Monday Night Football Betting Prop

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    Monday Night Football Betting Prop
    OK, here's what I consider to be something of a gem/value filled opportunity, and a decent price as well.

    (line courtesy of Bet Online)

    Will there be a score in 1st 7min 30sec of 1st qtr

    111 Yes -160
    112 No +130

    What we know: Both teams are coming off stellar offensive games, but more importantly both quarterbacks are in great form and this is something of a rivalry here especially with Terrell Owens going against his former ballclub. I think he'll be involved very early on in the gameplan, and almost wouldn't be surprised to see him catch one deep the first or second play of the ballgame depending the field position.

    What "can" hurt this play, but probably won't: Both teams are capable of running down peoples throats, which would extend the seconds off the playclock and work against us, BUT- both defensive lines here are very respectable and I feel the bulk of the yardage will be coming in the air. Incomplete passes won't hurt us but hopefully we can clinch this on the first series or two and avoid any long, methodical drives which don't culminate in points.

    I'd suggest putting in the neighborhood of 2 units on this, each book which offers this has a relatively small limit so might want to pop this a couple of places.
  • t-bone
    SBR MVP
    • 03-18-08
    • 3732

    #2
    My book offers:

    Will there be a score in the first 6 minutes

    Yes -110
    No -120

    Thoughts?
    Comment
    • SBR Lou
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-02-07
      • 37863

      #3
      Originally posted by t-bone
      My book offers:

      Will there be a score in the first 6 minutes

      Yes -110
      No -120

      Thoughts?
      I think that may be cutting it kind of close. Ideally I'd like it to cash so I don't have to sweat mine any longer than needed, but that extra 1 min, 30 seconds is important in my eyes. If there's a score with 8 minutes and change remaining you're left out in the cold.
      Comment
      • McBa1n
        SBR MVP
        • 01-02-06
        • 2642

        #4
        I really like the 'yes' on the OP prop. Can't say there's a ton of value in the -170 -- but the way these 2 teams play, and the aggressive style of both coaches on BOTH sides of the ball, someone is bound to score.

        Just looking over the past history of these 2 teams - outside of the Jessica Simpson game, that prop cashes easy. Actually looking over those the last 4, 3 have covered - however, the inside the 6 minute prop also hit 3 of 4. Better value there, for sure, at -110.

        Both of these teams are better offensively this year, IMO - and both have the ability to make a play on D to set up easy scores.

        SOO - that begs the question - is Jessica Simpson going to be there? heh
        Nice tip on the prop again, Crazy - I just don't shop these enough.

        Edited: found -140 on 'yes' for the first 6:59. Nice!
        Comment
        • SBR Lou
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-02-07
          • 37863

          #5
          Originally posted by McBa1n
          I really like the 'yes' on the OP prop. Can't say there's a ton of value in the -170 -- but the way these 2 teams play, and the aggressive style of both coaches on BOTH sides of the ball, someone is bound to score.

          Just looking over the past history of these 2 teams - outside of the Jessica Simpson game, that prop cashes easy. Actually looking over those the last 4, 3 have covered - however, the inside the 6 minute prop also hit 3 of 4. Better value there, for sure, at -110.

          Both of these teams are better offensively this year, IMO - and both have the ability to make a play on D to set up easy scores.

          SOO - that begs the question - is Jessica Simpson going to be there? heh
          Nice tip on the prop again, Crazy - I just don't shop these enough.

          Edited: found -140 on 'yes' for the first 6:59. Nice!


          Thanks for the insight, and nice find yourself as well. Hopefully we have something to raise our glass to tonight.
          Comment
          • Shark79
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-19-07
            • 11211

            #6
            Nice Prop Crazyl.

            I see a score in the first 4 mins.
            Comment
            • Justin7
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-31-06
              • 8577

              #7
              Good luck.

              Another way to look at it... Get a database, and look to see when the first score was in each game. Compare to the game's total, and you can price any game that way.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                I think I'm neutral on this.

                Are the chances good that it will hit? YES

                Will it hit often enough to be profitable at -160? I just don't know
                Comment
                • onthewhat
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-14-08
                  • 15411

                  #9
                  Don't like playing these props, way to random. Agree with LT, don't like laying 160
                  Comment
                  • bigboydan
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 55420

                    #10
                    No +130

                    I feel both these teams know each other like the back of there hand. They should know what each team is thinking during there first few drives.
                    Comment
                    • SBR Lou
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-02-07
                      • 37863

                      #11
                      Lets go!
                      Comment
                      • ryanXL977
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-24-08
                        • 20615

                        #12
                        i did your prop first 7.5
                        Comment
                        • SBR Lou
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-02-07
                          • 37863

                          #13
                          Woohoo!
                          Comment
                          • Panic
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-06-08
                            • 10367

                            #14
                            Nice call, Crazyl.
                            Comment
                            • onthewhat
                              Restricted User
                              • 05-14-08
                              • 15411

                              #15
                              congrats Crazy
                              Comment
                              • ryanXL977
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-24-08
                                • 20615

                                #16
                                cha ching
                                Comment
                                • BlackJack
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-29-06
                                  • 292

                                  #17
                                  nice call
                                  Comment
                                  • bigboydan
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 55420

                                    #18
                                    Very nice Crazyl.
                                    Comment
                                    • SBR Lou
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-02-07
                                      • 37863

                                      #19
                                      Thanks guys. Maybe will make a play on the 2nd half too pending how the game goes.
                                      Comment
                                      • jackpot269
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-24-07
                                        • 12842

                                        #20
                                        Great find and call pal!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • McBa1n
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-02-06
                                          • 2642

                                          #21
                                          Dang, there wasn't even a sweat on that one... Cash it.
                                          Good tip, again. Thanks!
                                          Comment
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