The ML seems enticing, any of you fellas bite on it?
accuscoresucks
SBR Hall of Famer
11-03-07
7160
#2
no nfl for me on sunday
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element1286
Restricted User
02-25-08
3370
#3
On the Colts -4.5.
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Panic
SBR Posting Legend
01-06-08
10367
#4
Yes. They should have lost last week. Not gonna play this game, but if I did, I would be on the Jags.
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rjt721
SBR Hall of Famer
02-06-07
7929
#5
It's the NFL. Who the fuck knows?
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pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82869
#6
just remember that it will be hard for last year's AFC finalists to start 0-3 this season. Colts only played one quarter last week for the win and were outplayed in both of their games. If you want a ML take Buffalo and bet more money on it.
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element1286
Restricted User
02-25-08
3370
#7
Originally posted by Panic
Yes. They should have lost last week. Not gonna play this game, but if I did, I would be on the Jags.
Never been sold on the Jags, especially with the inconsistencies on the o-line. If it Garrard has to to throw to win they got no shot. I know Sanders is out, and he is their run stopper, but I will take my chances with a Colts team that had a nice comeback win last week.
The key to the game is how long the Colts can hold off the Jags running attack. The Colts know the Jags have to run the ball to win the game, so if the Colts can hold off the Jags rushing attack the first few drives, and put some points on the board when they have the ball, the Colts will have real good shot at covering.
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Panic
SBR Posting Legend
01-06-08
10367
#8
Element-the Jags always play the Colts tough. I was on the Colts last week and got very fortunate to get a win. Peyton doesnt look like himself. The team looks slow. If the Jags defense is as ferocious as they had been in past meetings between the 2, it will be a long day for Peyton.
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element1286
Restricted User
02-25-08
3370
#9
Originally posted by Panic
Element-the Jags always play the Colts tough. I was on the Colts last week and got very fortunate to get a win. Peyton doesnt look like himself. The team looks slow. If the Jags defense is as ferocious as they had been in past meetings between the 2, it will be a long day for Peyton.
Very possible.
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Panic
SBR Posting Legend
01-06-08
10367
#10
GL to you, Element and all the other Colt backers.
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element1286
Restricted User
02-25-08
3370
#11
Originally posted by Panic
GL to you, Element and all the other Colt backers.
Thanks, gl on your plays.
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flyingillini
SBR Aristocracy
12-06-06
41219
#12
I like the Colts ML but it wouldn't surprise me if they lost.
המוסד
המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים
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SBR Lou
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-02-07
37863
#13
Originally posted by Panic
GL to you, Element and all the other Colt backers.
Still plenty room on the bandwagon for you bud. Take a seat.
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ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#14
i am taking jax ml tmrw
i know they havent been good but the colts havent either
should be a tight game
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keystonekid
SBR Sharp
09-11-08
487
#15
I've got Indy only winning by 1 pt. So, it is possible. Go for it and good luck.
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khaliagent
SBR MVP
01-13-08
2117
#16
colts will not lose
manning will have a a great game and so will the defense
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#17
Jacksonville is a solid team, Indy nothing special and banged up
Take the points
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treece
SBR Hall of Famer
11-28-07
6298
#18
Jags plus the points is the right play. Jags need a win or their season is pretty much over. Peyton playing like sht and no Bob Sanders, Colts might win by 3 or 4 points if they're lucky.
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McBa1n
SBR MVP
01-02-06
2642
#19
The Jags RBs are not 100%, the line is down 3 starters (the 3 backups are due to be exposed at some point - it's just the Colts don't have the personnel to exploit them).
I think the Jags will be able to run the ball a bit - but I'm more concerned about their big play ability, which has saved their ass many times and kept them in games versus the Colts. Jones Drew's ankle is hurting and Freddie T is knicked up - certainly not a recipe for victory.
The Jags can manage ballgames and stay close - which makes the points inviting.
Jeff Saturday is back as is Dallas Clark. Both are not 100%. The Colts rushing attack is NOWHERE where it was the past 2 years - where they were essentially a 'run first' type of ballclub. Manning can win games, yes, but they are really struggling in their ground game. Saturday being back will help. Further - the Colts are also struggling in their protection. Manning has to get the ball out quick, keeping explosive plays to a minimum.
I think this game is won/lost with the Jags secondary and their ability to pick some balls off - which they will have to do. Peyton doesn't throw many picks, so - it's going to be tough. I like the Colts in this regard - but the Jags will be able to pressure Manning, although, it concerns me how vanilla their defensive scheme has been (it's really been a base D most of the time).
You already know what you're going to get with the Jag's offense. If it's possible, their receiving corps are worse this year - and they've easily been the worst in the NFL for a couple of years now - actually since Jimmy Smith retired. Garrard has a lot of pressure on his shoulders every week and win/lose, he's usually in the game - even though he has not been very successful this season, forcing some throws because his receivers can't get any seperation.
I really think it's a tight game - Indy likely winning by 4-7 points. It's a no play for me outside of a 10 pointer (took the jags, even though I really wish I had Indy - the Jags are not capable of blowing out the Colts right now).
