Time to sack up fellas: 10 units on CLIFF LEE tonight

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  • griz
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-11
    • 3647

    #1
    Time to sack up fellas: 10 units on CLIFF LEE tonight
    one rule i live by: when a pitcher gets an inflated contract (matt cain), bet against them for everything you have.

    went all in on Halladay earlier in the week, taking a large portion of those winnings and riding CLIFF LEE for a big time score tonight boys.

    big rooster play here. take out some cash from the 401k to hammer this play.
  • BIGDAY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 02-17-10
    • 48245

    #2
    Going large Griz. Don't fuk me pal.
    Comment
    • milwaukee mike
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-22-07
      • 26914

      #3
      Originally posted by griz
      one rule i live by: when a pitcher gets an inflated contract (matt cain), bet against them for everything you have.

      went all in on Halladay earlier in the week, taking a large portion of those winnings and riding CLIFF LEE for a big time score tonight boys.

      big rooster play here. take out some cash from the 401k to hammer this play.


      if you're not over 59 1/2 and you take money out of a 401k you get creamed in taxes/penalties.
      to net $1000 you probably have to cash out $2000, so then even if you win you're only back to the original $2000.
      Comment
      • griz
        SBR MVP
        • 01-27-11
        • 3647

        #4
        Originally posted by milwaukee mike


        if you're not over 59 1/2 and you take money out of a 401k you get creamed in taxes/penalties.
        to net $1000 you probably have to cash out $2000, so then even if you win you're only back to the original $2000.
        mikey i was using that to express how confident i am in this pick.

        Disclaimer: the bear's den does not endorse taking money out of 401k accounts until retirement.
        Comment
        • RoadDog
          SBR MVP
          • 05-11-11
          • 2666

          #5
          Love this play tonight. BOL griz.
          Comment
          • frizzelli
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-06-10
            • 8916

            #6
            All in
            Comment
            • stuntin909
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-05-10
              • 933

              #7
              i need a winner....tailing.
              Comment
              • RoadDog
                SBR MVP
                • 05-11-11
                • 2666

                #8
                Originally posted by stuntin909
                i need a winner....tailing.
                Marlins. Phillies.
                Comment
                • griz
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-27-11
                  • 3647

                  #9
                  5 fukkin hours till first pitch.
                  Comment
                  • RoadDog
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-11-11
                    • 2666

                    #10
                    Nervous?
                    Comment
                    • a4u2fear
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-29-10
                      • 8147

                      #11
                      mortgage on this.
                      Comment
                      • shawnjohn5
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-13-10
                        • 836

                        #12
                        Griz your premise might make a little sense but in this case it doesn't. Cain is getting about what the going rate for a dominant right hander, let's put that aside right now. Madison Bumgarner got a fat new contract and then went on to whoop the phillies, Matt Cain in big games is MONEY. This is a very important game against a team the giants want to make a statement against. I don't see the contract as inflated first of all and second of all he's already started since the big contract. The euphoria of the new cotract has worn off and now it's down to business. Good luck taking that philly offense who have averaged 2 runs a game the past 5 games. OTHER then lincecum the phillies keep getting dominated by the giants pitching. Good luck with this play but much better ones on the board. LAST night big play was giants, today it was atlanta...
                        Comment
                        • RoadDog
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-11-11
                          • 2666

                          #13
                          Do a little numbers research and you'll see Lee has a distinct edge tonight.
                          Comment
                          • dj_destroyer
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-28-10
                            • 3856

                            #14
                            Gonna go ahead and fade this... simply for the fact that not this many ^^ SBR posters can go to sleep happy tonight. Just not a possibility. GL.
                            Comment
                            • William Walters
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 6372

                              #15
                              Originally posted by milwaukee mike


                              if you're not over 59 1/2 and you take money out of a 401k you get creamed in taxes/penalties.
                              to net $1000 you probably have to cash out $2000, so then even if you win you're only back to the original $2000.
                              I believe it's 10% plus your personal tax rate/bracket. Either way.................no good.
                              Comment
                              • milwaukee mike
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-22-07
                                • 26914

                                #16
                                Originally posted by griz
                                mikey i was using that to express how confident i am in this pick.

