My belief and philosophy of the computer programs I have developed, I believe to be quite different than anyone that I have read about or seen. Most believe that you wait for a statistical advantage in a few games and either bet them large or weight them appropriately.
I believe differently. I believe that inherently there are certain Laws of Nature that hold true in sports. That outcomes will ultimately be determined by this. And that over the course of the season these laws will hold true more often than not. Of course, you have nights and weeks that you lose. But over the course of the season, not only do you win, you win big. And the most important piece is that your risk is diverisified. If you have a bad day or week. It doesn't destroy you.
I believe that I figured out in 2010 that I have determined the Laws of Nature for college basketball. I have since fine tuned them. Are they guaranteed? Obviously, not. But my results from 2010 and 2011 have been very good.
I have stopped betting spreads in college football, college basketball, and NBA. I only bet the over/unders. The reason being is that the Laws will not hold to true for any given team, but they will hold true for the dynamic of the game.
How the game reacts is what I'm trying to predict... the two teams are irrelevant.
Dave
P.S. I have posted tonights picks for college basketball. U can't pick and choose what you like...U bet them all and play percentages. I will post until the first two days of march madness. I will include Pros also once they begin again. The only problem I have with pros is that I only have this season worth of data.
I believe differently. I believe that inherently there are certain Laws of Nature that hold true in sports. That outcomes will ultimately be determined by this. And that over the course of the season these laws will hold true more often than not. Of course, you have nights and weeks that you lose. But over the course of the season, not only do you win, you win big. And the most important piece is that your risk is diverisified. If you have a bad day or week. It doesn't destroy you.
I believe that I figured out in 2010 that I have determined the Laws of Nature for college basketball. I have since fine tuned them. Are they guaranteed? Obviously, not. But my results from 2010 and 2011 have been very good.
I have stopped betting spreads in college football, college basketball, and NBA. I only bet the over/unders. The reason being is that the Laws will not hold to true for any given team, but they will hold true for the dynamic of the game.
How the game reacts is what I'm trying to predict... the two teams are irrelevant.
Dave
P.S. I have posted tonights picks for college basketball. U can't pick and choose what you like...U bet them all and play percentages. I will post until the first two days of march madness. I will include Pros also once they begin again. The only problem I have with pros is that I only have this season worth of data.
