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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65681

    #1
    Do what you want with this data
    I'm laying the -137 and backing Gallardo.

    Those who scoff at the past history of pitchers versus hitters (and I know who you are) are going to ignore it.
    I believe in this data, pass, tail or fade.



    J.A. Happ: From 2007 to 2012, Facing current players for Milwaukee Brewers,
    Norichika Aoki 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 .667 .667 1.000 1.667 0 0 0 0 0
    Rickie Weeks 13 11 6 2 0 1 1 2 4 .545 .615 1.000 1.615 0 0 0 0 0
    Nyjer Morgan 6 4 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    Travis Ishikawa 2 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 .500 .500 2.000 2.500 0 0 0 0 0
    Corey Hart 22 18 8 4 0 1 2 4 2 .444 .545 .833 1.379 0 0 0 0 0
    Cesar Izturis 6 5 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 .400 .500 .400 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    Yovani Gallardo 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 .333 .333 .667 1.000 1 0 0 0 0
    Ryan Braun 22 20 6 1 0 2 5 2 6 .300 .364 .650 1.014 0 0 0 0 0
    Aramis Ramirez 9 7 2 1 0 1 4 2 0 .286 .444 .857 1.302 0 0 0 0 0
    Carlos Gomez 10 9 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 .222 .300 .222 .522 0 0 0 0 0
    George Kottaras 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    Manny Parra 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Randy Wolf 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Total 103 86 32 10 0 6 14 16 17 .372 .471 .698 1.168 1 0 0 0 0

  • ParlayininHTown
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-27-10
    • 7561

    #2
    Steve, you're not worried that the Brewer bullpen could sabotage this bet? I saw a lot of disgruntled posters venting about Milwaukee's pen during the Miami series.

    Good luck. The Astros look like they've already checked out for the All-Star break from what I've seen in the last week. The play looks solid.
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 65681

      #3
      ^
      Gallardo won't need bull pen help tonight.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Nashy this could be an easy winner

        Running data now
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65681

          #5
          Brew bats should light up Happ like the 4th of July the other night over the Long Island Sound, I can't see Houston getting more than 6 hits.
          Maybe Altuive will get a couple of scratch singles, but if Gallardo is just decent tonight, Brews should cruise.
          Comment
          • Smoke
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-09-09
            • 48111

            #6
            Stevie thanks


            Stevie call me the 360 line when u get a chance
            Comment
            • ebbearsfb1
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-07-08
              • 18815

              #7
              No ones calling u.. put my monthly deposit on this play.. nash I know where your fairfield stag tickets are.. don't bury me
              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 65681

                #8
                Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                nash I know where your fairfield stag tickets are..
                Free throw line extended, back about 18 rows at Webster Bank Arena in Bridgeport Ct., I'm the one with the goatee and glasses.
                Comment
                • Inkwell77
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-03-11
                  • 3227

                  #9
                  Following here. Let's go!
                  Comment
                  • BennyFang
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-27-09
                    • 1412

                    #10
                    Throw in that it's Stros first game back after getting home late last night. Brewers probably got to Houston earlier after the day game. Hope Gallardo doesn't get wild....that's my only concern.
                    Comment
                    • TheLock
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-06-08
                      • 14427

                      #11
                      No way the books factored any of this data into the line.

                      Sounds like an ALL IN to me.

                      GET SOME
                      Comment
                      • Vinnie Paz
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-27-12
                        • 12177

                        #12
                        Brewers ov 4.5 cause a you stevey.
                        Comment
                        • dom75
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-11-10
                          • 779

                          #13
                          If one is worried about the Brewers bullpen blowing it, then just bet the 1st 5 innings for the Brew to win.
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65681

                            #14
                            This is what Gallardo is facing tonight


                            Schafer CF
                            Altuve 2B
                            Moore RF
                            Martinez LF
                            Lowrie SS
                            Johnson 1B
                            Castro C
                            Dominguez 3B
                            (Happ P)
                            Comment
                            • Mike Huntertz
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-19-09
                              • 11207

                              #15
                              I might try Brew TT Over.
                              Thanxs for the #'s and GL
                              Comment
                              • Smutbucket
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-14-08
                                • 3997

                                #16
                                I scoff at those who don't use batter history. the best ACCURATE indicator of history, no projectons, just facts
                                Comment
                                • a4u2fear
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-29-10
                                  • 8147

                                  #17
                                  Always take notice when Steve is betting
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65681

                                    #18
                                    Gomez CF
                                    Aoki RF
                                    Braun LF
                                    Ramirez 3B
                                    Hart 1B
                                    Weeks 2B
                                    Ransom SS
                                    Maldonado C
                                    (Gallardo P)
                                    Comment
                                    • stevenash
                                      Moderator
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 65681

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by a4u2fear
                                      Always take notice when Steve is betting
                                      I took the Brews +125 also on the -1.5 run line this morning, latest check shows Brews -1.5 +110 now.


                                      Wager Type : Spread (or run line)
                                      Wager Status : PendingRisk / To Win Amount : 200.00 / 250.00(USD)
                                      Accepted : 7/6/2012 9:45AM - PST



                                      Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game
                                      Selection : Milwaukee Brewers
                                      Time : 7/6/2012 5:05:01PM - (PST)
                                      Line : -1½ +125
                                      Pitchers : Y. Gallardo - R - Must Pitch / J.A. Happ - L - Must Pitch
                                      Comment
                                      • Nyjrkm06
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-25-12
                                        • 562

                                        #20
                                        nash do you mind betting against houstons 6 game losing streak?
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 65681

                                          #21
                                          ^
                                          Eight game losing streak.
                                          Never fade a losing streak once a losing streak reaches three.
                                          Well that's my philosophy anyway.

