Thinking about going all in on "NE will have lead in game -500"

SBRMAN23 · 02-05-12, 02:44 AM

No value better here you can make if u wanna go all in man just my tgt -500

MJT1212 · 02-05-12, 02:48 AM

Originally posted by SBRMAN23

No value better here you can make if u wanna go all in man just my tgt -500

Not sure I understand, you saying that it's a good bet?

zsr · 02-05-12, 02:50 AM

Unless the giants get the ball first, score a TD and never give the lead up. That's what I'd be worried about, probably safe bet though

shari91 · 02-05-12, 02:51 AM

Originally posted by SBRMAN23

No value better here you can make if u wanna go all in man just my tgt -500

Originally posted by MJT1212

Not sure I understand, you saying that it's a good bet?

what are you trying to say sbrman??

zsr · 02-05-12, 02:52 AM

Originally posted by shari91

what are you trying to say sbrman??

Was thinking the same thing

RoadFavorites$$$ · 02-05-12, 02:54 AM

can't you just take pats +whatever for -500 or so?

MJT1212 · 02-05-12, 02:54 AM

Originally posted by zsr

Unless the giants get the ball first, score a TD and never give the lead up. That's what I'd be worried about, probably safe bet though

May just do it for 100 then...to be safe

MJT1212 · 02-05-12, 02:56 AM

Originally posted by RoadFavorites$$$

can't you just take pats +whatever for -500 or so?

do you mean an alternate line? i can take pats +6.5 for -375 and pats +3.5 for -245

The Giant · 02-05-12, 02:56 AM

The Packers never led the Giants in their game. The Giants, did however trail, in their other two playoff games.

The Patriots lost three games this year. Only in one of those games did they not lead. That was against the Steelers.

So they have led in 17 of their 18 games this year.

-500 might not be too much of a stretch.

MJT1212 · 02-05-12, 02:58 AM

Originally posted by The Giant

The Packers never led the Giants in their game. The Giants, did however trail, in their other two playoff games. The Patriots lost three games this year. Only in one of those games did they not lead. That was against the Steelers. So they have led in 17 of their 18 games this year. -500 might not be too much of a stretch.

thanks for that. that packers/giants game stat scares me a little though...

sweep · 02-05-12, 03:28 AM

Originally posted by RoadFavorites$$$

can't you just take pats +whatever for -500 or so?

What if NE has lead early on in the game then gets blown the fuk out in 2nd half? I'd go with the prop over an alt line @-500

GamblerSpirit · 02-05-12, 03:31 AM

I like it, but that's a lot of vig you're laying. GL!

Marigold HD · 02-05-12, 03:55 AM

I think it's a safe bet v

MJT1212 · 02-05-12, 03:59 AM

heres a little kicker...NYG is almost guaranteed to receive first b/c pats defer and giants choose to receive

shari91 · 02-05-12, 04:02 AM

I've been horribly sick for the past 3 days, so if this doesn't make much sense I apologise - Pats are -139 at Pinny to win so for you saying you're not sure they're going to win but they'll lead at some point so you're willing to lay -500, I'm pretty sure there's a math thing that can determine what you're giving up for that prop and what you should pay that for that prop. I however have no hope of figuring it out, least of all now (never), so hopefully one of the numbers guys comes in and lets you know.

SBRMAN23 · 02-05-12, 04:04 AM

Originally posted by GamblerSpirit

I like it, but that's a lot of vig you're laying. GL!

Basically what I was trying to say sorry spellcheck from the smartphone just don't like the value in it if the giants get out to a strong start money gone lol

MJT1212 · 02-05-12, 04:22 AM

Originally posted by SBRMAN23

Basically what I was trying to say sorry spellcheck from the smartphone just don't like the value in it if the giants get out to a strong start money gone lol

Yea I may lay off due to the high vig...

MJT1212 · 02-05-12, 04:22 AM

Originally posted by shari91

I've been horribly sick for the past 3 days, so if this doesn't make much sense I apologise - Pats are -139 at Pinny to win so for you saying you're not sure they're going to win but they'll lead at some point so you're willing to lay -500, I'm pretty sure there's a math thing that can determine what you're giving up for that prop and what you should pay that for that prop. I however have no hope of figuring it out, least of all now (never), so hopefully one of the numbers guys comes in and lets you know.

That would be interesting to know...anyone?

rm18 · 02-05-12, 05:05 AM

Giants going to be up 14-0 early tough guy

shari91 · 02-05-12, 05:09 AM

Originally posted by MJT1212

That would be interesting to know...anyone?

We'll try to keep bumping this for a bit before I go to bed. I believe they'll have some equation to figure it out but they might not have seen it yet.

PAULYPOKER · 02-05-12, 05:17 AM

Take the Pats ML-143 for game,now this is guaranteed.............

MJT1212 · 02-05-12, 05:52 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Take the Pats ML-143 for game,now this is guaranteed.............

guaranteed eh?

no.1cards · 02-05-12, 06:18 AM

That sounds like a bad bet, -250 sounds more realistic.

SlimZ · 02-05-12, 06:22 AM

Originally posted by MJT1212

heres a little kicker...NYG is almost guaranteed to receive first b/c pats defer and giants choose to receive

Any thoughts on this prop bet any1 if it's so sure I wouldn't mind betting it ... Currenly -300 for this prop bet

?

MJT1212 · 02-05-12, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by SlimZ

Any thoughts on this prop bet any1 if it's so sure I wouldn't mind betting it ... Currenly -300 for this prop bet

?

I went in for max in the points book which is only 100. It's not in my real book, wish it was. Wish the gatorade was too b/c it's going to be clear.

thetrinity · 02-05-12, 02:27 PM

i hope u can find something better then this for today seriously.

paranoyd androyd · 02-05-12, 06:50 PM

you're in deep shit