PickAWinnerAllDay claims that there are no good unders tonight

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  • frogsrangers
    Restricted User
    • 04-25-12
    • 5792

    #1
    PickAWinnerAllDay claims that there are no good unders tonight
    I call malarkey on that one. I see 3 unders that are worth betting on.

    Texas/Detroit UNDER 10 -105 : Yeah game time temperature will be 105 degrees but things will cool down at the plate. Yu Darvish should be his usual self, giving up 3 runs max, and the Rangers bullpen will do the rest. Rangers bats are cold right now, they are 4 for 37 with runners in scoring position the last 4 games, this funk is in their heads right now and will continue tonight.

    LA Angels/Baltimore UNDER 8.5 -110 : This has 3-2 game written all over it. Both starting pitchers are pitching very well right now, Angels will be in the usual funk teams are in after flying across the country. I expect both offenses to look rusty.

    Washington/Colorado UNDER 10.5 -105 : Both starters are good enough I think to limit the damage. Fredrich has been good enough lately and pitched well vs. Texas his last time out, Gio has been good all season too. As long as they can both go 7 and keep the bullpens out of this game, I see an under here. If not, at least one of these pitchers will throw a good enough game to keep the under down by themselves.

    Good luck
  • Smoke
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-09-09
    • 48111

    #2
    PWAD is a hairy greasy haired Armenian
    Comment
    • Nick Papageorgio
      SBR MVP
      • 01-07-12
      • 2396

      #3
      What PhuckWAD says is irrelevant to gambling.
      Comment
      • PickWinnerAllDay
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-31-11
        • 12722

        #4
        Really worth a thread? I don't see any that I like, although there are a couple I'm trying to talk myself into.
        Comment
        • PickWinnerAllDay
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-31-11
          • 12722

          #5
          By the way frogs, Rockies' starter has given up twice as many hits as innings pitched at home at Coors Field... might want to be careful.
          Comment
          • frogsrangers
            Restricted User
            • 04-25-12
            • 5792

            #6
            Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
            By the way frogs, Rockies' starter has given up twice as many hits as innings pitched at home at Coors Field... might want to be careful.
            True, but the Nats offense isn't that potent, and I have lost quite a bit of money fading Frederich after he had that bad home start against the Mariners.
            Comment
            • PickWinnerAllDay
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-31-11
              • 12722

              #7
              Originally posted by frogsrangers
              True, but the Nats offense isn't that potent, and I have lost quite a bit of money fading Frederich after he had that bad home start against the Mariners.
              I'll check into it a little deeper. No worries about how the Coors Field air will affect Gonzalez' off speed?
              Comment
              • acl123
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-17-11
                • 5896

                #8
                Do not ever take the under when brian matusz is pitching.
                Comment
                • frogsrangers
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-25-12
                  • 5792

                  #9
                  Originally posted by acl123
                  Do not ever take the under when brian matusz is pitching.
                  Think I have taken the over his last 3 starts and been burned. I like his chances at home vs. an Angels team that doesn't really score that much, is throwing a good pitcher themselves and just flew across the country.
                  Comment
                  • easyliving
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-25-12
                    • 8876

                    #10
                    Originally posted by frogsrangers
                    I call malarkey on that one. I see 3 unders that are worth betting on.

                    Texas/Detroit UNDER 10 -105 : Yeah game time temperature will be 105 degrees but things will cool down at the plate. Yu Darvish should be his usual self, giving up 3 runs max, and the Rangers bullpen will do the rest. Rangers bats are cold right now, they are 4 for 37 with runners in scoring position the last 4 games, this funk is in their heads right now and will continue tonight.

                    LA Angels/Baltimore UNDER 8.5 -110 : This has 3-2 game written all over it. Both starting pitchers are pitching very well right now, Angels will be in the usual funk teams are in after flying across the country. I expect both offenses to look rusty.

                    Washington/Colorado UNDER 10.5 -105 : Both starters are good enough I think to limit the damage. Fredrich has been good enough lately and pitched well vs. Texas his last time out, Gio has been good all season too. As long as they can both go 7 and keep the bullpens out of this game, I see an under here. If not, at least one of these pitchers will throw a good enough game to keep the under down by themselves.

                    Good luck

                    this is great fading material. i wouldn't be surpised if all 3 or 2/3 of these games went over.
                    Comment
                    • frogsrangers
                      Restricted User
                      • 04-25-12
                      • 5792

                      #11
                      Originally posted by easyliving
                      this is great fading material. i wouldn't be surpised if all 3 or 2/3 of these games went over.
                      My last 3 "locks" I have posted on here have all lost, so feel free to fade if you wish, probably is a good idea
                      Comment
                      • acl123
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-17-11
                        • 5896

                        #12
                        Originally posted by acl123
                        Do not ever take the under when brian matusz is pitching.
                        Comment
                        • frogsrangers
                          Restricted User
                          • 04-25-12
                          • 5792

                          #13
                          Originally posted by acl123
                          The 3 games I posted are proof of why playing trends is dangerous

                          All 3 of my leans were based on recent trends

                          Matuz has been strong lately, so of course he sucks today

                          Rangers are hitting with RISP like crazy tonight

                          If I am lucky I will go 1-2.... most likely 0-3
                          Comment
                          • rm18
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-20-05
                            • 22291

                            #14
                            bet the under in all the best hitters parks good strategy
                            Comment
                            • frogsrangers
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-25-12
                              • 5792

                              #15
                              Originally posted by easyliving
                              this is great fading material. i wouldn't be surpised if all 3 or 2/3 of these games went over.
                              Great call

                              Ill have to make another thread tomorrow for fading material
                              Comment
                              • CanuckG
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-23-10
                                • 21978

                                #16
                                Unreal
                                Comment
                                • easyliving
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-25-12
                                  • 8876

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by frogsrangers
                                  Great call

                                  Ill have to make another thread tomorrow for fading material
                                  you sure do. I wish I had actually betted these lines. would've made 1 hell of a parlay
                                  Comment
                                  • PickWinnerAllDay
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-31-11
                                    • 12722

                                    #18
                                    Those 3 lost and the one I was on lost b/c of some late bullpen implosion.
                                    Comment
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