Best parlay for the weekend?

hoopster42 · 10-17-08, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by CrazyL

USC
Indy
Oakland

You?

indy on the road with a defense that relies on turnovers to help the offense win?

no thanks. i like green bay in that one.

usc -42.5 is a toss-up. if they care, they cover. if they rest guys, wazzu covers. who knows?

i like oakland at home getting pts.

i think you go 2-1 or 1-2 with this parlay.

i think indy is the weak link. too unpredictable and playing with fire every week is the way i view the colts right now.

CaneDawg · 10-17-08, 10:58 AM

Va Tech
Miami

SBR Lou · 10-17-08, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by hoopster42

indy on the road with a defense that relies on turnovers to help the offense win?

no thanks. i like green bay in that one.

usc -42.5 is a toss-up. if they care, they cover. if they rest guys, wazzu covers. who knows?

i like oakland at home getting pts.

i think you go 2-1 or 1-2 with this parlay.

i think indy is the weak link. too unpredictable and playing with fire every week is the way i view the colts right now.

Peyton had enough time to shake the rust off, plus Clark is feeling better and Harrison finally made a headline for something other than owning a firearm and potentially being involved in a crime. Not only that, Jeff Saturday is feeling fine again and the Colts just obliterated a Ravens defense that, until last weekend, was heralded as a top 3 defense in the National Football League.

hoopster42 · 10-17-08, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by CrazyL

Peyton had enough time to shake the rust off, plus Clark is feeling better and Harrison finally made a headline for something other than owning a firearm and potentially being involved in a crime. Not only that, Jeff Saturday is feeling fine again and the Colts just obliterated a Ravens defense that, until last weekend, was heralded as a top 3 defense in the National Football League.

"obliterated" is not the right word. colts only had 1 more first down and just 74 more yds. indy only had 334 total yds for the game.

the key state was 5 TURNOVERS by baltimore. at any level of football, if you are +5 in turnovers, you should win by 28 as indy did. they did what they should have done.

SBR Lou · 10-17-08, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by hoopster42

"obliterated" is not the right word.

hoopster42 · 10-17-08, 11:33 AM

Originally posted by CrazyL

i agree, final scores always tell the story. checking box scores and finding the real reasons why a game got out of hand does not really lead to handicapping success. just look at the final scores and you see all you need to know

SBR Lou · 10-17-08, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by hoopster42

i agree, final scores always tell the story. checking box scores and finding the real reasons why a game got out of hand does not really lead to handicapping success. just look at the final scores and you see all you need to know

Well, the final score calls for referring to the game as an obliteration of the Ravens respected defense. Whereas, if we look at the Packers win last weekend it was far less impressive against an out of sorts Seattle team that'll be lucky to string together 5 wins this season.

hoopster42 · 10-17-08, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by CrazyL

Well, the final score calls for referring to the game as an obliteration of the Ravens respected defense. Whereas, if we look at the Packers win last weekend it was far less impressive against an out of sorts Seattle team that'll be lucky to string together 5 wins this season.

i understand that. we see it a little differently. yes, seattle was short-handed at qb by charlie frye has started games in the league before. green bay had to win on the road, and considering that rodgers has the shoulder issue, i think the win was a decent one.

looking ahead to sunday, i think the colts have the more opportunistic defense, but the packers have the more stingy one. the game is on grass which negates a bit of the colts speed advantage. i will go with the packers at home if i am forced to pick.

you are one of my favorite ppl at the site, CrazyL. we will agree to disagree on this one and see what happens. no excuses from me if indy wins

SBR Lou · 10-17-08, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by hoopster42

you are one of my favorite ppl at the site, CrazyL. we will agree to disagree on this one and see what happens. no excuses from me if indy wins

hoopster42 · 10-20-08, 11:11 AM

before you mention the 2 int returns for TD's, CrazyL, please note that GB had 3 more first downs, and total yds were even, so yes, defense was the difference

indy got lucky getting all those turnovers from baltimore the previous week, but the luck did not go their way the following week at green bay

i built this into my 'capping. its tough to get the turnover breaks 2 straight wks, because turnovers, while some are caused, are mostly a function of good luck

SBR Lou · 10-20-08, 11:52 AM

Originally posted by hoopster42

before you mention the 2 int returns for TD's, CrazyL, please note that GB had 3 more first downs, and total yds were even, so yes, defense was the difference

indy got lucky getting all those turnovers from baltimore the previous week, but the luck did not go their way the following week at green bay

i built this into my 'capping. its tough to get the turnover breaks 2 straight wks, because turnovers, while some are caused, are mostly a function of good luck

You were most certainly correct. My parlay went 2/3

darrell74 · 10-20-08, 12:06 PM

#104184115 Team PARLAY
$ x wagered to win $ x at 10/19/2008 10:18
Odds : 14.12 to 1PARLAY
WIN$ xxxxxxx 10/19/2008 11:05NFL TENNESSEE to Win -8.5(-110)
TENNESSEE 34 KANSAS CITY 10
status : WIN 10/19/2008 11:05NFL PITTSBURGH to Win -8.5(-110)
PITTSBURGH 38 CINCINNATI 10
status : WIN 10/19/2008 11:05NFL CHICAGO to Win -3(-125)
MINNESOTA 41 CHICAGO 48
status : WIN 10/19/2008 11:05NFL ML-NY GIANTS to Win Even(-500)
ML-SAN FRANCISCO 17 ML-NY GIANTS 29
status : WIN 10/19/2008 14:10NFL DETROIT to Win +10.5(-110)
DETROIT 21 HOUSTON 28
status : WIN
Lions had me sweating as the only late game.
However, my first 5 teamer, ever.
Feels good.

I needed it after the friggin Mormons screwed me, last Thursday

SBR Lou · 10-20-08, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by darrell74

#104184115 Team PARLAY
$ x wagered to win $ x at 10/19/2008 10:18
Odds : 14.12 to 1PARLAY
WIN$ xxxxxxx 10/19/2008 11:05NFL TENNESSEE to Win -8.5(-110)
TENNESSEE 34 KANSAS CITY 10
status : WIN 10/19/2008 11:05NFL PITTSBURGH to Win -8.5(-110)
PITTSBURGH 38 CINCINNATI 10
status : WIN 10/19/2008 11:05NFL CHICAGO to Win -3(-125)
MINNESOTA 41 CHICAGO 48
status : WIN 10/19/2008 11:05NFL ML-NY GIANTS to Win Even(-500)
ML-SAN FRANCISCO 17 ML-NY GIANTS 29
status : WIN 10/19/2008 14:10NFL DETROIT to Win +10.5(-110)
DETROIT 21 HOUSTON 28
status : WIN
Lions had me sweating as the onlt late game.
However, my first 5 teamer, ever.
Feels good.

I needed it after the friggin Mormons screwed me, last Thursday

Excellent job bud.

darrell74 · 10-20-08, 12:15 PM

Thank you sir.
I had BYU, last Thursday when they got killed
I had Tampa Rays, on the same night when they gave up the 7 run lead
Also, same night, my worse NHL night of the year

Got it back, feels great?

Also, what do you guys think about a Bronco/under parlay tonight?

Hey Crazyl, got anything for Tennis?

SBR Lou · 10-20-08, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by darrell74

Also, what do you guys think about a Bronco/under parlay tonight?

Hey Crazyl, got anything for Tennis?

Belichick has pretty good stats the game after getting his ass beat, the Denver rush defense may be just what the Dr ordered for the Pats. I'd be careful of fading him too many times this year, because they'll still probably finish in alright standings, but the under sounds good.

No tennis yet but if I see anything I like, I'll post in our tennis subforum.