                                          Until further notice Houston is auto fade, the team is a mess right now.
                                          Altuve can hit, Chris Johnson can hit a little bit, Lowrie now at SS is their main power supply, after that they are garbage.
                                          Comment
                                          • morningmoney
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-19-12
                                            • 145

                                            #22
                                            Thanks for the info, Nash, and welcome to LA. Maybe now the Lakers will win the 2005-2006 championship.
                                            Comment
                                            • stevenash
                                              Moderator
                                              • 01-17-11
                                              • 65681

                                              #23
                                              This isn't my team, I used some Brewers, but this guy went with a Brewer stack.




                                              ffhorseshoe
                                              0


                                              HITTERS GAMES STATS TODAY TOTAL
                                              Maldonado, Martin
                                              MIL-C ($4,486)
                                              10%
                                              MIL @ HOU
                                              08:05 PM
                                              0-0 0 0
                                              Fielder, Prince
                                              DET-1B ($8,223)
                                              40%
                                              KC 0 @ DET 0
                                              Top of 1
                                              0-0 0 0
                                              Weeks, Rickie
                                              MIL-2B ($5,326)
                                              10%
                                              MIL @ HOU
                                              08:05 PM
                                              0-0 0 0
                                              Ramirez, Aramis
                                              MIL-3B ($7,343)
                                              10%
                                              MIL @ HOU
                                              08:05 PM
                                              0-0 0 0
                                              Peralta, Jhonny
                                              DET-SS ($4,726)
                                              30%
                                              KC 0 @ DET 0
                                              Top of 1
                                              0-0 0 0
                                              Braun, Ryan
                                              MIL-OF ($9,800)
                                              40%
                                              MIL @ HOU
                                              08:05 PM
                                              0-0 0 0
                                              Gomez, Carlos
                                              MIL-OF ($9,360)
                                              10%
                                              MIL @ HOU
                                              08:05 PM
                                              0-0 0 0
                                              Aoki, Norichika
                                              MIL-OF ($8,569)
                                              10%
                                              MIL @ HOU
                                              08:05 PM
                                              0-0 0 0
                                              Hart, Corey
                                              MIL-OF ($8,274)
                                              10%
                                              MIL @ HOU
                                              08:05 PM
                                              0-0 0 0
                                              Ransom, Cody
                                              MIL-3B ($5,852)
                                              10%
                                              MIL @ HOU
                                              08:05 PM
                                              0-0 0 0
                                              HITTERS SALARY $71,959 0-0 - -
                                              TOTAL - 0.00 0.00
                                              PITCHERS GAMES STATS TODAY TOTAL
                                              Collmenter, Josh
                                              ARI-SP ($9,717)
                                              20%
                                              LAD @ ARI
                                              09:40 PM
                                              0 0
                                              Sanchez, Jonathan
                                              KC-SP ($5,949)
                                              10%
                                              KC 0 @ DET 0
                                              Top of 1
                                              0 0
                                              Hanrahan, Joel
                                              PIT-RP ($3,008)
                                              10%
                                              SF 0 @ PIT 0
                                              Top of 1
                                              0 0
                                              Bedard, Erik
                                              PIT-SP ($9,186)
                                              30%
                                              SF 0 @ PIT 0
                                              Top of 1
                                              0 0
                                              PITCHERS SALARY $27,860 - -
                                              TOTAL - 0.00 0.00
                                              Comment
                                              • stevenash
                                                Moderator
                                                • 01-17-11
                                                • 65681

                                                #24
                                                Brews with two in the first and still batting
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 65681

                                                  #25
                                                  Weeks with the stick.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ColdBeerHere
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-25-11
                                                    • 3626

                                                    #26
                                                    thanks for the info I took MIL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jlee
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 07-22-11
                                                      • 375

                                                      #27
                                                      this was a no-brainer. PvB was key here. good sample size with weeks/braun/hart. on the flip side, I recall gallardo being pretty good vs the astros hitters. Hit the run line easily tonight.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • big joe 1212
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 06-01-08
                                                        • 19380

                                                        #28
                                                        good call nash
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hawley
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 05-10-10
                                                          • 14270

                                                          #29
                                                          Nailed it Steve.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • stevenash
                                                            Moderator
                                                            • 01-17-11
                                                            • 65681

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by big joe 1212
                                                            good call nash
                                                            Thanks Joe, glad to help.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KingJD31
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-04-11
                                                              • 8167

                                                              #31
                                                              Nice call
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevenash
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 01-17-11
                                                                • 65681

                                                                #32
                                                                never mind
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stevenash
                                                                  Moderator
                                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                                  • 65681

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                  I can't see Houston getting more than 6 hits.
                                                                  Lock it up, I'm going to bed, later fellas.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheLock
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-06-08
                                                                    • 14427

                                                                    #34
                                                                    This may have been one of the sharpest calls in MLB sports betting history, boys.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • stevenash
                                                                      Moderator
                                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                                      • 65681

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by TheLock
                                                                      This may have been one of the sharpest calls in MLB sports betting history, boys.
                                                                      I wouldn't say it was one of the sharpest plays in history, but thank you for that.
                                                                      It was a play, on paper, that looked so logical, I had to share it with you all.

                                                                      Going to work, no plays today,
                                                                      Comment
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