Weaver should be a -210 road favorite, not -176

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 66087

    #1
    Weaver should be a -210 road favorite, not -176
    Line stinks, and I'm not touching Dream Weaver tonight.
    Usually I don't let the line dictate my plays, but this line is off, like 35 cents off.

    Weaver coming off that no-no, is undefeated this year, has that microscopic 1.61 ERA, has that unbelievably low 0.78 WH/IP ratio, striking out almost double digit batters every start, against a pathetic Minny team, starting a pitcher (Liriano) who hasn't been right in a couple of years now, who sports a ludicrous 9.97 ERA with a really ludicrous 2.22 WH/IP ratio.

    Hmm, let's see, Liriano allows more base runners in an inning than Weaver allows runs in a game, Weaver hasn't lost all year, Liriano hasn't won a game all year, Angels hit Liriano really hard, Twins can't touch Weaver.

    No brainer, right?

    Sorry, not biting.

    I can see a 3-2 Twins win, say a scratch run in the bottom of the ninth, Weaver getting out in the eight, 2 runs, 1 earned, NO DECISION.

    I can see that easily happening tonight
  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63182

    #2
    I think so many people have jumped on the "fade the pitcher after a no-hitter" trend train that we are seeing the adjustments by bookmakers.
    Comment
    • 19th Hole
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-22-09
      • 18383

      #3
      Steve....I have Weaver @ -280
      Comment
      • Smutbucket
        SBR MVP
        • 03-14-08
        • 4018

        #4
        steeve but what if they do that on purpose in order to look like bait in order for people like us to lay off? anyways I agree with you even the reason that weaver last threw a no-no and the strange pattern it shows constantly with the following game bad performance is enough for me to lay off
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Weaver's already lost -- and been shelled -- in Minnesota once this year.
          Comment
          • PickWinnerAllDay
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-31-11
            • 12722

            #6
            Yeah, just like Halladay should have been -300 against the Cubs.
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 66087

              #7
              Originally posted by Chi_archie
              I think so many people have jumped on the "fade the pitcher after a no-hitter" trend train that we are seeing the adjustments by bookmakers.
              It's a trend that has been proven though Arch, I'm not the only baseball junkie who knows more times than not,the pitcher that throws a no hitter, loses his next start.
              Comment
              • DudleyDawson
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-10-12
                • 5658

                #8
                The Angels are not a good team, but should be -210 on the road? uh no.
                Comment
                • RyanLeafOfBets
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-03-10
                  • 8164

                  #9
                  Reverse trap! I'm on the Angels RL.
                  Comment
                  • bradnowell
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 07-31-10
                    • 493

                    #10
                    line dropping almost 20 cents already -185 to -167
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 66087

                      #11
                      Twins are getting lots of love.
                      Comment
                      • Smutbucket
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-14-08
                        • 4018

                        #12
                        lol ryanleaf exactly what I was thinking.........

                        WISE WORDS THREAD STEVE: LAY OFF! (but if your feeling rambunctious do an IF bet with STL followed by twins +170)
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 66087

                          #13
                          ^
                          Not touching the game, gun to head, Twins at + money, there are tons of better wagering options out there.
                          Comment
                          • will2survive
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 8099

                            #14
                            Angels win easily here
                            Comment
                            • DudleyDawson
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-10-12
                              • 5658

                              #15
                              They're both bad teams....thinking the Angels should be -210 here is completely absurd.
                              Comment
                              • JR007
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-21-10
                                • 5279

                                #16
                                Where have you seen -210 or better on the road ???

                                TWINS HAVE THE WORST PITCHING STATS IN THE MAJORS,LlRANO IS AT AROUND 9 ERA
                                THE ANGELS ARE STARTING TO HIT, RUN-LINE PLAY
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 66087

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by DudleyDawson
                                  They're both bad teams....thinking the Angels should be -210 here is completely absurd.
                                  Halladay and Verlander have been -200 on the road several times.


                                  p.s. try posting some plays every now and then, quit being a nudge that trolls threads.
                                  Comment
                                  • DudleyDawson
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-10-12
                                    • 5658

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by stevenash
                                    Halladay and Verlander have been -200 on the road several times.


                                    p.s. try posting some plays every now and then, quit being a nudge that trolls threads.

                                    Halladay and Verlander attract the square money from people such as yourselves a little more than a Weaver does..maybe it's due to him pitching on the West Coast...as nocoin mentioned above the Twins already hit Weaver hard earlier this year....and the Angels are only 3 games ahead of the Twins in the overall standings. Thinking he should be -210 on the road, against a team who already beat him and might I add pitching on a bad Angels team is flat out absurd.

                                    FYI...I post a lot of plays and most win. Im on Red Sox -115 tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • stevenash
                                      Moderator
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 66087

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by DudleyDawson
                                      Halladay and Verlander attract the square money from people such as yourselves
                                      Square player like myself?

                                      I post nothing but live dogs.
                                      Let the posters tell you how I'm doing.
                                      Comment
                                      • JR007
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-21-10
                                        • 5279

                                        #20
                                        game total and twins team total juiced to the over, interesting !!!
                                        Comment
                                        • Soxsfan9
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-30-08
                                          • 3705

                                          #21
                                          Don't care, I am on the Twins!
                                          Comment
                                          • Smutbucket
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-14-08
                                            • 4018

                                            #22
                                            see this forum gets dumb when you got newbs like dudley telling steve nash his plays are square. calling any play a square play is dumb. theres smart money or dumb money. theres no advantage/disadvantage based on the amount of public on it
                                            Comment
                                            • starfire
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-24-10
                                              • 17045

                                              #23
                                              Go Halos
                                              Comment
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