This wont be a game.. USC huge
My College Football Picks Week 3 (Video)!
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JRS21386Restricted User
- 04-13-08
- 2213
#36Comment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#37I will be the first to admit that my capping abilities need work and are a work-in-progress. This is only my second season capping college football (didn't even pay attention to anything happening outside of the Pac-10 or Top 10 before a year or two ago), so I'm not expecting 55% winners overnight or anything. I disagree with you on the 9 games thing; with 56 games that is 56 spreads and 56 over/unders to analyze (not including halves, quarters, etc)... Liking 9 out of 112 plays I don't think is too crazy. But maybe I will learn the hard way that it is! Besides I do have "tiers" and there are certain plays I like better then others, but for the sake of keeping the videos relatively simple, I just put them all out there. In any case, point taken and agreed with.Originally posted by Al MastersAfter watching your vids, i must tell you i have my questions about your capping abilities,not cause you had a poor week 1,but for other reasons that i believe to be detrimental to gamblers in the long run. i.e betting 9 games on one Saturday.JMO
That means alot to me, thank you very muchOriginally posted by Al MastersMore importantly from watching your vids and reading some of your posts,you come across as a gentleman with a quality character.
I wish you good returns 0n your gambling investments.
Point WELL taken. Just made a withdrawal at 5Dimes. This is the biggest flaw in my game by far, I take these games way too emotionally. Duly noted! I wish I could take a break sometimes, but I like trying to fight through it, and I don't want to lose any of my viewers. But if it were strictly money being bet and not entertainment/videos, you are 100% right, I'd need to step away.Originally posted by Al MastersFriendly advice here.......in gambling the ability to control one's emotions is important,as they can lead to very bad decisions,when you feel your emotions getting the better of you..........take a break.
BOL this week.
Lets get em this week
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eddyvanwhoSBR Rookie
- 08-27-08
- 31
#38anything on tonights game usckingsfan, I like Rutgers -6 what do you think?Comment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#39Don't have a strong opinion at all, need to see more games from both these teams... I'd take Rutgers -6 though if I had to take a side. Great home team certainly doesn't want to fall to 0 - 2... Fresno State was too tough for them, UNC is a little more in their ballpark.Originally posted by eddyvanwhoanything on tonights game usckingsfan, I like Rutgers -6 what do you think?
Good luck!Comment -
FishheadSBR Aristocracy- 08-11-05
- 40184
#40Excellent presentation, have a good week sir.Comment -
MaurySlineSBR High Roller- 09-11-08
- 166
#41USC all the way, thats the way to go!!! Big win saturday!!Comment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#42Thanks man... enjoyed that post on teasers you made. Wish I had the money to play that sort of thing huge.Originally posted by FishheadExcellent presentation, have a good week sir.Comment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#43Originally posted by JRS21386This wont be a game.. USC hugeHope you guys are right!Originally posted by MaurySlineUSC all the way, thats the way to go!!! Big win saturday!!Comment -
JRS21386Restricted User
- 04-13-08
- 2213
#44I hope so too buddy... But i really don't think this will be a game... Gameday is gonna wish they DIDNT go to this game..Originally posted by usckingsfan31Hope you guys are right!Comment -
gm2022SBR MVP
- 02-28-08
- 4128
#45USC you will make some big noise next few weeks sirComment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#46I'm just not willing to completely write off Ohio State and their excellent defense because of a hickup game against Ohio. They were so focused on getting ready for the USC game that they forgot they actually had to try a little on Saturday.Originally posted by JRS21386I hope so too buddy... But i really don't think this will be a game... Gameday is gonna wish they DIDNT go to this game..
If I was playing it, I'd be on USC, too. But Ohio State does have talent and it worries me a little they are being taken so lightly now. Good thing Carroll won't let his team buy into the hype.Comment -
JRS21386Restricted User
- 04-13-08
- 2213
#47Your prolly right... Thats my teams excuse too though... Alabama played terrible against Tulane cause we were looking ahead to Western KentuckyOriginally posted by usckingsfan31I'm just not willing to completely write off Ohio State and their excellent defense because of a hickup game against Ohio. They were so focused on getting ready for the USC game that they forgot they actually had to try a little on Saturday.
If I was playing it, I'd be on USC, too. But Ohio State does have talent and it worries me a little they are being taken so lightly now. Good thing Carroll won't let his team buy into the hype.
