Royals @ Twins 1:10 eastern time start.

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  • pat venditto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-07-07
    • 14347

    #1
    Royals @ Twins 1:10 eastern time start.
    Let the capping begin. What do you like and why?
  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #2
    OVER because Duckworth and OVERS go hand-in-hand like strippers & $5 blow jobs.
    Comment
    • JerseyShop101
      Restricted User
      • 09-04-08
      • 2704

      #3
      I like the over 8.5 as well.

      Duckworth has been absolutely terrible, having given up 11 runs, 19 hits, and 10 walks, in the only 15 innings he's pitched, That coupled with Minnesota being a much better hitting team at home, batting a 5th best .291 at home.

      Liriano is a very good pitcher, but he has given up 7 runs to KC in 13 innings pitched, ERA of 4.72.

      Over is 7-1-1 in MIN last 9 overall.
      Over is 7-3-1 in MIN last 11 home games.

      I see this game hitting 10 runs, Minn 7-3.

      Comment
      • bmw530i
        Restricted User
        • 04-19-08
        • 4058

        #4
        hahah ..Eages
        Comment
        • bmw530i
          Restricted User
          • 04-19-08
          • 4058

          #5
          I have a sick feeling KC pulls this one out...and I like the over
          Comment
          • darrell74
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-16-07
            • 14648

            #6
            Twinkie run line -1 1/2
            Why?
            All 5 wins by Liriano have covered the run line.
            Twinkies score 7 in last 2 games, each
            Duckworth is 2-1 for the Royals, because the Royals score a shitload of runs in the two victories against the Tigers crappy pitching. His 1 loss was against the Indians, getting yanked after 4. Has control problems, Twins should walk, alot.
            Dude, I went heavy on the run line, Liriano's 5 wins:
            9/5 W 10-2 Det
            8/20 W 3-1 Oak
            8/15 W 9-3 Sea
            8/9 W 7-3 KC
            8/3 W 6-2 Cle
            The only way the run line doesn't cover is its a slugfest in the eighth inning if Liriano gets pulled, and the Royals can get a 7 run eighth, or whatever.
            Comment
            • bmw530i
              Restricted User
              • 04-19-08
              • 4058

              #7
              very good info thanks darrel
              Comment
              • FreeFall
                SBR MVP
                • 02-20-08
                • 3365

                #8
                Originally posted by darrell74
                Twinkie run line -1 1/2
                Why?
                All 5 wins by Liriano have covered the run line.
                Twinkies score 7 in last 2 games, each
                Duckworth is 2-1 for the Royals, because the Royals score a shitload of runs in the two victories against the Tigers crappy pitching. His 1 loss was against the Indians, getting yanked after 4. Has control problems, Twins should walk, alot.
                Dude, I went heavy on the run line, Liriano's 5 wins:
                9/5 W 10-2 Det
                8/20 W 3-1 Oak
                8/15 W 9-3 Sea
                8/9 W 7-3 KC
                8/3 W 6-2 Cle
                The only way the run line doesn't cover is its a slugfest in the eighth inning if Liriano gets pulled, and the Royals can get a 7 run eighth, or whatever.
                Nice I was on the twins RL also. Glad to see some more stats to back my choice!
                Comment
                • darrell74
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-16-07
                  • 14648

                  #9
                  Thanks guys, for the compliments.
                  Lets win some $

                  Yesterday scored 8 runs.
                  Twins, previous 9 games have scored 9 or more runs.
                  I may lean on the over.
                  Comment
                  • RogueScholar
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-05-07
                    • 5082

                    #10
                    The last 10 games the Royals have been batting .345 as a team against lefties, I don't think Liriano emerges from this start smelling like a rose. In fact, with the Royals at +300, I even think there's some value there. But my play is the Over 8' on this one, probably ending up 5-4 so I'm not keen on the RL.
                    Originally posted by StraitShooter
                    90% of the guys dont give a shit about your problems..and the other 10 are glad you have them..
                    Comment
                    • Brock Landers
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 06-30-08
                      • 45359

                      #11
                      Anything you've seen of Liriano earlier this year, and his only home loss, were before he went to the minors and figured it out. Would be shocking if Minnesota lost today at home given whats at stake.
                      Comment
                      • darrell74
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-16-07
                        • 14648

                        #12
                        Well Rogue, why can't KC get home, 10 runs last 5 games is not exactly knocking the ball around the park.
                        Comment
                        • fifawcs
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-14-07
                          • 2888

                          #13
                          KC is where the value is at. Liriano's past success versus the Royals don't have much of a bearing on today's results. All I know is you are getting a club who hits lefties extremely well and has a decent pen versus a home team that is on the decline.
                          Comment
                          • RogueScholar
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-05-07
                            • 5082

