Arizona Diamondbacks at +150 has value this afternoon; here's three reasons why

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65661

    #1
    Arizona Diamondbacks at +150 has value this afternoon; here's three reasons why
    1) Even though Patrick Corbin is making his major league debut he's no hamburger.
    Corbin is 2-0 in Mobile in four starts (D-Backs minor league) with a 1.11 ratio and a 1.67 ERA. Strikes out almost 1 an innings (8.3 per nine)
    Overall he's 28-14 in the minors, 3.83 ERA with a 1.25 ratio, those number are solid when you consider the band boxes he pitches in AA level.
    Crobin stikes out 8.3 per nine so far in his minor league career too.

    He's a lefty, a good one, drafted second round right out HS by the Angels (I think he might have pitched a little JUCO ball) traded to the Snakes in the Haren deal.
    He's 22 years old.

    Think Andy Pettite:

    A textbook lefty, Corbin is a smart and wiry craftsman with three solid pitches and good command. He won't break any radar guns, but he should frustrate more than his fair share of MLB hitters very soon

    2) Miami is an underachieving team, that finds way to lose leads late.
    If Corbin keeps the Snakes in the game (and I think he will), I believe Buerhle needs to go seven innings plus or 'Zona's lineup will torch the Fish bullpen.

    3) Buerle can be hit, he beat the Cubs, but who doesn't beat the Cubs, got beat by a decimated Phil lineup with out 1/3 of their all stars, and got shut out by Cincy.

    Now I'm not saying this game is a lock, but if you ask me the line on the Marlins is way off here.
    -160/+150 is ridiculous.
    I'm not laying 8:5 on this crappy Fish team, and I'll be more than happy to take a shot with the Snakes at +150 on a good prospect, and a team that can rake Buerhle some today.

    Snakes +150 1* 100 to win 150 here
  • EASY_MONEY72
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-23-12
    • 853

    #2
    i like it.
    Comment
    • ridims
      SBR MVP
      • 11-15-10
      • 3863

      #3

      took zona first run for +100, 1st 5 innings +140 & +155 for the game .. all for a unit each.
      Comment
      • DudleyDawson
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-10-12
        • 5658

        #4
        Heritage is up to +164/-177 but I'm not buying it...late money comes in on the Dbacks, guaranteed.
        Comment
        • LoneStar
          Restricted User
          • 07-11-09
          • 190

          #5
          Originally posted by stevenash
          1) Even though Patrick Corbin is making his major league debut he's no hamburger.
          Corbin is 2-0 in Mobile in four starts (D-Backs minor league) with a 1.11 ratio and a 1.67 ERA. Strikes out almost 1 an innings (8.3 per nine)
          Overall he's 28-14 in the minors, 3.83 ERA with a 1.25 ratio, those number are solid when you consider the band boxes he pitches in AA level.
          Crobin stikes out 8.3 per nine so far in his minor league career too.

          He's a lefty, a good one, drafted second round right out HS by the Angels (I think he might have pitched a little JUCO ball) traded to the Snakes in the Haren deal.
          He's 22 years old.

          Think Andy Pettite:

          A textbook lefty, Corbin is a smart and wiry craftsman with three solid pitches and good command. He won't break any radar guns, but he should frustrate more than his fair share of MLB hitters very soon

          2) Miami is an underachieving team, that finds way to lose leads late.
          If Corbin keeps the Snakes in the game (and I think he will), I believe Buerhle needs to go seven innings plus or 'Zona's lineup will torch the Fish bullpen.

          3) Buerle can be hit, he beat the Cubs, but who doesn't beat the Cubs, got beat by a decimated Phil lineup with out 1/3 of their all stars, and got shut out by Cincy.

          Now I'm not saying this game is a lock, but if you ask me the line on the Marlins is way off here.
          -160/+150 is ridiculous.
          I'm not laying 8:5 on this crappy Fish team, and I'll be more than happy to take a shot with the Snakes at +150 on a good prospect, and a team that can rake Buerhle some today.

          Snakes +150 1* 100 to win 150 here
          really...? did you miss the the year before stats (2011)? This kid been playing pee-wee ball; not decent numbers to say the lease. Also striking out pee-wee kids at that ratio is not impressive in the 2 game span (try looking at 2011 stats), we'll welcome him too the big leagues today! Christmas will be here early, I already started hanging my lights up for this one! You don't think the METS are hungry? I gotta say Buerhle is a decent pitcher, just hasn't had the run support he expected the last couple starts. The Mets give it to him today!

