8 Good Reasons to Back the Orioles Tonight at +172

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65708

    #1
    8 Good Reasons to Back the Orioles Tonight at +172
    1) Orioles can rake with the best.

    2) Don't fall in love with Morrow's opener, it was a) Cleveland b) 20 degrees below zero in Cleveland (not really, just felt it though)

    3) Morrow did walk three, while striking out only three against Cleveland, and needed almost 110 pitches across seven innings doing that.

    4) Gave up that big fly to Kippins.

    5) Adam Jones, Nick Markakis, and to a lesser extent, Nolan Reinold has hit Morrow in the past pretty well.

    6) *pay attention* JJ Hardy has three at bats versus Morrow, two homers, as Meatloaf once sang "two out of three ain't bad"

    7) Tommy Hunter's opener versus the Twins was more impressive than Morrow's opener, Hunter pitched seven shut out innings, yielding six hits, walking one.

    8) Blue Jays are only 31 for 154 lifetime versus Hunter (.250) and the big boys can't touch him. Bautista is 3 for 17 no homers (.176)


  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65708

    #2
    If it goes down, it goes down, but I am seeing a ton of value there.
    Comment
    • fergie's balls
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-07-11
      • 940

      #3
      Agreed good value but I would be wary Jays big bats about to wake up, and Morrow is a real breakout this year I think he learns to harness it more. Line is perfect imo.
      Comment
      • EXhoosier10
        SBR MVP
        • 07-06-09
        • 3122

        #4
        Only team hitting worse than the Blue Jays so far this year is the Pirates. O's are the play today
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65708

          #5
          I can't resist the big plus money with the O's here Hoosier.
          Let's start the weekend off right !
          Comment
          • jstblaze
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-05-07
            • 767

            #6
            especially after a couple losses to the yanks, o's lookin to get back on track.
            Comment
            • JMobile
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-21-10
              • 19074

              #7
              ....
              Comment
              • jbess
                SBR Sharp
                • 02-03-11
                • 359

                #8
                ^ lol wtf
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65708

                  #9
                  ^
                  I think he likes the play

                  lol
                  Comment
                  • JMobile
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-21-10
                    • 19074

                    #10
                    LOL, I do guys. Nash, you convinced me so I'm considered IN with the gif. haha
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 65708

                      #11
                      The numbers say it's a bargain JM, but the game is played on the field, not on paper.
                      Good luck to you too.
                      Comment
                      • Big Bear
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 11-01-11
                        • 43253

                        #12
                        careful on this game guys.. its a coin flip. if i had to make a play on this game I would bet on the Blue Jays -180 for Morrow is way too much juice. Morrow has great stuff but he is very inconsistent. For me to put money on him he is going to have to show some consistency.
                        Comment
                        • BetterBizness
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-20-06
                          • 5737

                          #13
                          Good write up!
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65708

                            #14
                            ^
                            Thank you sir
                            Comment
                            • OMGRandyJackson
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-07-10
                              • 1680

                              #15
                              lol at first I thought you really do not like Morrow hah.

                              A few things to note tho:

                              While you say the Jays cant hit Hunter, he is 1-3 in 6 starts vs the Jays with a 6.75 era.

                              In '11 he went 0-2 with a 5.57 era in 21ip vs the Jays.

                              He is 0-2 with a 6.32 era at Rogers Center.

                              In '11 he tossed 8.2 innings at the Rogers Center with 1 start going 0-1 with a 4.15 era.
                              Comment
                              • stevenash
                                Moderator
                                • 01-17-11
                                • 65708

                                #16
                                ^
                                Two sides of every coin, you can fade me, it's all good
                                Comment
                                • OMGRandyJackson
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-07-10
                                  • 1680

                                  #17
                                  Im still undecided, I think you brought up some great points, I just wanted to post a bit on Hunter.

