Getting good outs

[Justin7]

I think even a monkey could beat sports betting with enough outs.

Look at 314 Utah St.
+29.5 -110 at Pinnacle
+30.5 in Vegas. Utah St is the right side. If you're stuck with offshores, you're giving up... I'd guess 3.5% for losing the "30". If the offshore numbers are right, you're a long-term winner just betting this numbers a little off market.

[durito]

You have people to bet for you in vegas?


Greek has 30 -110

[accuscoresucks]

i have byu winning by -37 how is this value?

[gm2022]

i have byu winning by -37 how is this value?

[Justin7]

You have people to bet for you in vegas?


Greek has 30 -110

Doesn't everyone?

[LT Profits]

i have byu winning by -37 how is this value?

He's respecting the Pinnacle lean. Personally, I am staying away from this game though.

[accuscoresucks]

not to mention thats giving utah state 3 for homefeild

[accuscoresucks]

fuuuuk me im going to burger king

[Justin7]

He's respecting the Pinnacle lean. Personally, I am staying away from this game though.

Screw the Pinnacle lean. I like it because my computer model is on it. The Pinnacle lean is just reinforcement.

[accuscoresucks]

so its safe to say byu is overated or their is some kind of injury for the game

[durito]

so its safe to say byu is overated or their is some kind of injury for the game

some of us use a bit more complicated models than newspaper power ratings.

[Justin7]

I find it amusing that Dr. Bob copied 2 of my plays...

http://justin7.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[treece]

Sure Utah St. looks nice getting all those points but its a mirage. BYU wins by 40+. 56-10 final

[pavyracer]

I find it amusing that Dr. Bob copied 2 of my plays...

http://justin7.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

What you actually mean is that you are scared to death now that you found out Dr. Bob is with you.

[durito]

Sure Utah St. looks nice getting all those points but its a mirage. BYU wins by 40+. 56-10 final

so you think this line is of by 18.5pts?

I assume you have bet most of your bankroll on it then?

[treece]

so you think this line is of by 18.5pts?

I assume you have bet most of your bankroll on it then?

Of course not, I have discipline unlike most people here. Every day theres a few i'm going all in threads.

[donjuan]

Of course not, I have discipline unlike most people here. Every day theres a few i'm going all in threads.

If the line is that far off and you don't have a large percentage of your bankroll on the game you probably hate money. More likely is you are clueless.

[fiveteamer]

looking at treece's spreadsheet, I'd say he IS pretty clueless.

[treece]

Yea and me winning the baseball contest makes me really really clueless.

[donjuan]

Yea and me winning the baseball contest makes me really really clueless.

So let me get this straight:

You won a contest over a relatively small sample size against a large field. This in itself is almost entirely luck. Given that this contest

a) had little to do with handicapping ability
and
b) had nothing to do with college football

isn't going to help your case.

[durito]

.

[Kingctb27]

So let me get this straight:

You won a contest over a relatively small sample size against a large field. This in itself is almost entirely luck. Given that this contest

a) had little to do with handicapping ability
and
b) had nothing to do with college football

isn't going to help your case.

Just shut up

[fiveteamer]

LOL.

[donjuan]

Just shut up

Excellent counterpoint.

[BuddyBear]

Damn, I took Utah State earlier in the week at +28.5 thinking it was going to move down. Utah State has a decent rushing attack and should be able to put up a few TDs against this BYU team. Hopefully it does not end up a 29 point difference.....

[jjgold]

I think the play is the over

I hate taking favs in college football

[flyingillini]

The line is -28.5 at my book at the moment.

[Justin7]

It's tough being right a little bit more than half the time...