          I see a 6-2 METS ball game in this spot

          2011 Diamondbacks (AA) 9 8 4.21 26 26 1 1 0 160.1 688 172 78 75 15 40 0 12 16 1 142
          Comment
          • ridims
            SBR MVP
            • 11-15-10
            • 3863

            #6
            Unproven double A pitcher against a pitcher who has been in the league for over 10 years.....

            books are giving way to much praise for Buerle and miami's lineup.
            Comment
            • sweep
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-09-10
              • 16753

              #7
              Originally posted by LoneStar
              really...? did you miss the the year before stats (2011)? This kid been playing pee-wee ball; not decent numbers to say the lease. Also striking out pee-wee kids at that ratio is not impressive in the 2 game span (try looking at 2011 stats), we'll welcome him too the big leagues today! Christmas will be here early, I already started hanging my lights up for this one! You don't think the METS are hungry? I gotta say Buerhle is a decent pitcher, just hasn't had the run support he expected the last couple starts. The Mets give it to him today!

              I see a 6-2 METS ball game in this spot

              2011 Diamondbacks (AA) 9 8 4.21 26 26 1 1 160.1 688 172 78 75 15 40 12 16 1 142
              Mets


              Cant make this shit up SBR
              Comment
              • ridims
                SBR MVP
                • 11-15-10
                • 3863

                #8
                Lol @ mets
                Comment
                • taxe91
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-16-12
                  • 610

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LoneStar
                  really...? did you miss the the year before stats (2011)? This kid been playing pee-wee ball; not decent numbers to say the lease. Also striking out pee-wee kids at that ratio is not impressive in the 2 game span (try looking at 2011 stats), we'll welcome him too the big leagues today! Christmas will be here early, I already started hanging my lights up for this one! You don't think the METS are hungry? I gotta say Buerhle is a decent pitcher, just hasn't had the run support he expected the last couple starts. The Mets give it to him today!

                  I see a 6-2 METS ball game in this spot
                  do you even know what teams are playing?

                  what do you think about under 7.5 stevenash? if corbin is as good as you say he is and buerhle pitches like has for years is there value in it?
                  Comment
                  • ridims
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-15-10
                    • 3863

                    #10
                    Lonestar you should become a pro
                    Comment
                    • TankHankerous
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-22-12
                      • 2088

                      #11
                      He's saying the mets because jose reyes is on miami now and reyes was basically the whole mets team last year.

                      amirite?
                      Comment
                      • sweep
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-09-10
                        • 16753

                        #12
                        Originally posted by TankHankerous
                        He's saying the mets because jose reyes is on miami now and reyes was basically the whole mets team last year.

                        amirite?
                        No, he's saying Mets cause he's a dumb fukk
                        Comment
                        • cdaniels24
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-17-12
                          • 319

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LoneStar
                          really...? did you miss the the year before stats (2011)? This kid been playing pee-wee ball; not decent numbers to say the lease. Also striking out pee-wee kids at that ratio is not impressive in the 2 game span (try looking at 2011 stats), we'll welcome him too the big leagues today! Christmas will be here early, I already started hanging my lights up for this one! You don't think the METS are hungry? I gotta say Buerhle is a decent pitcher, just hasn't had the run support he expected the last couple starts. The Mets give it to him today!


                          I see a 6-2 METS ball game in this spot

                          2011 Diamondbacks (AA) 9 8 4.21 26 26 1 1 0 160.1 688 172 78 75 15 40 0 12 16 1 142
                          Mets????? or do you mean Marlins ???
                          Comment
                          • TankHankerous
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-22-12
                            • 2088

                            #14
                            Originally posted by sweep
                            No, he's saying Mets cause he's a dumb fukk
                            In that case, D'backs it is!

                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #15
                              not so sure this play has the value you think it does, dont get me wrong my 1st reaction after fading fla yesterday (w a fat +170) was " they really this big of favs again?"..and while it really hard to argue with taking the + money to fade these clowns again, i think when talking value you have to consider that Fish were bigger favs yesterday even tho they have the better pitcher going today and facing a kid making his mlb debut...

                              with all that said you certainly not gonna see me laying that kind of juice on a team sliding like mia is, but in terms of value you could have Buerlhe vs kid making mlb debut at a cheaper price today than a messed up JJ in Sundays gm so if anything you prob getting Buerlhe at a little discount today thanx to fish struggles..

                              prob just a pass for me..bol
                              Comment
                              • sweep
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-09-10
                                • 16753

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TankHankerous
                                In that case, D'backs it is!

                                Comment
                                • jstblaze
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-05-07
                                  • 767

                                  #17
                                  Fish arent struggling. They are just bad.