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VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#48I think the "looking ahead" angle is generally over-used, but Ohio State clearly didn't even realize they had a game on Saturday.Originally posted by JRS21386Your prolly right... Thats my teams excuse too though... Alabama played terrible against Tulane cause we were looking ahead to Western Kentucky
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JRS21386Restricted User
- 04-13-08
- 2213
#49lol and there is NO WAY Alabama was looking ahead to WKU... I was just messin aroundComment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#50Appreciate the confidenceOriginally posted by gm2022USC you will make some big noise next few weeks sir
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VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#51Haha for sure... No one knows where the **** Bama is looking week in and week out.Originally posted by JRS21386lol and there is NO WAY Alabama was looking ahead to WKU... I was just messin aroundComment -
gm2022SBR MVP
- 02-28-08
- 4128
#52USC was kinda shocked you didnt have, AU or Cal. i understand there Road Favs but the lines they got I think were to low to pass onComment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#53Already explained why I didn't take AU, Cal was tempting and I had it circled, but just liked these other plays better. You could very easily cash both of these, I'm just taking a wait and see approach for most of the Pac-10 to start the year. GL though!
What number did you get Cal at? I think if it hadn't gone to 2 TDs it would have made my cut.Comment -
gm2022SBR MVP
- 02-28-08
- 4128
#54you 2, I know im on a lot of Road Fav this week, which most if not all would downgrade me for. I just think Maryland is just as good as WSU(if not worse). Only thing I see happening is maybe a slow start for Cal with it being a 9am start PT. Though when its all said in done they cover! AU i have been on 2 weeks str so maybe im not looking at this game correctly but either way I think Au wins by 21 pts as there D is way underrated and will be a key part of them staying in games in the PAC 10 this year. Good luck allOriginally posted by usckingsfan31Already explained why I didn't take AU, Cal was tempting and I had it circled, but just liked these other plays better. You could very easily cash both of these, I'm just taking a wait and see approach for most of the Pac-10 to start the year. GL though!
What number did you get Cal at? I think if it hadn't gone to 2 TDs it would have made my cut.Comment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#55Hmmm... for those of you teaser/parlay players that agree with me on North Texas +42...
Might as well parlay/tease it with the UNDER. Just saw this was at 59.5.
North Texas doesn't have a chance to put up much more then 10, do they? As such, if the final is 10 - 49, you have a cover and an under. Likely will be even lower.
Teasing this to North Texas +49, Under 66.5 looks even better.Comment -
khoale2004SBR Hustler
- 09-10-08
- 93
#56Baylor game got cancel or cant even pick anymore
and also Airforce got cancel too because of the hurricaneComment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#57Baylor game wasn't canceled, was moved to Friday Night.
Okay, lets try and head into Saturday 1 - 0!Comment -
seriousaddictionSBR Rookie
- 09-10-08
- 42
#58dave first off want to be the first to say I like the videos...its a nice niche here on the forum..no one does it...very original....and since u take constructive criticism so well let me offer the obviouss...and again this isnt hating ...this is constructive criticism for someone new to betting (disregard my post count...im a long time rx'er and have been gambling and capping for about 8 years)
the only problem I see with ur picks is ur obsession with chalk. Take a team catching some points here and there. Dont be afraid to be an underdog. You seem to not be afraid of starting the game down 14,16,26-0 why not do have some more games like the N Texas one. Before kickoff your up 42-0...now doesnt that feel great. anyways...just some friendly advice and BOL...look forward to ur next videoComment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#59Dude if you are going to be negative just stay off my threadOriginally posted by seriousaddictionthe only problem I see with ur picks is ur obsession with chalk. Take a team catching some points here and there. Dont be afraid to be an underdog. You seem to not be afraid of starting the game down 14,16,26-0 why not do have some more games like the N Texas one. Before kickoff your up 42-0...now doesnt that feel great. anyways...just some friendly advice and BOL...look forward to ur next video
LOL, 100% kidding. Guilty as charged, I do love the chalk. But I have to disagree with you that this is a bad thing; whether you have the points or are giving the points, both sides are -110. There is no more value either way, the only value is being right. If you pick 8 dogs with the points $100 a game and go 6 - 2 and I pick 8 faves giving up the points $100 a game, we both profit the exact same amount.
