Braves -108 over Reds tonight is my play

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65710

    #1
    Braves -108 over Reds tonight is my play
    Atlanta Braves dominate Arroyo.
    Even with Ross in for McCann behind the dish, Ross is a solid hitting catcher.
    Top half of the Braves line up should have their way with Bronson.


    Eric Hinske 36 33 14 5 0 1 4 3 1 .424 .472 .667 1.139 0 0 0 0 0
    Chipper Jones 35 28 11 2 0 3 10 7 3 .393 .514 .786 1.300 0 0 1 0 1
    Brian McCann 24 18 9 0 0 4 7 5 1 .500 .625 1.167 1.792 0 0 0 1 1
    Michael Bourn 24 22 7 1 0 0 1 2 4 .318 .375 .364 .739 0 0 0 0 0
    Dan Uggla 18 16 5 1 0 1 2 2 4 .313 .389 .563 .951 0 0 0 0 0
    Jack Wilson 12 11 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 .182 .250 .182 .432 0 0 0 0 0
    Martin Prado 11 10 4 0 0 1 3 0 0 .400 .364 .700 1.064 0 1 0 0 0
    Matt Diaz 7 6 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 .333 .429 .333 .762 0 0 0 0 0
    Jason Heyward 7 7 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 .143 .143 .571 .714 0 0 0 0 0
    Freddie Freeman 5 4 3 1 0 1 1 1 0 .750 .800 1.750 2.550 0 0 0 0 0
    David Ross 3 3 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 .667 .667 1.000 1.667 0 0 0 0 0
    Total 182 158 60 11 0 12 30 22 18 .380 .456 .677 1.133 0 1 1 1 2

    Braves start Hanson, solid starter, Reds have had no success.
    8 for 51. .159.
    Phillips hits him a little, that's it.



    Brandon Phillips 12 10 4 0 1 0 1 2 0 .400 .500 .600 1.100 0 0 0 0 0
    Jay Bruce 10 8 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
    Joey Votto 8 7 1 0 0 1 4 0 1 .143 .250 .571 .821 0 0 0 1 0
    Wilson Valdez 7 6 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 .000 .143 .000 .143 0 0 0 0 1
    Ryan Ludwick 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Drew Stubbs 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Miguel Cairo 3 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .333 .333 .333 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    Ryan Hanigan 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    Mike Leake 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 .667 .667 1.000 1.667 0 0 0 0 0
    Chris Heisey 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Mat Latos 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Total 59 51 8 1 1 1 6 7 12 .157 .271 .275 .546 0 0 0 1 1


    Hanson is 5-3 on the season, solid ERA 3.31, WHIP is OK at 1.37, it'll come down, his career WHIP is an outstanding 1.19
    Strikes out 8 per nine innings, and the Reds pretty much swing at anything. Double digit K output from Hanson would not surprise me.

    I never trust Arroyo, he's a gopher ball waiting to happen, even with Ross and Hinske in the line up for Atlanta tonight, I can see two big flies. Look for Freeman to croak one.

    This is a very, very good spot for Atlanta with Hanson on the road.
    I'm looking for the Braves to cruise.

    7-2
  • Brock Landers
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 06-30-08
    • 45359

    #2
    Braves have looked like shit the last 3 games

    Pass
    Comment
    • rm18
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-20-05
      • 22291

      #3
      Braves usually a good bet vs. righties can hit and good bullpen
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65710

        #4
        @Brock

        You do know every team will win at least 60 games, every team will lose 60 games, the secret to betting bases is to pick the spot where a team will win one of those 60 and lose one of those 60 and throw out the other 100.

        This (in my opinion) is a spot where the Braves win one of those at least 60 they will win this year, and the Reds will lose that one out of a least 60 they will lose this year.

        But what do I know? Best of luck tonight Brock.
        Comment
        • EVPlus
          SBR MVP
          • 04-07-12
          • 1111

          #5
          stevenash - I just wanted to say I appreciate your analysis on games. My br is tied up on other things but BOL with this one.
          Comment
          • Ghenghis Kahn
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 19734

            #6
            i was about to take cincy but since you like atl. i'm gonna pass on this game. gl
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65710

              #7
              ^
              Don't back off a wager because some guy on the internet likes the other side.

              You like Cincy, play them for the love of God.

              I'm not perfect, far from it.
              Comment
              • Pauulzcappin
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-23-10
                • 20295

                #8
                im 0-6 on the mlb today and i took the reds.

                you know what to do, boys
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65710

                  #9
                  ^
                  pray for rain?
                  Comment
                  • Ghenghis Kahn
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 19734

                    #10
                    Originally posted by stevenash
                    ^
                    Don't back off a wager because some guy on the internet likes the other side.

