5 dimes teaser tomrrow NEAR GUARENTEE

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  • UntilTheNDofTimE
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-29-08
    • 9285

    #1
    5 dimes teaser tomrrow NEAR GUARENTEE
    so i ended up going 1/2 on my teasers and +260 this weekend because colts screwed me over by a half point on the over, well this teaser i guarantee will win. now i just said the G word but i don't have a better word for this 10 point teaser

    Philadelphia +16.5
    phili/Dallas over 36

    now i wouldn't be surprised if Dallas scored 35 alone and the other side , well you figure it out

    pays -180 not bad at all
  • gm2022
    SBR MVP
    • 02-28-08
    • 4128

    #2
    GL
    Comment
    • donjuan
      SBR MVP
      • 08-29-07
      • 3993

      #3
      but i don't have a better word for this 10 point teaser
      I do, except in 4 words. Insanely negative expected value. How books ever go broke is beyond me.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by donjuan
        I do, except in 4 words. Insanely negative expected value. How books ever go broke is beyond me.
        Actually, teasing DALLAS in this situation is not terrible because you are going through two 3s to +3.5. Unfortunately, there are no other sides to tease with at this point, although including Dallas in a teaser with a similar Sunday play before yesterday's action might work.
        Comment
        • donjuan
          SBR MVP
          • 08-29-07
          • 3993

          #5
          If you're doing this by assuming efficient market at Pinnacle/CRIS, it's still -EV. You need each leg of the teaser to be ~80.2% to be breakeven and Pinnacle's line indicates 78.57% and CRIS indicates 77.66%. Keep in mind that games with high totals like this one make teasing points less valuable than games with lower totals.
          Comment
          • UntilTheNDofTimE
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-29-08
            • 9285

            #6
            thnx for the support boys , 20-14 so far so i just need phili + 23 rest of way
            Comment
            • ldrapeau
              SBR Hustler
              • 09-02-08
              • 68

              #7
              Hi,

              I don't really do teasers, could you tell which of these would win you a profit of 100.00 if you put at risk 180.00;


              Philadelphia Dallas (final score)
              31 15
              6 28
              0 17
              10 25
              20 31

              Just want to make sure I understand how they work. Thx, LD
              Comment
              • Matt Rain
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-13-07
                • 5001

                #8
                Originally posted by ldrapeau
                Hi,

                I don't really do teasers, could you tell which of these would win you a profit of 100.00 if you put at risk 180.00;


                Philadelphia Dallas (final score)
                31 15
                6 28
                0 17
                10 25

                20 31

                Just want to make sure I understand how they work. Thx, LD
                First and last.
                Comment
                • ldrapeau
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 09-02-08
                  • 68

                  #9
                  ok - I see, so basicaly you get to adjust the line by an extra 10 points, and since your going over you lower the total by 10, is that correct?
                  Comment
                  • UntilTheNDofTimE
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-29-08
                    • 9285

                    #10
                    precisely the orginal line was
                    phili +6.5
                    over 46.5

                    this became
                    phili +16.5
                    over 36.5

                    you can do teaser anywhere from 5-10 points
                    Comment
                    • UntilTheNDofTimE
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-29-08
                      • 9285

                      #11
                      ill take my 2-1 record on teasers for the week and +760 even if it is extremely negative expected value, its alot simpler than the spread

                      where else will u get new England San Diego and the giants next week for -2 -0 and -3 for even money
                      Comment
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