Moronic Baseball Live-Betting Question

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  • McBa1n
    SBR MVP
    • 01-02-06
    • 2642

    #1
    Moronic Baseball Live-Betting Question
    I'm just farting around and chasing a few bux on intertops - lost a couple in the NFL, but never tried live betting before - as I see it as a major trap... But what the heck, i figure.

    Anyhow, every inning they put up a line of -160 for no one to score in an inning. My understanding is a run is scored almost 2 to 1 on average (1-xx runs/inning) - but with -160 on your side?? I notice in tonight's game - the chalk is getting nailed, however, -160 seems like a highly exploitable line to me - even perhaps, dare_I_say martingaleable?

    Am I a total retard or am I missing something in the math? I'd pay 1 1/2 to 1 (or 1.6 to 1) in a martingale situation that was limited all day. Maybe I'd get broke, but I feel like this is kind of nuts to me... I watch a fair amount of baseball, and although this game strays from the mean (the sox/angels game tonight) - 1.6 to 1 seems really nice to me.
  • jtuck
    SBR MVP
    • 02-18-08
    • 2051

    #2
    Are the limits high enough on that to make it able to martingdale and still make an amount of money worth counting?
    Comment
    • mathdotcom
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-24-08
      • 11689

      #3
      Martingale has nothing to do with this.

      If you're getting + EV, you shouldn't have to change your bet size to make a profit.

      My personal opinion is -160 sounds about right.
      Comment
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