]

and maybe it already exists. .who knows.

the LVSC nicky

[Nicky Santoro]

the LVSC nicky

onner, i know.. but i am talking about if it exists in forums.. where posters do this together..

[MonkeyF0cker]

Huh? LVSC? So set the line to the Vegas openers? What?

[Chi_archie]

tough crowd