Just did my first ever live bet. Took Minnesota at -170 to win the game outright with a 10 point lead. For future reference was this bet stupid or a good value?
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good betComment -
Was very stupid. You should know Tsoprano is on the Saints to win.
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pinnacle has -216 +190 comebackComment -
take New Orleans, I'm pretty sure the Saints will take this one. Turnovers are the only reason Minnesota is even in the game.Comment -
good bet, just think if a team was favored by 10 points the ML would at least around -250Comment -
Vikings up to -180 now at the half. NO is at +140. Seems alot of people are banking on a comeback. If you think NO will still win they will have to score alot so what inning will it happen.
Odds 0-3 +350
4-7 +280
8-11 +300
12-15 +260
16-19 +650
20-23 +600
24 or more +1000Comment -
+1000 for NO to score 24+ is a line? that is a bad line though only about 15-18% chance maybeComment -
24+ points for both teams in 1 quarter.Comment -
boston is -900 in live betting lol. good way to get rid of this 5 times rollover on the moneyline madness contest.Comment -
3rd quarter then? Don't really like that, MInny gets the ball 1st and will establish the runComment -
can be fourth quarter also. Only way to do that is if indy plays texas oops or if NO is way behind and comes out gunning.Comment -
o/u for the game went from 52.5 to 50.5 . take the over quickly?Comment -
noComment -
saints getting pounded probably by sharps. minn -160 to +120 nowComment -
The Saints are not getting pounded by sharps...Comment -
It's a +EV bet (the -170 Minnesota ML bet), picantel. Nice bet.Comment -
I now know the answer to my original question. Yes
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certainly seems like a great bet. We're only talking one half here.Originally posted by ertl09bird bird da bird's da wordComment -
You cannot view it with this mindset though. The original line represented the possibilities of the full match. You are betting up to the development with still time for a correction of the original forecast, it's a whole different ball game.Originally posted by ertl09
With true in-running the original line can be an asset and a liability, in Asia we call it 'a tool and a fool'.
In-running exploits the deficiencies of gamblers 10x more so than post market. In Asia its the 90/10 business model, where 10% of profit is made in post market and 90% in running.
The example above is but just a simple example of the complexity of mastering live betting.Comment -
If pinnacle had -216 and you got -170, it was a GREAT bet regardless of end result.Comment -
In play betting is where I make pretty much all my money.
Betfair is more productive to me at times, than my job.Comment -
i would stay away from live betting because you're making a 10 seconds capping. only do it during commercial breaks. that is my adviceComment
