week 1 seems too easy

[pico]

pretty predicatable. i think week 2 lines will be much sharper.

[rm18]

i think week 2 and 3 are actually the easiest, overreactions create the worst lines sometimes

[pico]

i think week 2 and 3 are actually the easiest, overreactions create the worst lines sometimes

so betting against the line movement in week 2,3 made you money in the past?

[rm18]

so betting against the line movement in week 2,3 made you money in the past?

I don't really mean line movement after openers, but fading the teams who beat the spread by a lot by a fluke or came way short by fluke

[pico]

I don't really mean line movement after openers, but fading the teams who beat the spread by a lot by a fluke or came ay short by fluke

which teams do you think won by a fluke this week? and which teams lost by a fluke this week?

[rm18]

which teams do you think won by a fluke this week? and which teams lost by a fluke this week?

The final scores were the most off from what I expected were Alabama/Clemson, WSU/OSU, and A@M/Arkansas St.


But that doesn't mean that linesmakers and bettors will overreact neccessarily, still have to see the lines, it is not like people will think Clemson is 14+ points worse than Alabama.