Some people are good at picking live dogs. I personally do better at finding favorites that WILL cover the spread they are up against. Especially early in the year... in a few weeks favorites will start giving up too many points and I will start finding/picking more live dogs. But no need to force it!
Thanks for the feedback. Trust me, if I see some dogs I like, I'll take them... they just haven't been jumping off the page at me yet.Comment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#60If AU does roll in this one as you predict, it'll be very interesting to see what the line will be like @UCLA next week...Originally posted by gm2022you 2, I know im on a lot of Road Fav this week, which most if not all would downgrade me for. I just think Maryland is just as good as WSU(if not worse). Only thing I see happening is maybe a slow start for Cal with it being a 9am start PT. Though when its all said in done they cover! AU i have been on 2 weeks str so maybe im not looking at this game correctly but either way I think Au wins by 21 pts as there D is way underrated and will be a key part of them staying in games in the PAC 10 this year. Good luck all
Guess that also depends on how the BYU game goes.Comment -
jgm1967Restricted User- 10-06-05
- 429
#61Great videos and great newsletter dave.You are really making an effort at this and I hope more people check out the newsletter.Its great seeing young people using all these tools available and really making an effort to do seomthing crative.
When I was your age we were mainly doing punk fanzines and some literature fanzines with mimeograph and tons of time spent at kinkos.laot of people had that d.i.y. ethic but the tools were not as available
Its a shame more people don't do all the stuff you are doing,great to see this effort.
Personally I really hope this sbrwill get more like pokerroad and get more original content and get some radio and tv shows up here.
Check out two jacks in the hole at pokerroad dave,its broadcast from your hometown LA.Big poker sunday is another great too,Haralabos Voulgaris is a host and this guy is a nba guru. a brilliant capper,There are a few good articles i have saved about him if you ever want to read them
cheersComment -
VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#62Yeah, I've heard the guy is amazing... have you seen his setup?? He has like 7 flat screen wall mounted TVs and he watches every game start to finish... pretty damn awesome.
I'm trying to be as versatile as possible; newsletter, blogging, videos, podcasting... and I have a cool domain name to keep it all together. Hope all this effort pays off in one way or another someday
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JRS21386Restricted User
- 04-13-08
- 2213
#63What do you use to podcast?Originally posted by usckingsfan31Yeah, I've heard the guy is amazing... have you seen his setup?? He has like 7 flat screen wall mounted TVs and he watches every game start to finish... pretty damn awesome.
I'm trying to be as versatile as possible; newsletter, blogging, videos, podcasting... and I have a cool domain name to keep it all together. Hope all this effort pays off in one way or another someday
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VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#64Just the same mike thats on my head when I do the videos... AUDACITY is a great free program for recording that lets you record and edit mp3s and what not. Then just upload it on a podcast server and you are good to go. If you haven't already, take a listen at my page to some of my podcasts and see what you think.
If you need more details or help starting one up just email or PM me, I'm easy to get in touch with
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ChuteBoxeSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-21-07
- 6885
#65Good luck this week bud.
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VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#66Thanks you too!! Had to laugh at your sig though... how does 5 - 3 = 100%?
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ChuteBoxeSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-21-07
- 6885
#67Thanks for the heads up man. I was 5-0, and I updated right before bed on my 0-3 Monday night. Time to check eog and therx.Originally posted by usckingsfan31Thanks you too!! Had to laugh at your sig though... how does 5 - 3 = 100%?
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VegasDaveSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-07
- 8056
#68Sure thing. Your +Units speak for themselves!Originally posted by ChuteBoxeThanks for the heads up man. I was 5-0, and I updated right before bed on my 0-3 Monday night. Time to check eog and therx.
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khoale2004SBR Hustler
- 09-10-08
- 93
#69but i think baylor and airforce are voided there are no pick for those 2 game uscComment -
jgm1967Restricted User- 10-06-05
- 429
#70Haralabos is really an interesting guy.Here are a few articles on him.Originally posted by usckingsfan31Yeah, I've heard the guy is amazing... have you seen his setup?? He has like 7 flat screen wall mounted TVs and he watches every game start to finish... pretty damn awesome.
I'm trying to be as versatile as possible; newsletter, blogging, videos, podcasting... and I have a cool domain name to keep it all together. Hope all this effort pays off in one way or another someday
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