Do I hedge this bet???

[Iwinyourmoney]

My rich as crap buddy is a huge cubs fan. After last nights loss, and I knowing the Cubs would be an underdog now, we bet $10,000 on the series. He took cubs and I took Dodgers.

Question
Do I drop like around 9500 on the cubs at +115 and guarentee myself $$ Or do I ride it out. Id probably have to spread it out between 2-3 books. What you think guys?

[Iwinyourmoney]

Durrr........I mean around $9500

[SlickFazzer]

Whats the dodgers line?

[englishmike]

Let it ride, youre one up.

[Iwinyourmoney]

Los Angeles Dodgers -135
Chicago Cubs +115

[robmpink]

Make $

[SlickFazzer]

Iwin what the hell do you do for a living to be betting this kind of cash, if you dont mind me asking.

[yisman]

it's the obvious move. Hedge it and guarantee yourself money.

[Iwinyourmoney]

Slick, NBA left me with a solid bankroll sir.

Noway I can pass up getting -135 at even odds. I think Ill let it ride.

[ryanXL977]

ride it out
dempster is gonna start again, so thats a loss

[Iwinyourmoney]

Keep in mind also guys, this is 14% of my current bankroll

[Ganchrow]

Given that $10k represents 14% of your bankroll (implying a total bankroll of $71,428.57), and taking the current Matchbook of -133/+127 to be indicative after 1% commissions, then your full Kelly stake would $8,084.67 on Chi +127 (-1% commission).

This would yield a gain of $2,064.62 were the Dodgers to triumph and a loss of -$22.84 were the Cubs.

Half Kelly stake would be $8,397.36 on Chi +127 (-1% commission), yielding +$1,602.64 given a Dodgers victory and $558.00 otherwise.

At present Matchbook has about $5K available at +127.

[big joe 1212]

What if you hedge and he dont pay you?

[Iwinyourmoney]

I did not hedge. With the cubs down 6-0 in game 2 I called my buddy and offered him a 7k buy out oppertunity. He accepted

[pat venditto]

does anyone else think iwin is a story teller?

[flyingillini]

does anyone else think iwin is a story teller?

Ha

[treece]

does anyone else think iwin is a story teller?

Yea when he said we bet $10,000 on the series, I went

[Nicky Santoro]

i can assure you that IWIN's stories are all true.

the only thing is that he adds three zero's to his story.. meaning, bet was not really $10,000.. the bet was really 10 bucks.. and he only wants to look like a big timer..

he wasn't lying though about the 14% of his bankroll.. he really is worth 71 bucks..

[flyingillini]

Nicky do you respect IWin more or USCKING kid? I want to hear this one.....

[Nicky Santoro]

Nicky do you respect IWin more or USCKING kid? I want to hear this one.....

i have nothing against any of them.. usky is a good kid, and he puts a lot of work into his write ups and vid. i give him credit. he really knows so so much and has every stat humanly possible.. and if i didn't know anything about sports, i'd be impressed thinking he must hit about 80% with his incredible knowledge. but look, he's exactly 50%.. which proves, knowing every stat possible like usky knows, really doesn't help you in this business. it's already applied into the line..


and iwin is a good guy, but he does live in a fantasy world with this 10 dime bet, and 3 months ago, the roulette wheel with his friend in vegas for the free room..

[flyingillini]

Nicky you remember everything, you are a forum legend and I am proud to be your pal... Do you remember illini217 from MW well it me buddy

[Nicky Santoro]

Nicky you remember everything, you are a forum legend and I am proud to be your pal... Do you remember illini217 from MW well it me buddy

no i dont remember that name at all... and i am sure jj won't remember it either.. i even went to check now to see if i just forgot, and there is no name like that.. you sure it was illini217? maybe it was another name?

and i do remember every post and thread i have ever made in my posting career. and i can tell you every bet i ever made too and if i won or not.. i have a great memory for this stuff. no joke.. it is my life flyer..

[flyingillini]

You have a hell of a posting career and you are one of the best. That was my name on MW.

[yisman]

Dodgers-Phillies NLCS. Book it.

[MonkeyF0cker]

Why does everyone have to be as broke as the rest of you degenerates? Some of you people are ridiculous. Do you know how many people I see going up to the windows at sportsbooks here in Vegas with stacks of cash? Believe it or not there are some that post here that actually bet beyond one or two zeros...

[onthewhat]

Nicky I was going to say that wow, you remember everything, but Illini beat me to it.

Nicky you are a legend, first ballot hall of famer.

[yisman]

I did not hedge. With the cubs down 6-0 in game 2 I called my buddy and offered him a 7k buy out oppertunity. He accepted

in that case, right move for him.

[Nicky Santoro]

onner,

other things about iwin..

remember when he announced a vid coming up on where he'd post..


I dont know if you remember this one.. but i do. and panic remembers too..

we were putting down IWIN saying he's not a good capper.. and bigblue74 the poster, kept coming in and defending him for some reason. we had NO IDEA why.. then all of a sudden, IWIN got caught with his pants down as bigblue 74 and we caught him talking as IWIN.. then 1.3 seconds later, he edited it.. and me and panic and donny juan caught him.. then IWIN came in with his real handle 9 minutes later saying he just came home.. but no one could understand why big blue was really fighting for IWIN saying he was a great capper, till we caught him with his pants down trying to edit it.. IWIN still says bigblue 74 was not him.

remember this one, panic?

there's a lot more of IWIN i remember, but i dont want to embarass him.. i like him..

[Richkas]

My rich as crap buddy is a huge cubs fan. After last nights loss, and I knowing the Cubs would be an underdog now, we bet $10,000 on the series. He took cubs and I took Dodgers.

Question
Do I drop like around 9500 on the cubs at +115 and guarentee myself $$ Or do I ride it out. Id probably have to spread it out between 2-3 books. What you think guys?

Where's the boots.

If you had $10,000 to throw around like that, that homely chick wouldnt have been with you at the bash. The NBA shit was luck. You havent picked a winner since. Plus if you wanna still make believe, put it on your spreadsheet so we can end this great handicapper thing once and for all. If anybody here thinks this guy can cap, call me.

[pat venditto]

richkas stop varying ur bet sizes u cock **** $1 per game everygame

[accuscoresucks]

say what on this game
stop it iwin

[reno cool]

i can assure you that IWIN's stories are all true.

the only thing is that he adds three zero's to his story.. meaning, bet was not really $10,000.. the bet was really 10 bucks.. and he only wants to look like a big timer..

he wasn't lying though about the 14% of his bankroll.. he really is worth 71 bucks..

now this is HOF talent... regardless of what the facts may be

[Iwinyourmoney]

believe amounts if u wish, so be it.

When I post plays I put em in sig. I havent posted a winner since NBA? Some good MLB dogs. 50% in NFL. I'm not here to impress anyone, I'm here to do my thang.

Ps- bigblue is not me. Mods run an ip check. I have a life no need to ghost

[diogee]

Nice play Iwin...easy cash on the buyout. Just keep doing your thang and building the roll.

[Iwinyourmoney]

thanks dio. Building it a for a big NBA season to come.


Richy, 14-0 starting the NBA playoffs was luck? Picking 70%+ for 2/3 of NBA/NCAA was luck.
I agree sir.