                                  I would agree that it is Arizona or nothing in terms of value.

                                  But game seems like a strange one to me.
                                  Comment
                                  • ridims
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-15-10
                                    • 3863

                                    #18
                                    books expect this kid to get hammered.

                                    and rightfully so. he is a AA call up.......
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      another thing to consider is the ump behind the plate typically has a rather tight kzone, one has to think that this could easily hurt the youngster much more than a vet like Buerlhe....then again fish cant hit anything right now and they hit lefties even worse..
                                      Comment
                                      • HotStreak
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-12-09
                                        • 3235

                                        #20
                                        Need 10 runs from AZ today to win a baseball pool at my local bar. Lets go!
                                        Comment
                                        • JMobile
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-21-10
                                          • 19074

                                          #21
                                          So Nash, you're taking this play, correct?
                                          Comment
                                          • milwaukee mike
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-22-07
                                            • 26914

                                            #22
                                            on arizona

                                            nash and dawson better not fukk me with this one
                                            Comment
                                            • xyzky
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-23-07
                                              • 1577

                                              #23
                                              Like it, GL sir.
                                              Comment
                                              • stevenash
                                                Moderator
                                                • 01-17-11
                                                • 65661

                                                #24
                                                I got +64. I'll take the call up at juicy odds.
                                                I read from scouts this guy can frustrate some hitters.
                                                Let's see.

                                                Oh, it's not a lock, I'm not even encouraging people to play, I'm just saying there is a good prospect going against a bumbling team today at juicy odds.

                                                119433429-1 4/30/12 12:03pm $100.00 $164.00 Pending 4/30/12 12:40pm MLB Baseball 951 Arizona Diamondbacks +164* <small style="padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; ">vs</small> Miami Marlins (P Corbin - L must Start M Buehrle - L must Start)
                                                Comment
                                                • crackerjack
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-01-06
                                                  • 3366

                                                  #25
                                                  Mets arent hungry....they've been feeding off Rockies all weekend.

                                                  I like marlins but I think this is a low scoring game. How many times does a kid making his major league debut get rocked? I have no hard data but seems like rarely. I wanted to bet az TT under but it's 3. Best bet is either under 4 FF or under 25 combined rhe. I will be putting a little on both and cheering for the young rookie. I thing buerhle gets it done today
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stevenash
                                                    Moderator
                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                    • 65661

                                                    #26
                                                    Buehrle could get it done, but be in the dugout in the seventh watching his bullpen walk the bags late in the game.
                                                    That hasn't happened much this year for the Fish has it?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Nyjrkm06
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-25-12
                                                      • 562

                                                      #27
                                                      dont forget they swept the marlins all games were come from behind =]
                                                      Originally posted by crackerjack
                                                      Mets arent hungry....they've been feeding off Rockies all weekend.

                                                      I like marlins but I think this is a low scoring game. How many times does a kid making his major league debut get rocked? I have no hard data but seems like rarely. I wanted to bet az TT under but it's 3. Best bet is either under 4 FF or under 25 combined rhe. I will be putting a little on both and cheering for the young rookie. I thing buerhle gets it done today
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ProfaneReality
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-14-09
                                                        • 7607

                                                        #28
                                                        you hamburgers on Zona are gonna get murked.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDaddy
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-01-06
                                                          • 8378

                                                          #29
                                                          i like miami in this one
                                                          Comment
                                                          • freeVICK
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-21-08
                                                            • 7114

                                                            #30
                                                            Montero and kubel out
                                                            Comment
                                                            • stevenash
                                                              Moderator
                                                              • 01-17-11
                                                              • 65661

                                                              #31
                                                              Just play the game, if I'm wrong, I'm wrong, but let's play out the game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TankHankerous
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-22-12
                                                                • 2088

                                                                #32
                                                                1-2-3 inning this game is over....
                                                                Comment
                                                                • crackerjack
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-01-06
                                                                  • 3366

                                                                  #33
                                                                  No no still alive!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • paco
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-07-09
                                                                    • 62873

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Kubel late scratch for zona. He been swinging a hot bat
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • crackerjack
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-01-06
                                                                      • 3366

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                      Buehrle could get it done, but be in the dugout in the seventh watching his bullpen walk the bags late in the game.
                                                                      That hasn't happened much this year for the Fish has it?
                                                                      Thats why I go first five though. Hard to handicap what a bullpen is going to do. If you're banking on buerhle going out in the seventh and relievers blowing it you should have bet Az second half. The only thing attractive about az today is +150...but that's my opinion. Best of luck...we can actually both win!
                                                                      Comment
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