My Aus Open Plays!

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  • Bbr
    SBR MVP
    • 08-17-10
    • 3900

    #1
    My Aus Open Plays!
    All plays will be posted here.

    Looks like we are in for a cracker of a tourney with the weather forecast looking great for at least an entire week.

    I've got futures on Murray & Nadal and Kvitova & Li Na.

    There are a couple of plays I like already but, just waiting for totals to be released.

    One match I'm really keeping my eye on is fish vs muller. Muller aint no scrub and should at least take a set of him and possibly win it. Ill look further into it and get back to yall.

    Until then......GL boys.
  • Ace_of_Spades
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-14-09
    • 13518

    #2
    Comment
    • Bbr
      SBR MVP
      • 08-17-10
      • 3900

      #3
      Nieminen Won APIA international as well @ +125 against Benneteau (in form atm) . Now facing Nalbandian and again is a dog +125. Nalbandian has never lost to niemenen in Australia but the fin has always taken a set of him. Over? maybe a small play on the fin.

      Just thinking aloud.
      Comment
      • Bbr
        SBR MVP
        • 08-17-10
        • 3900

        #4
        Mannarino +750 vs del potro??? Del potro by no means is in form. Mannarino made a decent run in Auckland. h2h mann is up 1-0. Beat del potro last year on grass in straight sets (2 tie breakers).

        Over seems the play, just waiting for the number. Contemplating Mannarino +8....
        Comment
        • gregm
          SBR MVP
          • 03-14-11
          • 3535

          #5
          Good luck BBR, I might look at the total and the over in this one but its a weird schedule for Jarkko. Nalbandian is always a tough read and you always wonder with his motivation but last year he lost to some pretty top notch opponents, he did beat Nieminen last year in Sydney in 3 sets, beat Jarkko in 2006 at the Aussie in 4 sets. Nieminen looked great in Sydney, should be a great match but watch out for this heat and totals.

          Good article on Nieminens schedule after Sydney.

          Comment
          • Bbr
            SBR MVP
            • 08-17-10
            • 3900

            #6
            Cheers greg, gd read.

            Heat will definitely play a factor, especially for those who havent played in Aus this year as yet because there is a clear difference between spending time in the Aus sun and playing tennis in the Aus sun.

            Jarkko took nalb to 3 sets indeed, im anticipating him to take a set here as well but nalb is definitely no pushover! Jarkko is a athlete and fatigue should not set in, particularly since is so early into the tennis season, he will be fine. Like the article stated, he is highly motivated and filled with adrenaline. He has a shot out there tmrw. Should be a great matchup.

            Be careful betting on European women when its scorching hot...especially if you play at 5dimes where retirements do not warrant a refund/cancellation.
            Comment
            • gregm
              SBR MVP
              • 03-14-11
              • 3535

              #7
              Don't get me wrong, I am thinking aloud too. I actually love wagering on a player going in with a showing like Jarkko had at Sydney, its a good wager.
              Comment
              • gregm
                SBR MVP
                • 03-14-11
                • 3535

                #8
                Originally posted by Bbr
                Cheers greg, gd read.

                Heat will definitely play a factor, especially for those who havent played in Aus this year as yet because there is a clear difference between spending time in the Aus sun and playing tennis in the Aus sun.

                Jarkko took nalb to 3 sets indeed, im anticipating him to take a set here as well but nalb is definitely no pushover! Jarkko is a athlete and fatigue should not set in, particularly since is so early into the tennis season, he will be fine. Like the article stated, he is highly motivated and filled with adrenaline. He has a shot out there tmrw. Should be a great matchup.

                Be careful betting on European women when its scorching hot...especially if you play at 5dimes where retirements do not warrant a refund/cancellation.
                Great post about these chicks in the heat, but these guys are the worst some times with their long matches. Great post about 5dimes and rules, I have so many books I do tend to forget to look at retirement rules for each one. I am looking at these temps and I can see alot of fatigue in long matches on monday and tuesday
                Comment
                • Bbr
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-17-10
                  • 3900

                  #9
                  Originally posted by gregm
                  Don't get me wrong, I am thinking aloud too. I actually love wagering on a player going in with a showing like Jarkko had at Sydney, its a good wager.
                  Just picked him up at +130 so heres my first play!
                  Jarkko Niemenen +130 vs Nalbandian. Checking out the total as soon as its released.
                  Comment
                  • Bbr
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-17-10
                    • 3900

                    #10
                    Originally posted by gregm
                    Great post about these chicks in the heat, but these guys are the worst some times with their long matches. Great post about 5dimes and rules, I have so many books I do tend to forget to look at retirement rules for each one. I am looking at these temps and I can see alot of fatigue in long matches on monday and tuesday
                    Djoko is horrible in the heat
                    Comment
                    • Bbr
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-17-10
                      • 3900

                      #11
                      If this heat extends to next week, no way djoko wins the open!
                      Comment
                      • NYSportsGuy210
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-07-09
                        • 11347

                        #12
                        In the Australian Open men have to win 3 out of 5 sets right? Women still 2 out of 3?
                        Comment
                        • gregm
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-14-11
                          • 3535

                          #13
                          Alright lets do this BBr, I am tailing you because I love your avatar too, I am feeling it. I dont like much rap but Bones were like a great soul or gospel band, beautiful harmonies and tunes. I am a southerner white guy who loves horses , this song is about the culture I love. Jarkko is the Ghetto Cowboy on Monday. I think your wrong on Nole though. Cheers brother

