Another under I like tonight

Vinnie Paz · 05-05-12, 06:04 PM

Fiddy of these here sbr points if this hits.

Good luck my man.

kfranz31 · 05-05-12, 06:27 PM

good luck i like it also

No coincidences · 05-05-12, 07:07 PM

Hellickson's a fraud. He's a solid SP but not nearly as good as his surface stats. Due for a major correction.

PickWinnerAllDay · 05-05-12, 07:42 PM

Hellickson couldn't make it through 4. Bad start, he is still elite at home no coin.

No coincidences · 05-05-12, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

Hellickson couldn't make it through 4. Bad start, he is still elite at home no coin.

Not once the advanced stats start catching up to him he won't be.

PickWinnerAllDay · 05-05-12, 08:02 PM

Right no coin... Have you separated these advanced stats for his home road splits? Unlikely bc if you had you'd see what i see.

Jay718 · 05-05-12, 08:04 PM

Any Unders you like for tomorrow?

PickWinnerAllDay · 05-05-12, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by Jay718

Any Unders you like for tomorrow?

Haven't checked but I'll start a thread if so.

PickWinnerAllDay · 05-05-12, 08:35 PM

Need a push here.

Jay718 · 05-05-12, 08:48 PM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

Haven't checked but I'll start a thread if so.

Appreciate it, you on fire

PickWinnerAllDay · 05-05-12, 10:36 PM

Glad to get out of town with a push after the umpires tiny zone and terrible defense.

jjgold · 05-05-12, 10:39 PM

A Push is like winning

Love The Action · 05-05-12, 10:49 PM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

Right no coin... Have you separated these advanced stats for his home road splits? Unlikely bc if you had you'd see what i see.

There's not near enough of a sample size to have any data with any statistical significance to draw any conclusions from his H/A splits. Meanwhile, Hellickson's BABIP is in the .220's and LOB% is in at 90%, both of which are unsustainable over the course of a season. Hellickson is fade until those numbers regress and readjust.

PickWinnerAllDay · 05-05-12, 10:56 PM

I was referring to last years dominating home numbers. The rays in general are a team I love to slam with unders. Game might have went under without the bad defense despite the unusual lack of control from hellickson.

Love The Action · 05-06-12, 08:41 AM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

I was referring to last years dominating home numbers. The rays in general are a team I love to slam with unders. Game might have went under without the bad defense despite the unusual lack of control from hellickson.

Even if you include last year's numbers, it's not enough to draw any conclusions from a statistical perspective.

19th Hole · 05-06-12, 08:53 AM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

I was referring to last years dominating home numbers. The rays in general are a team I love to slam with unders. Game might have went under without the bad defense despite the unusual lack of control from hellickson.

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Is "might have went" the same as "may have gone"?

Anyway, your under calls have been fire.
Keep up the good work.