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#20
Colts are far from a sure thing on ML. I like Jags + the points because I don't think Indy will be able to stop Jax running game with Sanders out. Heck, they never did stop either AP or Chester Taylor last week, and the Vikings would have won that game of they didn't inexplicably have Jackson passing (ARGH!) in the fourth quarter. As long as the Jags commit to the run and stick to it, they could potentially dominate Time of Possession here. Advantage Underdog.
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SBR Lou
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-02-07
37863
#21
With Clark and Saturday back I think Indy will have enough in the tank to breeze past Jax. Jax o-line is completely dismantled and riddled with injury, Garrard has not played well at all and whose to say he suddenly rights the ship in Indy where they've lost the last how many of games played?
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Fishhead
SBR Aristocracy
08-11-05
40179
#22
Originally posted by CrazyL
With Clark and Saturday back I think Indy will have enough in the tank to breeze past Jax. Jax o-line is completely dismantled and riddled with injury, Garrard has not played well at all and whose to say he suddenly rights the ship in Indy where they've lost the last how many of games played?
With Clark and Saturday back, coupled with the loss of Sanders defensively...........take a look at the OVER.
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SBR Lou
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-02-07
37863
#23
Originally posted by Fishhead
With Clark and Saturday back, coupled with the loss of Sanders defensively...........take a look at the OVER.
That crossed my mind, but Jax can't win in a shootout. Only way they could is having Jones Drew and Taylor explode like they did against Indy in that rout a season or so ago, but their o-line is so messed up and Garrard out of form I don't see them keeping pace if Indy plays more like Indy.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#24
Originally posted by CrazyL
With Clark and Saturday back I think Indy will have enough in the tank to breeze past Jax. Jax o-line is completely dismantled and riddled with injury, Garrard has not played well at all and whose to say he suddenly rights the ship in Indy where they've lost the last how many of games played?
Um, that doesn't say anything about the Colts inability to stop the run.
The Jags will run the ball all day just like the Vikings should have kept doing, and last I checked, it is hard for a team to score when their offense is on the sidelines.
I do lean to the Under using the very same logic, but I think the safest play here is just taking the points.
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element1286
Restricted User
02-25-08
3370
#25
Originally posted by LT Profits
Um, that doesn't say anything about the Colts inability to stop the run.
The Jags will run the ball all day just like the Vikings should have kept doing, and last I checked, it is hard for a team to score when their offense is on the sidelines.
I do lean to the Under using the very same logic, but I think the safest play here is just taking the points.
The Jags beat up offensive line makes me think twice that they are a guarantee to run the ball. Plus the fact the Colts know they have to run the ball, if they stop it on the first few drives, and the Colts build a lead, they should cover.
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SBR_John
SBR Posting Legend
07-12-05
16471
#26
I love the Jags, my best bet. Both teams are out of sync. I like a tight game here. The 4.5 points is 3 too many. Jags get it done.
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SSLP
SBR Hall of Famer
02-29-08
5232
#27
I agree with SBR Johnny
Colts are missing
Bob Sanders
Tony Ugoh
Jeff Saturday
Dallas Clark
And the Jags got a chip over their shoulder great plays Jacksonville +4
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SBR Lou
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-02-07
37863
#28
Looks like I can't find a soul to agree with me here.
Starting to think you guys might be onto something, but I will stick with my gut here and be the odd man out.
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element1286
Restricted User
02-25-08
3370
#29
Originally posted by CrazyL
Looks like I can't find a soul to agree with me here.
Starting to think you guys might be onto something, but I will stick with my gut here and be the odd man out.
I with Crazyl, although there is always a way they can lose, but I think it is a good play.
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laxdjock
SBR MVP
09-15-07
4074
#30
If Indy gets out early....it's over. The problem with playing JAX is that they seem to hang close against Indy. I have Indy -5, as I bet early on thinking people wouldn't be as high on JAX, go figure.
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Italia_NYC
SBR Wise Guy
09-18-06
664
#31
I think the safe play here is the Under, IMO.
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arpeggiomeister
SBR MVP
05-23-08
1015
#32
Originally posted by CrazyL
Looks like I can't find a soul to agree with me here.
Starting to think you guys might be onto something, but I will stick with my gut here and be the odd man out.
I always say trust your instincts. Sometimes all the research and statistics just can't match a good old fashion gut feeling. Good luck.
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Mr Handicapable
SBR Hall of Famer
09-23-07
6067
#33
Didn't check the numbers but the Colts did slow down AP in the 2nd half even after Sanders went out plus their O-line is 10X better than the injured/shot Jags O-line! Jax has no WRs to stretch the field plus the Colts are supposed to get Clark/Saturday back. Colts opponents so far have blitzed the middle repeatedly and w/Clark in the mix that won't happen because he gets behind the LBs down the middle so well! If Clark/Sat. play....Colts win by 7+
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ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#34
Originally posted by ryanXL977
i am taking jax ml tmrw
i know they havent been good but the colts havent either
should be a tight game