all stats below are from 2011:
in 53 wins against sub-.500 teams, the yankees won 45 by 2 runs or more
in 65 wins against sub-.500 teams, phillies won 49 games by 2 runs or more
in 61 wins against sub-.500 teams, texas won 48 games by 2 runs or more
now so far in 2012 its been the blue jays, rangers (again) and the orioles that are beating up on sub-.500 teams but i expect that to change as the season progresses.
assuming we are offered odds greater than or equal to +100 on -1.5 run lines in these situations, is this a sucker bet or easy value?
for example the rangers -1.5 against the .500 athletics is offering +105 tomorrow.
in 53 wins against sub-.500 teams, the yankees won 45 by 2 runs or more
in 65 wins against sub-.500 teams, phillies won 49 games by 2 runs or more
in 61 wins against sub-.500 teams, texas won 48 games by 2 runs or more
now so far in 2012 its been the blue jays, rangers (again) and the orioles that are beating up on sub-.500 teams but i expect that to change as the season progresses.
assuming we are offered odds greater than or equal to +100 on -1.5 run lines in these situations, is this a sucker bet or easy value?
for example the rangers -1.5 against the .500 athletics is offering +105 tomorrow.