                    You like Cincy, play them for the love of God.

                    I'm not perfect, far from it.
                    honestly, i don't feel too strong about cincy. just market capping here.
                    Comment
                    • a4u2fear
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-29-10
                      • 8147

                      #11
                      Ugh fugging missed this
                      Comment
                      • mh217
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-05-10
                        • 2226

                        #12
                        Took braves 1st 5..also took under 8.5 on a parlay..
                        Comment
                        • Madison
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-16-11
                          • 6467

                          #13
                          Nash nice call yesterday. Was gonna put a unit on it and work turned nasty and I missed. Missed this one as well (tough to get old ), but you have my respect and I appreciate your input. GL!
                          Comment
                          • baskets
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-24-11
                            • 11691

                            #14
                            Originally posted by mh217
                            Took braves 1st 5..also took under 8.5 on a parlay..
                            same. got braves 1st 5 ml

                            0 0 0 x x
                            0 0 x x x

                            would like at least a push. have a feeling Reds will get blanked thru 5..... o/c, dat don't mean shit
                            Comment
                            • baskets
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-24-11
                              • 11691

                              #15
                              arroyo batting... u really need to bring hiim to a 3-2 count, dude?
                              Comment
                              • Pauulzcappin
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-23-10
                                • 20295

                                #16
                                When I saw baskets was the last to post I figured it was going to be a racist rant about Dusty Baker.
                                Comment
                                • Pauulzcappin
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-23-10
                                  • 20295

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by stevenash
                                  ^
                                  pray for rain?
                                  nah, take the braves lol
                                  Comment
                                  • Pauulzcappin
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-23-10
                                    • 20295

                                    #18
                                    Uggla goes deep, looks like I lost my touch with the MLB
                                    Comment
                                    • stevenash
                                      Moderator
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 65710

                                      #19
                                      Uggla with the stick.
                                      Comment
                                      • baskets
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-24-11
                                        • 11691

                                        #20
                                        nice job, Uggla

                                        w/ Han on the mound.... think we got at least a push here
                                        Comment
                                        • baskets
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-24-11
                                          • 11691

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                          When I saw baskets was the last to post I figured it was going to be a racist rant about Dusty Baker.
                                          would u like me to comment on the geniousness-osity of Dusty Baker? ... LOL
                                          Comment
                                          • baskets
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-24-11
                                            • 11691

                                            #22
                                            1-0 top 5th

                                            Bravos aint getting a run in this top 5... so basically will need Han to hold the fort for 3 more outs in the bottom half
                                            Comment
                                            • baskets
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-24-11
                                              • 11691

                                              #23
                                              well, Han gave up a hit to start the game .... then has retired 12 of next 13 batters... w/ just that one walk thrown in there.

                                              facing 6.7.8 hitters.


                                              good shot to win this, Bravos


                                              bring it home!
                                              Comment
                                              • baskets
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-24-11
                                                • 11691

                                                #24
                                                one down

                                                7 and 8 spot now
                                                Comment
                                                • baskets
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-24-11
                                                  • 11691

                                                  #25
                                                  2 down

                                                  8 spot batting... then the pitcher
                                                  Comment
                                                  • baskets
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-24-11
                                                    • 11691

                                                    #26
                                                    single

                                                    pitcher batting, 2 outs


                                                    this should not lose.....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • stevenash
                                                      Moderator
                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                      • 65710

                                                      #27
                                                      Hanson razor sharp so far.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • baskets
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-24-11
                                                        • 11691

                                                        #28
                                                        nice and smooth

                                                        good job, Hanny
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stevenash
                                                          Moderator
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 65710

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by baskets
                                                          single

                                                          pitcher batting, 2 outs


                                                          this should not lose.....
                                                          Lock it up fella, winning never gets old.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • a4u2fear
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-29-10
                                                            • 8147

                                                            #30
                                                            glad i missed tonights, close anyway, get em tomorrow.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDeem5
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-26-11
                                                              • 17191

                                                              #31
                                                              Close on nashy
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevenash
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 01-17-11
                                                                • 65710

                                                                #32
                                                                I may have missed something, Braves always smack Bronson around, even with Hinske and Ross in there.
                                                                Hanson did his part, can't sugar coat it, I lost this one, Devils did me good, but still......
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388179

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Nashy I cam back with Braves today +107

                                                                  Get it back man
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Smutbucket
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-14-08
                                                                    • 4000

                                                                    #34
                                                                    lol. i was on braves last 2 days......ugh.......i got a sick feeling in my stomach cuz I know I have to make it 3 with homer pitching today....
                                                                    Comment
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