How many of you suckers are on O13 at Wrigley today??

No coincidences · 05-28-12, 11:44 AM

Shitty fly ball pitcher in Wood, Suppan is Suppan, wind is blowing out, line opened at 12.5 despite two anemic offenses and is getting hammered up with 68% of the public on the under.

Sounds like a good under play to me mathy.

rm18 · 05-28-12, 11:44 AM

https://www.fadethewind.com

nikossf · 05-28-12, 11:50 AM

playersonly69 · 05-28-12, 11:55 AM

Obvioulsy you havent been around very long.

In the past few years when a total of 13 or 14 is posted at Wrigley, it goes over almost 75% of the time.

Suppan throws those 80MPH curveballs and his fastball isnt good. He will be pitching up in the zone

DDT · 05-28-12, 11:56 AM

I like the Under

raydog · 05-28-12, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by playersonly69

Obvioulsy you havent been around very long.

In the past few years when a total of 13 or 14 is posted at Wrigley, it goes over almost 75% of the time.

Suppan throws those 80MPH curveballs and his fastball isnt good. He will be pitching up in the zone

can you provide us with some sort of proof of this, slimslow? or is this some sort of railbird whoreshit you came up with? i do agree its over 50%

mathdotcom · 05-28-12, 12:08 PM

Last year there was one total of 13. It went way over.

Last year there were 4 totals of 12.5. All went under.

So we can play that game. There frankly isn't enough history of these totals in the past few years.

We will see. Small play.

dudekid · 05-28-12, 12:08 PM

its actually not over 50%, but i think right around 48%...someone posted in the other "padres/cubs total" thread in PT the statistics when the total is 10 or more and it hits at a 48% clip...DEFINITELY not 75%, and probably not even 50%

starfire · 05-28-12, 12:11 PM

62% on the under

playersonly69 · 05-28-12, 12:11 PM

I didnt say ANYTHING about 10 or more. I said 13 or 14 as has happened in the past few years. I think that they had a total of 15 two days in a row a few years ago and each game ended around 10-9

mathdotcom · 05-28-12, 12:12 PM

2011

Total/away runs/cubs runs/total runs scored

12 6 5 11 UNDER
12 5 0 5 UNDER
12.5 1 3 4 UNDER
12.5 4 6 10 UNDER
12.5 3 4 7 UNDER
13.5 4 5 9 UNDER
12.5 0 13 13 OVER
13 7 12 19 OVER
13 5 13 18 OVER
14.5 11 5 16 OVER

LET THE PLAYERS DECIDE

mathdotcom · 05-28-12, 12:15 PM

Take the + money while you can

PedroG · 05-28-12, 12:34 PM

when its 5-4 in the 3rd innings those bets dont look to bad .... I passed though would have went over 12.5 but missed it ....

mathdotcom · 05-28-12, 12:45 PM

Who knows

All I know is plus money on under has now basically disappeared

No coincidences · 05-28-12, 12:52 PM

Of all the games on the board today, why would you pick this one?

Koldazzice · 05-28-12, 12:53 PM

I took it at 12.5 - waited over a hour after finding out the weather praying it would be under 13 and it was

Fly balls can carry an xtra 60 feet on days like today. Now here is the real problem can cubs and padres even hit fly balls period. Wind wont matter if these scrubs cant put the ball in play
Just 1 unit (100 bucks) would be 3 units if it was a team like STL @chi and not the crappy padres

Smogs · 05-28-12, 01:11 PM

Cubs will score 7, but no way the padres contribute to the scoring

govolz · 05-28-12, 01:13 PM

Totals are hard enough to bet. When the books give you a total this high you take it like apresent... Dont bet your whole roll and don under bet it just bet it like its a regular line. I don't care if they're in Barton practice both teams have to be on fire to hit 14 runs... Take the under

No coincidences · 05-28-12, 01:15 PM

Under now +108 at Pinny.

mathdotcom · 05-28-12, 01:18 PM

What a bizarre line on this game

Could be interesting

oiler · 05-28-12, 01:20 PM

why not take the cubs since suppan has a losing record against cubs.sooner or later,the cubs have to win and this might be the day

No coincidences · 05-28-12, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by mathdotcom

What a bizarre line on this game

Could be interesting

Why is it bizarre? 13 is a typical number with the wind blowing this hard and two shitty pitchers on the bump.

Again, why you'd pick this game out of the whole lineup is beyond me. Good luck if you played it.

HOT WINGS · 05-28-12, 01:21 PM

I like the over here. Wood should get smacked around tgen the worst bullpen in MLB takes over

mathdotcom · 05-28-12, 01:23 PM

I meant the moneyline too

Could be a 20-15 win for Padres or 5-4 Cubs win

No coincidences, I could ask you the same question. Why avoid this game?

baskets · 05-28-12, 01:24 PM

Pods have a history of fukking overs and somehow delivering an under ... ha ha. at least for my wagers

Anyways, got under 14 to win about a dollar.... b/c I'm not seeing any advantageous bets and I'd like a little Mem Day morning action

KingJD31 · 05-28-12, 01:24 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Why is it bizarre? 13 is a typical number with the wind blowing this hard and two shitty pitchers on the bump.

Again, why you'd pick this game out of the whole lineup is beyond me. Good luck if you played it.

Whole board is shit today, I'll take my chances 13 runs with 2 of the worst offenses

mathdotcom · 05-28-12, 01:29 PM

Wood not throwing anything above the rooster

No coincidences · 05-28-12, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by mathdotcom

I meant the moneyline too

Could be a 20-15 win for Padres or 5-4 Cubs win

No coincidences, I could ask you the same question. Why avoid this game?

Are you kidding me? There are so many more variables to this than a typical game on the card. Two shitty/unpredictable pitchers, strong winds, Cubs are horrific right now, Pads all over the map, offenses are anemic yet the over's obviously being pushed -- what kind of question is that?

I could see an angle to your TOR/TEX play yesterday. You spotted a weakness and exposed it. Seems like you're just grasping here -- especially with so many more games going on at the same time.

YOUNGBUCK · 05-28-12, 01:34 PM

I am

mathdotcom · 05-28-12, 01:35 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Are you kidding me? There are so many more variables to this than a typical game on the card.

lol

And of course we know exactly what's going to happen in the other games.

You have a lot to learn son. These are the games you want to focus on.

No coincidences · 05-28-12, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by mathdotcom

lol

And of course we know exactly what's going to happen in the other games.

You have a lot to learn son. These are the games you want to focus on.

I never said that, but this is the true definition of a "gamble."

"These are the games you want to focus on" -- yeah right. Cubs and Pads with all of these variables. Unreal. I suddenly hope you lose your rooster on this play, because it's a stupid one to make either way.

mathdotcom · 05-28-12, 01:37 PM

Game may go over without any HRs scored

KingJD31 · 05-28-12, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I never said that, but this is the true definition of a "gamble."

"These are the games you want to focus on" -- yeah right. Cubs and Pads with all of these variables. Unreal. I suddenly hope you lose your rooster on this play, because it's a stupid one to make either way.

Enlighten the board on what plays you like cause I see nothing

mathdotcom · 05-28-12, 01:39 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I never said that, but this is the true definition of a "gamble."

"These are the games you want to focus on" -- yeah right. Cubs and Pads with all of these variables. Unreal. I suddenly hope you lose your rooster on this play, because it's a stupid one to make either way.

By that logic you should really love betting on the Superbowl coin toss. There are no variables at play, it is clearly a ... coinflip... and you can happily take the -110 on either side knowing the true odds.