Odds On A Sixers/Heat Conference Finals?

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  • PhillyFlyers
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-27-11
    • 8245

    #1
    Odds On A Sixers/Heat Conference Finals?
    Anybody know?
  • KingJD31
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-04-11
    • 8167

    #2
    Same odds as seeing lochness monster big foot and yetti in 30 seconds
    Comment
    • MC PICKS
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-10-10
      • 6644

      #3
      The heat are gonna clobber the sixers next rd.
      Comment
      • KingJD31
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-04-11
        • 8167

        #4
        Originally posted by ** PICKS
        The celtics are gonna clobber the sixers this rd.
        fixed
        Comment
        • MC PICKS
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-10-10
          • 6644

          #5
          I dont know, the celts are banged up a little too.
          Comment
          • PhillyFlyers
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-27-11
            • 8245

            #6
            Looks like a Sixers/Heat conference finals might not be as far from reality as most people seemed to think a few days ago.
            Comment
            • Petey Wheatstraw
              SBR MVP
              • 05-09-12
              • 1038

              #7
              Finally an Answer to your Question

              Heat -210
              Sixers +240
              Comment
              • wantitall4moi
                SBR MVP
                • 04-17-10
                • 3063

                #8
                I would say it would be around +140 for the Pacers/Heat and around -120 for Celtics/Heat match ups specifically. Celtics still a decent favorite to win this series, and Miami is a huge favorite to win theirs, so odds on the match up are not going to be too far off what stand alone Bos/Indy series odds are.
                Comment
                • celtics3388
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-10
                  • 1916

                  #9
                  around +155 since the Sixers are +140 dogs and Heat are -920 favs to win their current series. Maybe even +150.
                  Comment
                  • MC PICKS
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-10-10
                    • 6644

                    #10
                    Sixers are gonna win this series too and should be up 2-0 but they gave game 1 away.
                    Comment
                    • wantitall4moi
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-17-10
                      • 3063

                      #11
                      Originally posted by celtics3388
                      around +155 since the Sixers are +140 dogs and Heat are -920 favs to win their current series. Maybe even +150.
                      The Celtics got absolutely crushed then, At pinnacle too. they 'opened' 135/123, when I made the post they had moved to 143/129 or somewhere around there, now its 153/138.
                      Comment
                      • JM92
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-27-12
                        • 1140

                        #12
                        if the spurs are - 1200 or something. So I would say the Heat should be about the same.
                        Comment
                        • wantitall4moi
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-17-10
                          • 3063

                          #13
                          Heat up 1-0 are only -900 or so (875 at Pinnacle) Bosch beiong out makes the line move a lot I would imagine but in truth Heat are a better team without him.

                          Spurs are -1900 by the way.
                          Comment
                          • PhillyFlyers
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-27-11
                            • 8245

                            #14
                            Looks like a Sixers/Heat Conference Finals prediction wasn't too far off. Much closer than most expected I think.
                            Comment
                            • thetrinity
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-25-11
                              • 22431

                              #15
                              im not surprised phillys given em a run personally, books werent either, celts in 7 was the most likely outcome.
                              Comment
                              • yisman
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-01-08
                                • 75682

                                #16
                                Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
                                Looks like a Sixers/Heat Conference Finals prediction wasn't too far off. Much closer than most expected I think.
                                you asked about this before the round started. Everyone expected Miami to win and Philly wasn't a giant underdog.

                                Odds were roughly +150 and it still might not happen.
                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                [/quote]

                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  Phila playing better than i thought

                                  I still think Boston wins at home
                                  Comment
                                  • Tofudog
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 04-30-12
                                    • 858

                                    #18
                                    I dunno.. I think it would be about -280 for Heat vs 76ers.. Probably around -180 for Heat vs Celtics
                                    Comment
                                    • pro-style
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 07-20-10
                                      • 177

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
                                      Looks like a Sixers/Heat Conference Finals prediction wasn't too far off. Much closer than most expected I think.
                                      It is pretty simple to figure out at this point:

                                      Odds on Heat/Pacers series: -1030/+775
                                      Odds on Celts/Sixers series: -250/+222

                                      No vig line for Heat/Pacers: +/- 798 = 88.86%
                                      No vig line for Celts/Sixers: +/- 230 = 69.70%

                                      The odds on a Heat/Sixers series would be: (1-0.6970)*(0.8886) = 0.2693 = 26.93% = + 271

                                      If the odds of this happening was +150, prior to the start of both series, then your perception of what people "expected" was wrong.
                                      Comment
                                      • pro-style
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 07-20-10
                                        • 177

                                        #20
                                        Just for the sake of being complete here are the odds I calculated for all of the possible eastern conference finals matchups given the current market prices on pinnacle

                                        Heat/Celtics = 61.93% or -161
                                        Heat/76ers = 26.93% or +271
                                        Pacers/Celtics = 7.76% or +1188
                                        Pacers/76ers = 3.37% or +2863
                                        Comment
                                        • PedroG
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 11-19-08
                                          • 96

                                          #21
                                          I would think Heat would be in -400 to -500 range ...( and thats without BOSH )
                                          Comment
                                          • PedroG
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 11-19-08
                                            • 96

                                            #22
                                            Heat vs Boston will be Heat -240ish to -280ish , vs 76ers will be -420 to -500

                                            in my expert opinion ...
                                            Comment
                                            • Tree Rollins
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-16-09
                                              • 3968

                                              #23
                                              idk but it will go 5 games if the Sixers are lucky.

                                              Heat are fortunate they play in the East. Their road to the Finals is going to be gravy no matter how things shake out.
                                              Comment
                                              • pro-style
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 07-20-10
                                                • 177

                                                #24
                                                heats odds will definitely be larger than -280 vs boston lol...
                                                Comment
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