                            #14
                            Darrell,

                            I agree that batting well does not equal scoring well, but your sample size is half what mine was. Over 10 games, the Royals are scoring 6.7 runs on average against lefties.
                            Originally posted by StraitShooter
                            90% of the guys dont give a shit about your problems..and the other 10 are glad you have them..
                            Comment
                            • darrell74
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-16-07
                              • 14648

                              #15
                              Have you seen the injury report for the Royals, theirs a ton a of guys not playing.
                              Twinkies are at home and their getting their stuff back. That roadie is over, and now they 're playing good Twinkie baseball.
                              Comment
                              • ryanXL977
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-24-08
                                • 20615

                                #16
                                twins are one game out, with a top 3 al starter, at home, vs a bottom 3 al team and an awful starter

                                twins win, by more than 2
                                Comment
                                • pat venditto
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-07-07
                                  • 14347

                                  #17
                                  I'm on Royals +1 1/2 +120.
                                  Comment
                                  • Kingctb27
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-16-08
                                    • 2258

                                    #18
                                    Twins will win and the over looks nice. too bad carib is down so no bet for me.
                                    Comment
                                    • pico
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-05-07
                                      • 27321

                                      #19
                                      9 min
                                      Comment
                                      • darrell74
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-16-07
                                        • 14648

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Kingctb27
                                        Twins will win and the over looks nice. too bad carib is down so no bet for me.
                                        Dude! I thought that was just my computer, f-ing up. I wanted to squeeze in a small play on the over. Got the run line over a nhour ago. Weird!!!
                                        I may make a phone call.
                                        Comment
                                        • bradleysnyder
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 04-18-07
                                          • 6662

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by darrell74
                                          Twinkie run line -1 1/2
                                          Why?
                                          All 5 wins by Liriano have covered the run line.
                                          Twinkies score 7 in last 2 games, each
                                          Duckworth is 2-1 for the Royals, because the Royals score a shitload of runs in the two victories against the Tigers crappy pitching. His 1 loss was against the Indians, getting yanked after 4. Has control problems, Twins should walk, alot.
                                          Dude, I went heavy on the run line, Liriano's 5 wins:
                                          9/5 W 10-2 Det
                                          8/20 W 3-1 Oak
                                          8/15 W 9-3 Sea
                                          8/9 W 7-3 KC
                                          8/3 W 6-2 Cle
                                          The only way the run line doesn't cover is its a slugfest in the eighth inning if Liriano gets pulled, and the Royals can get a 7 run eighth, or whatever.
                                          IM WITH YOU ON THIS FOR A FEW HUNDERED -140 MYSELF
                                          Comment
                                          • darrell74
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-16-07
                                            • 14648

                                            #22
                                            Don't screw this up Bradley.
                                            Comment
                                            • bradleysnyder
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-18-07
                                              • 6662

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                              twins are one game out, with a top 3 al starter, at home, vs a bottom 3 al team and an awful starter

                                              twins win, by more than 2
                                              YOUR QUOTE IS NO LONGER CORRECT?DIDNT THE RAYS BEAT HIM???OR WAS THAT A NO D?
                                              Comment
                                              • bradleysnyder
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 04-18-07
                                                • 6662

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by darrell74
                                                Don't screw this up Bradley.
                                                WHEN I LOOKED AT ALL THE GAMES THIS MORNING I LIKE THIS THE BEST OUT OF ALL BETS.TWINS WIN 8-5
                                                Comment
                                                • JerseyShop101
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 09-04-08
                                                  • 2704

                                                  #25
                                                  Lets get the OVER done in the early innings!!!!!!!!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bmw530i
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-19-08
                                                    • 4058

                                                    #26
                                                    Nice Morneau....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • darrell74
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-16-07
                                                      • 14648

                                                      #27
                                                      That over don't look too hot. That strike zone is HUGE!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • baazigar
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-09-08
                                                        • 1589

                                                        #28
                                                        it's coming...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • darrell74
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 04-16-07
                                                          • 14648

                                                          #29
                                                          I do hope the over covers, for all of you guys.
                                                          Strike zone is big.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bmw530i
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 04-19-08
                                                            • 4058

                                                            #30
                                                            Baaaz....lets get this...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bmw530i
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-19-08
                                                              • 4058

                                                              #31
                                                              Crrrrack....lets get this
                                                              Comment
                                                              • darrell74
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-16-07
                                                                • 14648

                                                                #32
                                                                See, strike zone is huge. Thats the only way the Royals stay in this game, is a huge strike zone. Duckworth has lousy control. But if the umoire calls the batterbox line, a strike, Royal baclers have a chance.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • baazigar
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-09-08
                                                                  • 1589

                                                                  #33
                                                                  6 more to go beamaaa
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bradleysnyder
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-18-07
                                                                    • 6662

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by darrell74
                                                                    See
                                                                    screw that d74
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bmw530i
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 04-19-08
                                                                      • 4058

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Gomez gets caught stealin we would have had another...but seems they are teein off on him..
                                                                      Comment
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