                                Disclaimer: the bear's den does not endorse taking money out of 401k accounts until retirement.
                                great

                                because if you are in the vast majority and don't have a ton of money, when you take it out in retirement it probably won't even be taxable unless it's like over $20k/year

                                i hope one of these pitchers gets rocked in the 1st inning since i have a side bet going
                                Comment
                                • milwaukee mike
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-22-07
                                  • 26914

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by William Walters
                                  I believe it's 10% plus your personal tax rate/bracket. Either way.................no good.
                                  just the federal is 10% + your tax bracket (let's say 25%) so 35% federal
                                  add to that wisconsin 7.75% + wisconsin penalty 3.33% so 11% wisconsin

                                  almost 1/2, so my example isn't far off.
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by RoadDog
                                    Do a little numbers research and you'll see Lee has a distinct edge tonight.
                                    Giants batting .182 vs lefties so far this year.
                                    Comment
                                    • alukk
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 1544

                                      #19
                                      SF for me tonight
                                      Comment
                                      • swervv
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 04-15-12
                                        • 146

                                        #20
                                        I actually allready put 1 quarter of my stack on lee ...LETS DO IT !!
                                        Comment
                                        • KingJD31
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-04-11
                                          • 8167

                                          #21
                                          Where does this confidence in the Phillies bats against Cain come from
                                          Comment
                                          • RoadDog
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-11-11
                                            • 2666

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                            Giants batting .182 vs lefties so far this year.


                                            Current relevant Giants dont touch him. Current Giants have 2 extra base hits off of Lee combined. Phils hit Cain hard.
                                            Comment
                                            • RoadDog
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-11-11
                                              • 2666

                                              #23
                                              Numbers vs. Cain

                                              Wiggington 3-9, 1 hr, 5 rbi
                                              Nix 8-20, 1 hr, 1 rbi
                                              Pence 5-15, 1 hr, 4 rbi
                                              Rollins 7-17, 1 hr, 3 triples, 2 doubles, 5 rbi

                                              No one comes close to having those type of numbers against Lee. Just food for thought. I know its just 4 guys, but thats a lot of production.
                                              Comment
                                              • jeannezhen2
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 04-18-12
                                                • 5

                                                #24
                                                giants is going to own them phillies
                                                Comment
                                                • KingJD31
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-04-11
                                                  • 8167

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by RoadDog
                                                  Numbers vs. Cain

                                                  Wiggington 3-9, 1 hr, 5 rbi
                                                  Nix 8-20, 1 hr, 1 rbi
                                                  Pence 5-15, 1 hr, 4 rbi
                                                  Rollins 7-17, 1 hr, 3 triples, 2 doubles, 5 rbi

                                                  No one comes close to having those type of numbers against Lee. Just food for thought. I know its just 4 guys, but thats a lot of production.
                                                  Yeah but it's not like those number are eye popping, better games to push than this one IMO
                                                  Comment
                                                  • married2themoney
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 02-21-12
                                                    • 92

                                                    #26
                                                    Grabbed my nuts all in on lee
                                                    Comment
                                                    • griz
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-27-11
                                                      • 3647

                                                      #27
                                                      might up this to 20 units.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • creightonbjaysNC
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 03-01-12
                                                        • 102

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by KingJD31
                                                        Yeah but it's not like those number are eye popping, better games to push than this one IMO
                                                        Those are some pretty huge numbers against a dominant pitcher. BOL.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RoadDog
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-11-11
                                                          • 2666

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by creightonbjaysNC
                                                          Those are some pretty huge numbers against a dominant pitcher. BOL.
                                                          I'm glad someone got my point.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dj_destroyer
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-28-10
                                                            • 3856

                                                            #30
                                                            Let's goooo Giants!

                                                            Matty Cain my go-to guy tonight!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Sick_in_the_Head
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-12-12
                                                              • 422

                                                              #31
                                                              Im on it. Hope i dont get fvcked
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JMon
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-11-09
                                                                • 9800

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by dj_destroyer
                                                                Let's goooo Giants!

                                                                Matty Cain my go-to guy tonight!
                                                                I'll be with ya
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MikeyD323
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-09-12
                                                                  • 1454

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Backing it. Thanks and GL
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Br0nxer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-25-11
                                                                    • 13665

                                                                    #34
                                                                    on it LARGE griz

                                                                    dont fukk me pal
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • frizzelli
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-06-10
                                                                      • 8916

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Br0nxer
                                                                      on it LARGE griz

                                                                      dont fukk me pal
                                                                      At the last second I faded this play for 43 units, the guy is due for a loss he has been to hot lately.
                                                                      Comment
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