Not all, but almost all of the big games are fixed...
Did you want to provide any evidence for this statement or are we all supposed to just take it at face value?
Comment
pats3peat
SBR MVP
10-23-05
1163
#37
Originally posted by Wheell
Guys, if you are flipping coins (betting with your gut or backing the teams that ESPN is touting), you will lose the vig over the long run. Trying to beat the closing numbers in any sport is difficult. However, with the exception of college football, in no other sport does being get get as rewarded. The people who backed the Cardinals yesterday weren't lucky to win, although they might have been lucky to be on Arizona in the first place.
The truth is that the NFL lines are fairly sharp, but far from unbeatable. That's not to say that YOU can beat them just by reading what people post on the internet or in newspapers or what you see on TV. Like beating any other sport, if you want an edge you need either non-publicly available information or you need the ability to process publicly available information better than the market. Perhaps you understand that certain teams should be weaker in the first half and stronger in the second half relative to the spread due to their style of play (Florida St. 1990's). Perhaps you realize that there is a rock-paper-scissors element to how certain types of schemes match up (Bills-Dolphins early 1990's).
The NFL can be beat. There are simply too many things that the market doesn't fully take into account or correctly value. Again, that doesn't mean a person can beat the NFL in their spare time.
