Line movement guys.....

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  • William Walters
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-17-11
    • 6372

    #1
    Line movement guys.....
    Take a look at the UC Riverside versus Cal Poly SlO and let me know your thoughts.

    55% on Riverside yet line has gone from Riverside +5 to Riverside +7

  • BIGDAY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 02-17-10
    • 48245

    #2
    Comment
    • Smoke
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-09-09
      • 48111

      #3
      My thoughts are take Cal Poly for the maximum
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Those betting percentages are so inaccurate and fukkin useless

        Its all in the line Son and you shall see where money is going
        Comment
        • Romanov
          SBR MVP
          • 10-08-10
          • 4137

          #5
          on one of my reliable % sites, I see only 14% on our boys... this is definitely a game to wait until just before tip to play

          The sharps could be softening up the line
          Comment
          • MC PICKS
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-10-10
            • 6644

            #6
            80% on riverside and line is still holding at 7, line didnt budge for 2 days after open on the 6th till this morning. Went up to 6 this morning and then back down to 5.5 minutes later and then back to 6, 6.5 and now 7 all day since 12:30pm eastern and public is on riverside. Riverside has public disaster written all over it.
            Comment
            • Gee
              SBR MVP
              • 04-08-10
              • 4547

              #7
              There are only 2420 bets on this game at their 4 books according to SI.

              This is a lightly bet game, so big bets can skew the line.

              I know this goes against what I just said, you also need to check that at the time the line hit 6.5, action was basically even or on Cal Poly. Something changed after that... Sharps could easily be hitting both sides.

              Too hard to figure out what is going on with this one....
              Comment
              • iifold
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-25-10
                • 11111

                #8
                You need to be really smart, work really hard, and be very disciplined to find an edge...

                Quick money is just that...
                Comment
                • dice
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-28-09
                  • 669

                  #9
                  Based on the spread, Cal Poly SIO should win by 6! Don't read too much into this. I may be wrong, but I wouldn't bet a game that had that much of a move.
                  Comment
                  • MC PICKS
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-10-10
                    • 6644

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ** PICKS
                    Riverside has public disaster written all over it.
                    Easy money for poly backers, covered the bad closing number by 5 even, congrats to those who backed them.
                    Comment
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