SB Prop bet. 3rd quarter over 9.5 -190. question...

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  • zoo youk
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-23-11
    • 10701

    #1
    SB Prop bet. 3rd quarter over 9.5 -190. question...
    know its pricey but not sure there is a safer bet in this game than this one?

    or are third quarters over in SB bad to bet cause of the unusual long half time show? could throw the teams off rhythm? or not a factor?
  • Djstucky
    SBR MVP
    • 02-27-11
    • 2993

    #2
    Last two times these two played 07 superbowl and this year I believe they only scored 10 first half points and the scoring began in the 3rd qtr...don't know if that plays a factor or not in this one...I doubt it...I expect scoring early in this one...
    Comment
    • zoo youk
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-23-11
      • 10701

      #3
      hmm...
      Comment
      • 5mike5
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-21-11
        • 52031

        #4
        MUCH better valued props than this...-190 has 0 value
        Comment
        • zoo youk
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-23-11
          • 10701

          #5
          sure.

          but really wasnt talking about value...was talking safe lol
          Comment
          • 5mike5
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-21-11
            • 52031

            #6
            Originally posted by zoo youk
            sure. but really wasnt talking about value...was talking safe lol
            oh..lol

            if ur feeling it then gotta pull the trigger would be my advice then....

            goodluck!
            Comment
            • zoo youk
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-23-11
              • 10701

              #7
              I think im just gonna play this small and just sit back and enjoy the game as a Giants fan
              Comment
              • Djstucky
                SBR MVP
                • 02-27-11
                • 2993

                #8
                Originally posted by 5mike5
                MUCH better valued props than this...-190 has 0 value
                What an idiotic comment...zero value??? so you lay 10K on this -190 bet that hits and win 10K...yeah no value...any bet that wins has value...no wonder guys like like this don't have $200 to become a pro...
                Comment
                • convick
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-03-11
                  • 3954

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Djstucky
                  What an idiotic comment...zero value??? so you lay 10K on this -190 bet that hits and win 10K...yeah no value...any bet that wins has value...no wonder guys like like this don't have $200 to become a pro...
                  mike thinks only props with +150-+200 payout are good value.
                  Comment
                  • Djstucky
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-27-11
                    • 2993

                    #10
                    Originally posted by convick
                    mike thinks only props with +150-+200 payout are good value.
                    I agree + money bets that win have value as well...however my point was plus or minus if a bet wins it has value if it doesn't I'm not sure I would consider it valuable...
                    Comment
                    • letsgo
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-27-10
                      • 2204

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Djstucky
                      What an idiotic comment...zero value??? so you lay 10K on this -190 bet that hits and win 10K...yeah no value...any bet that wins has value...no wonder guys like like this don't have $200 to become a pro...
                      I'd love to know how you lay 10k on -190 and win 10k.
                      Comment
                      • FourLengthsClear
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-29-10
                        • 3808

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Djstucky
                        I agree + money bets that win have value as well...however my point was plus or minus if a bet wins it has value if it doesn't I'm not sure I would consider it valuable...
                        If I offer you -110 on a coin flip and you win, did your bet have value?
                        Comment
                        • Djstucky
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-27-11
                          • 2993

                          #13
                          Originally posted by FourLengthsClear
                          If I offer you -110 on a coin flip and you win, did your bet have value?
                          Yes...however if you gave me heads +250 and it landed on tails the bet has no value because it lost...
                          Comment
                          • Djstucky
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-27-11
                            • 2993

                            #14
                            Originally posted by letsgo
                            I'd love to know how you lay 10k on -190 and win 10k.
                            Good point...LOL...didn't mean to add the 10k again after I said "and win"...I think you know what I meant...
                            Comment
                            • FourLengthsClear
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-29-10
                              • 3808

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Djstucky
                              Yes...however if you gave me heads +250 and it landed on tails the bet has no value because it lost...
                              But if you make that same bet 1000 times, there is a zero percent chance of you losing.
                              Comment
                              • NYSportsGuy210
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-07-09
                                • 11347

                                #16
                                Here are some interesting prop bets to consider:

                                (1) (Not counting half time) Who will be shown more live during the game?

                                Peyton Manning (-120) or Robert Kraft (-120)

                                (2) Who Will U.S. President Barack Obama Pick to Win the Superbowl?

                                NY Giants (-135) or NE Patriots (-105)

                                (3) How many times will NBC show the David Tyree catch during the game live?

                                Under 1.5 (-190) or OVER 1.5 (+150)

                                (4) Will the Dow Jones open up or down the Monday (day after the Superbowl)?

                                Up ( -120) or Down (-120)
                                Comment
                                • zoo youk
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-23-11
                                  • 10701

                                  #17
                                  Does anyone know where i can find in depth box scores for the last couple super bowls? I really want to see if that long half time effects teams offensively, possibly getting them out of a synch for a few drives?

                                  In a quarter bet a few drives are crucial
                                  Comment
                                  • Scully
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-21-06
                                    • 1276

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                    Here are some interesting prop bets to consider:

                                    (1) (Not counting half time) Who will be shown more live during the game?

                                    Peyton Manning (-120) or Robert Kraft (-120)

                                    (2) Who Will U.S. President Barack Obama Pick to Win the Superbowl?

                                    NY Giants (-135) or NE Patriots (-105)

                                    (3) How many times will NBC show the David Tyree catch during the game live?

                                    Under 1.5 (-190) or OVER 1.5 (+150)

                                    (4) Will the Dow Jones open up or down the Monday (day after the Superbowl)?

                                    Up ( -120) or Down (-120)
                                    Forget number 2 prop. It's already been publicized numerous times throughout the week that he is not choosing a side, at least publicly.
                                    Comment
                                    • FourLengthsClear
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-29-10
                                      • 3808

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by zoo youk
                                      Does anyone know where i can find in depth box scores for the last couple super bowls? I really want to see if that long half time effects teams offensively, possibly getting them out of a synch for a few drives?

                                      In a quarter bet a few drives are crucial
                                      ESPN site still has play by play data for the last few years.
                                      This is the link for last year, you can navigate to previous years from there.
                                      Play-by-play action for the Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL game from February 6, 2011 on ESPN.


                                      fwiw over 9.5 has been 5-5 over the last 10 years in 3rd quarters.
                                      Comment
                                      • zoo youk
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-23-11
                                        • 10701

                                        #20
                                        Thanks man really appreciate that
                                        Comment
                                        • zoo youk
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-23-11
                                          • 10701

                                          #21
                                          Got 11 min for 3 more points cmaawnnnnnn
                                          Comment
                                          • zoo youk
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-23-11
                                            • 10701

                                            #22
                                            Cha ching!!!!!!

                                            Lets gooooooo gmmennnnn
                                            Comment
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