Bet the Farm XII: Valpo +10

[dfberger23]

Valpo should win this game straight up. Miami is useless, they will have no fans at this game, it will basically be a neutral court, students are gone, spring break. LOVE this play, will be on ML as well. I cashed in on UMass +290 yesterday, these NIT games are money makers. Lot of unmotivated teams.

9-2 in BTF selections in the past:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/868722-bet-farm-mississippi-state.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/884423-bet-farm-ii-auburn-ml.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/951060-bet-farm-iii-michigan-ml.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/971826-bet-farm-iv-michigan-ml.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/982495-bet-farm-v-michigan-11-a.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/990743-bet-farm-vi-kansas-state-2-a.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/993129-bet-farm-vii-kansas-state-ml.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1011285-bet-farm-viii-santa-clara-9-5-a.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1034525-bet-farm-ix-nba-series-parlay.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1277599-bet-farm-x-lsu-5-5-a.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1362465-bet-farm-xi-lsu-4-5-a.html

[dfberger23]

Also really like Knicks -5.5 tonight, team should be re-energized with D'Antoni gone, plus Portland has been a joke lately and played yesterday.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

Good luck. I like your philosophy and it is probably a good pick but I've watched 3 full Valpo games and them failing the eye test is preventing me from going in on it... and I'm not sure they belong in D1 talent wise. If Miami is motivated they could win by 30 so I'm probably going to lay off.

[dfberger23]

Don't know how I forgot to mention this, but Miami's leading scorer (Durand Scott) is not playing.

Good luck. I like your philosophy and it is probably a good pick but I've watched 3 full Valpo games and them failing the eye test is preventing me from going in on it... and I'm not sure they belong in D1 talent wise. If Miami is motivated they could win by 30 so I'm probably going to lay off.

Thanks. Miami is the better team but not by much and I think motivation will play a big factor here.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

Don't know how I forgot to mention this, but Miami's leading scorer (Durand Scott) is not playing.


Thanks. Miami is the better team but not by much and I think motivation will play a big factor here.

I wish I wouldn't have seen Valpo play, b/c the signs point to a close game. Maybe I'll make a small play on it and just not check the scores... the last time I bet on valpo they lost by like 20 to Youngstown State looking like women in doing so, that put a sour taste in my mouth

[gordmer]

Scott is definitely out... take Val and the points... Val could win straight up without Scott playing. This is a gift.

[dfberger23]

I wish I wouldn't have seen Valpo play, b/c the signs point to a close game. Maybe I'll make a small play on it and just not check the scores... the last time I bet on valpo they lost by like 20 to Youngstown State looking like women in doing so, that put a sour taste in my mouth

They are shaky on the road, but I think Bryce Drew will have the boys ready to play tonight, while I see Miami coming out flat and unmotivated.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

They are shaky on the road, but I think Bryce Drew will have the boys ready to play tonight, while I see Miami coming out flat and unmotivated.

Thanks for the pick, locked in for $500. Best of luck to us.

[oiler]

gl guys

[polishkielbasa10]

somebody in another thread quoted several Valpo starters out with flu, and 1 other not making the trip to miami??

[jjesco425]

miami is trying to push ncaa to reinstate scott for the game and valpo both harris and kenney are ? with flu this is there backcourt even if play are they gonna pull a lebron and play lights out sick

[dfberger23]

miami is trying to push ncaa to reinstate scott for the game and valpo both harris and kenney are ? with flu this is there backcourt even if play are they gonna pull a lebron and play lights out sick

Scott is 100% not playing.

Harris did not make the trip to Miami, he will not play. Kenney is suffering from the flu but did make the trip and is a game time decision. They have three other guards in Bogan, Boggs and Buggs who have played a lot of minutes this season. Kenney and Harris don't even normally start, I wouldn't worry.

[jspectyper]

I like Valpo also but I wouldn't go as far as to say miami has no motivation for this game.

http://articles.sun-sentinel.com/2012-03-14/sports/fl-miami-valparaiso-nit-preview-0314-20120313_1_durand-scott-forward-kenny-kadji-rion-brown

[polishkielbasa10]

after watching them in the conf final vs. detrot...they played with no heart and got rolled all game..even at home. very imbarassing. not sure I can trust 5 slow white kids

[Pin Fish]

flu hitting valpo players HARD

[jjgold]

Seems like flu bug all over the nation

I passed on game even though Val looked tempting

[RyanLeafOfBets]

I tailed a little bit... not a whole lot. Let's go Valpo!

[SASH]

lets go unders! 1st half and game, 63.5 and 136

[PickWinnerAllDay]

4 turnovers and 2 field goals in 9 minutes. Come on VALPO!

[dfberger23]

Valpo can't hit any shots but game is tied. If the threes start falling, they will win.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

Valpo can't hit any shots but game is tied. If the threes start falling, they will win.

If they stop shooting the 3's they will win the game.

1-12 from 3 and 7-12 from 2.

GO INSIDE!

[PickWinnerAllDay]

1-13 from 3... these guys are oblivious.

[Madison]

Good luck. I like your philosophy and it is probably a good pick but I've watched 3 full Valpo games and them failing the eye test is preventing me from going in on it... and I'm not sure they belong in D1 talent wise. If Miami is motivated they could win by 30 so I'm probably going to lay off.

Yep!

[dfberger23]

Down 1 at half despite 2-15 from three point range. Winning the rebounding battle.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

Down 1 at half despite 2-15 from three point range. Winning the rebounding battle.

Hopefully their coach points out to them that they are outworking Miami down low and chucking 3's is basically giving Miami a free pass.

Just skimmed the numbers and Valpo doesn't shoot well from 3 away from home so the 2-15 could continue.

[dfberger23]

These stupid fuks just insist on shooting threes, unreal.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

These stupid fuks just insist on shooting threes, unreal.

The only reason we might have to sweat this out. Good things happen every time they don't settle for 3's. Who is their coach? He must be a dumbass.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

And just like that they are down 11.

This team does not belong on a D1 basketball court and I say that regardless of my wager result. Miami is barely trying and is up 11 thanks to Valpo's stupidity.

[dfberger23]

The only reason we might have to sweat this out. Good things happen every time they don't settle for 3's. Who is their coach? He must be a dumbass.

This guy:

[Regus]

Drew: good player, terrible coach

Stop jacking threes, clowns. Also, how about switching things up to defend Miami's long-range shooting? Bryce Drew is an awful coach.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

This guy:

Oh, yeah I remember them saying that.

He has ridden that shot all the way to the top... too bad he can't coach his way out of a paper bag for us today.

[dfberger23]

About to sell the farm and all the livestock.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

4 point lead to 12 in about 30 seconds?

*sigh* Miami was basically toying with these losers all game.

[dfberger23]

Bad bet, the farm is officially sold.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

Now the D3 women can't even make a free throw.

This conference should be sent to D3. Butler can join the Big 10.