Some current odds:
Bookmaker:
Dem Win -300 (71.8%)
Rep Win +240 (28.8%)
Matchbook (not including commission)
Dem -268 (72.4%)
Rep +260 (27.6%)
Betfair (not including commission) (includes third parties)
Obama -270
McCain +275
Intrade:
Obama 64.2%
McCain 35.2%
Betonline ($100 max
)
Den -230
Rep +190
FiveThirtyEight:
I'm buying up some McCain at these prices. I figure since he was willing to sell out to the people that he spent his whole life fighting against just to get the nomination and has shown he will further that to win (ie nominating Palin) there is probably no limit to what his campaign will do as election day nears and it appears they are going to lose badly. Combine that with the GOP's willingness to do anything to win and they will surely throw something dramatic out there.
A fake security crisis perhaps or maybe even a fake terrorist attack. More likely some made up story about Obama being the anti-christ or something ridiculous like that. Either way it probably wont work, but I figure the odds should come down a bit below where they are now. I may end up with half my bankroll on this damn election.
Bookmaker:
Dem Win -300 (71.8%)
Rep Win +240 (28.8%)
Matchbook (not including commission)
Dem -268 (72.4%)
Rep +260 (27.6%)
Betfair (not including commission) (includes third parties)
Obama -270
McCain +275
Intrade:
Obama 64.2%
McCain 35.2%
Betonline ($100 max
)Den -230
Rep +190
FiveThirtyEight:
I'm buying up some McCain at these prices. I figure since he was willing to sell out to the people that he spent his whole life fighting against just to get the nomination and has shown he will further that to win (ie nominating Palin) there is probably no limit to what his campaign will do as election day nears and it appears they are going to lose badly. Combine that with the GOP's willingness to do anything to win and they will surely throw something dramatic out there.
A fake security crisis perhaps or maybe even a fake terrorist attack. More likely some made up story about Obama being the anti-christ or something ridiculous like that. Either way it probably wont work, but I figure the odds should come down a bit below where they are now. I may end up with half my bankroll on this damn election.
