So a rookie prospect coming up from Double-A ball is a -205 favorite

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  • samgurt
    SBR MVP
    • 05-31-10
    • 2980

    #1
    So a rookie prospect coming up from Double-A ball is a -205 favorite
    no thanks...Astros or no play
  • frogsrangers
    Restricted User
    • 04-25-12
    • 5792

    #2
    I have said it for the past 6 weeks or so there is serious value in fading the Rangers. Even though they have been playing like a tee ball team lately they are still over valued every game, as evidenced with the line tonight. If anyone has been fading them the past few weeks they would be swimming in dough. The only reason I haven't faded them is because I don't want to bet against my lifelong team, conflict of interest. So I only bet on the Rangers when I think the value is good for them to win
    Comment
    • opie1988
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-12-10
      • 23429

      #3
      Juice doesn't matter. You pay no juice when you win.

      JJ can vouch for this.
      Comment
      • remeedella
        SBR MVP
        • 04-17-12
        • 4089

        #4
        here's something I noticed with the books. When texas gets -1.5 runline at + money there's a great oppurtunity to fade them as they can easily lose 10-5 for ie. Last night the runline ran all the way down close to -1.3 and I think that was an indicator. With -1.5 alternate for houston at over +2.7 Go for the gold and maybe hedge with the over im hoping to win both ways
        Comment
        • Ghenghis Kahn
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 19734

          #5
          this kid's record is 8-1 and has a era of under 2 at aa. he must be pretty decent. but not touching either side.
          Comment
          • a4u2fear
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-29-10
            • 8147

            #6
            Astros
            Comment
            • samgurt
              SBR MVP
              • 05-31-10
              • 2980

              #7
              Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
              this kid's record is 8-1 and has a era of under 2 at aa. he must be pretty decent. but not touching either side.
              Means nothing. this happens all the time. In fact, just look at Liam Hendriks right now. Was 5-0 with a 1.94 ERA in AAA...comes up today and is getting lit up
              Comment
              • frogsrangers
                Restricted User
                • 04-25-12
                • 5792

                #8
                Originally posted by samgurt
                Means nothing. this happens all the time. In fact, just look at Liam Hendriks right now. Was 5-0 with a 1.94 ERA in AAA...comes up today and is getting lit up
                Exactly, Horace Bridges had a 37 inning scoreless streak in AAA and couldn't even seem to go an inning without giving up a run against the Pirates of all teams

                Jump from AAA to Bigs is huge
                Comment
                • samgurt
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-31-10
                  • 2980

                  #9
                  fukk it boys! Astros -2.5 +370!
                  Comment
                  • frogsrangers
                    Restricted User
                    • 04-25-12
                    • 5792

                    #10
                    Originally posted by samgurt
                    fukk it boys! Astros -2.5 +370!
                    Normally I'd say this is crazy, but with the way the Rangers offense has been, Hamilton missing, and a double A callup, I can see an Astros 3 run win.
                    Comment
                    • samgurt
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-31-10
                      • 2980

                      #11
                      Originally posted by frogsrangers
                      Normally I'd say this is crazy, but with the way the Rangers offense has been, Hamilton missing, and a double A callup, I can see an Astros 3 run win.

                      I'm planning on a 2-run win and expecting to be disappointed tonight
                      Comment
                      • frogsrangers
                        Restricted User
                        • 04-25-12
                        • 5792

                        #12
                        Originally posted by samgurt
                        I'm planning on a 2-run win and expecting to be disappointed tonight
                        Hedge with the Astros ML then
                        Comment
                        • Semper Fidelis
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-22-11
                          • 1999

                          #13
                          My boy Grimm will pitch well in his debut today. He's one of the best players to come from UGA in years-in fact we haven't fared too well since he left. He was fun to watch in person. Definitely good that his first start will be against the Astros and not some offensive juggernaut like the Yankees or Red Sox.
                          Comment
                          • russiaboss
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-15-10
                            • 735

                            #14
                            Playing Texas -200
                            GL
                            Comment
                            • Mr KLC
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-19-07
                              • 31097

                              #15
                              I'm just pissed I can't watch the game. Fox has their national games in the same time slot, which means my MLB Extra Innings package is useless tonight.
                              Comment
                              • chuff
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 06-16-12
                                • 66

                                #16
                                Harrel has a 6.13 ERA on the road but is 4-0 at home so I'd pass at the very least - Astros 9-23 as visitors too.
                                Comment
                                • TxBulldog
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-03-10
                                  • 185

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by opie1988
                                  Juice doesn't matter. You pay no juice when you win.

                                  JJ can vouch for this.
                                  This is 180 degrees WRONG. You pay the juice when you WIN!
                                  Comment
                                  • frogsrangers
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 04-25-12
                                    • 5792

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by samgurt
                                    fukk it boys! Astros -2.5 +370!


                                    JUST LIKE I PREDICTED, RANGERS OFFENSE LOOKS LIKE POND SCUM.
                                    Comment
                                    • frogsrangers
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 04-25-12
                                      • 5792

                                      #19
                                      Astros defense let you down here, should have gotten out of this inning with no runs scored. 2nd night in a row Astros defense turns what should have been a 1-2-3 inning into a 5 run outburst. Sorry bro
                                      Comment
                                      • nrok2118
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-10-12
                                        • 1182

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by frogsrangers


                                        JUST LIKE I PREDICTED, RANGERS OFFENSE LOOKS LIKE POND SCUM.

                                        And than theres that ONE INNING, and we're screwed
                                        Comment
                                        • opie1988
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-12-10
                                          • 23429

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by frogsrangers


                                          JUST LIKE I PREDICTED, RANGERS OFFENSE LOOKS LIKE POND SCUM.
                                          Boom stick, biiiaaattchhh!!
                                          Comment
                                          • samgurt
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-31-10
                                            • 2980

                                            #22
                                            Fudge...
                                            Comment
                                            • opie1988
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-12-10
                                              • 23429

                                              #23
                                              Astros
                                              Comment
                                              • samgurt
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-31-10
                                                • 2980

                                                #24
                                                rigged.
                                                Comment
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