                                  Im leaning the o8.5 at -102. What are your thoughts on that?
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65708

                                    #18
                                    Total is pretty much a flip if you ask me.
                                    The game is a flip too, but whenever I can get +170 on a flip, I'm all over it.
                                    Comment
                                    • OMGRandyJackson
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-07-10
                                      • 1680

                                      #19
                                      Yea I agree completely that Orioles look good in this spot at +170.
                                      Comment
                                      • OMGRandyJackson
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-07-10
                                        • 1680

                                        #20
                                        btw its +175 at Pinnalce
                                        Comment
                                        • kfranz31
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-09-10
                                          • 1186

                                          #21
                                          good info add to a parlay
                                          Comment
                                          • LostBankroll
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 02-10-10
                                            • 4538

                                            #22
                                            My Baltimore Os win tonight. Im still pissed they changed back to the old logos.
                                            Comment
                                            • hels
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-12-09
                                              • 8767

                                              #23
                                              The Jays are finding ways to win but there isn't any value in them being favored so heavily. You gotta take Baltimore or stay away.
                                              Comment
                                              • Bluedragon
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-30-10
                                                • 3484

                                                #24
                                                I will be at the game tonight. My initial thoughts were O's but looking over the numbers and past match ups, i may take the over or no play. Morrow needs to show us fans that he's the real deal though. first friday night game here of the season, place will be buzzin' (for a jays game lol). Bautista sucks against Hunter but he's not the only bat we have. some of the dormant bats are likely to wake up soon. ahh, i like your value Mr. Nash but as someone here said, jays are finding ways to win.
                                                Comment
                                                • k2ku
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 11-07-10
                                                  • 26

                                                  #25
                                                  Morrow is a bum. Got some on the over
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Bluedragon
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-30-10
                                                    • 3484

                                                    #26
                                                    i'm also kind of torn because of this (possibly) silly reason...i completely ignored the numbers today that Indians put up against Hochevar, so I backed the Royals, and then they went and put up 7 on him in the first. I am afraid that if I now take O's thinking "ok, i ignored the numbers before and got raped, I'm gonna play the numbers", I will get raped again. those types of situations always work out for me in that bad way. I don't play a situation i should have played and lose, so then next go around I play that situation the way i should have the first time around, and it goes the OTHER way. fuk me
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MJT1212
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-16-09
                                                      • 5124

                                                      #27
                                                      if this games a coin flip bear then we need to jump on orioles hard at +172, no need to be careful with those odds
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ebbearsfb1
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-07-08
                                                        • 18815

                                                        #28
                                                        questionable at saying hunters first game was more impressive than morrows


                                                        morrow gave up one hit.


                                                        neither team faced good line ups ..


                                                        would

                                                        take orioles +2.5


                                                        at almost the same odds you could take jays ml


                                                        jays win 5-3
                                                        Comment
                                                        • govolz
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 03-26-12
                                                          • 952

                                                          #29
                                                          I'm on o let's go boysssss
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MagicDiceFlow
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-15-12
                                                            • 4585

                                                            #30
                                                            nice write up and excellent angle on the game Stevie ....I'm on O's with ya here.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Living The Dream
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-23-09
                                                              • 4521

                                                              #31
                                                              I am half unit on 2 great dogs tonight, Os and Astros
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevenash
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 01-17-11
                                                                • 65708

                                                                #32
                                                                O's with a scratch run in the first.
                                                                Imperative Hunter puts up a goose egg in his half now.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MagicDiceFlow
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-15-12
                                                                  • 4585

                                                                  #33
                                                                  There we go ...O's grab the lead back...we need to jump on those first pitches.....I notice Morrow serves up grapefruits on most of his first pitches.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • govolz
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-26-12
                                                                    • 952

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Two errors in an inning... But lookin good so far
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MagicDiceFlow
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-15-12
                                                                      • 4585

                                                                      #35
                                                                      O's lineup is hitting Morrow hard ....just getting unlucky , hitting them deep but outs....solo shot though as I type.
                                                                      Comment
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