                          Comment
                          • Bbr
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-17-10
                            • 3900

                            #14
                            Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                            In the Australian Open men have to win 3 out of 5 sets right? Women still 2 out of 3?
                            Correct!
                            Comment
                            • NYSportsGuy210
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-07-09
                              • 11347

                              #15
                              So I should look for the Jarkko -Nalbandian OVER/UNDER to be around 28?
                              Comment
                              • Bbr
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-17-10
                                • 3900

                                #16
                                Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                So I should look for the Jarkko -Nalbandian OVER/UNDER to be around 28?
                                It will be a lot higher than that. Maybe mid to high 30s
                                Comment
                                • Bbr
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-17-10
                                  • 3900

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by gregm
                                  Alright lets do this BBr, I am tailing you because I love your avatar too, I am feeling it. I dont like much rap but Bones were like a great soul or gospel band, beautiful harmonies and tunes. I am a southerner white guy who loves horses , this song is about the culture I love. Jarkko is the Ghetto Cowboy on Monday. I think your wrong on Nole though. Cheers brother
                                  Lets get it. Bone thugs
                                  Comment
                                  • gregm
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-14-11
                                    • 3535

                                    #18
                                    Nalbandian retired last year in the third set in the Aussie but his year in 2011 is a tough one to analyze. Tennis talk has nalbandian in 4 sets. I havent found much about info about David lately other than his exhibition loss to Murray.

                                    I like the number on Jarkko too, so I am going to hit it. That total should be worth a look. Good luck guys
                                    Comment
                                    • Bbr
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-17-10
                                      • 3900

                                      #19
                                      WTA plays- Play them small

                                      Foretz-Gacon Stephanie+180
                                      Kai-Chen Chang +125
                                      Cornet +170
                                      Comment
                                      • Bbr
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-17-10
                                        • 3900

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by gregm
                                        Nalbandian retired last year in the third set in the Aussie but his year in 2011 is a tough one to analyze. Tennis talk has nalbandian in 4 sets. I havent found much about info about David lately other than his exhibition loss to Murray. I like the number on Jarkko too, so I am going to hit it. That total should be worth a look. Good luck guys
                                        Jarkko could even take it in 4. I sense an over here.

                                        Mannarino/del potro over should also be worth a look. I have a feeling it might be set quite low (I'd be happy with anything below 35)
                                        Comment
                                        • Bbr
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-17-10
                                          • 3900

                                          #21
                                          Mannarino/del potro over 30.5 +105
                                          Mannarino +7.5 +120
                                          Fish/Muller over 39.5 -105
                                          Comment
                                          • Bbr
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-17-10
                                            • 3900

                                            #22
                                            Adding:
                                            Kubot/Almagro over 36.5 -105

                                            May add more in 12 hours.
                                            Comment
                                            • BB_Mariners
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-25-11
                                              • 712

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Bbr
                                              Djoko is horrible in the heat
                                              He was known as somebody who is horrible at heat, but last year everything changed. Dont forger that in the final of Miami Nadal is one who got heat stroke and Djole was playing last tie-break like that match just started.
                                              Comment
                                              • turkstock
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 08-17-08
                                                • 352

                                                #24
                                                do they offer early round atp in the sbr book?
                                                thanks
                                                Comment
                                                • The HOFF
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-02-08
                                                  • 4847

                                                  #25
                                                  Tailing on a few. Good luck.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ACoochy
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-19-09
                                                    • 13949

                                                    #26
                                                    Bbr glad i saw this. Was already on the Del Potro Over and gonna take the O24.5 on djokovic match also...GL with ur plays
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bbr
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-17-10
                                                      • 3900

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BB_Mariners
                                                      He was known as somebody who is horrible at heat, but last year everything changed. Dont forger that in the final of Miami Nadal is one who got heat stroke and Djole was playing last tie-break like that match just started.
                                                      Indeed but like I stated, Aus heat aint the same as miami heat. The sun scorches down under.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bbr
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-17-10
                                                        • 3900

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by The HOFF
                                                        Tailing on a few. Good luck.
                                                        GL brother!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bbr
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-17-10
                                                          • 3900

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ACoochy
                                                          Bbr glad i saw this. Was already on the Del Potro Over and gonna take the O24.5 on djokovic match also...GL with ur plays
                                                          Nice of ya to pop in, long time no see! Del potro over was set incredibly low! GL on the djoko match.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bbr
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-17-10
                                                            • 3900

                                                            #30
                                                            Eleni Daniilidou +205
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Bbr
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-17-10
                                                              • 3900

                                                              #31
                                                              Complete card for morning action.
                                                              Mannarino/del potro over 30.5 +105
                                                              Mannarino +7.5 +120
                                                              Fish/Muller over 39.5 -105
                                                              Kubot/Almagro over 36.5 -105
                                                              Foretz-Gacon Stephanie+180
                                                              Kai-Chen Chang +125
                                                              Cornet +170

                                                              Jarkko Niemenen +130
                                                              Eleni Daniilidou +205
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bbr
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-17-10
                                                                • 3900

                                                                #32
                                                                Mannarino takes the first set 6-2!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hawley
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-10-10
                                                                  • 14270

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Early plays are shaping up nicely here bro!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Heat doesn't look to be an issue if the forecast is correct. Nothing in the 90s after these first couple of days. Anyone betting against Djokovic on a heat angle ....



                                                                    Good luck with your selections.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Bbr
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-17-10
                                                                      • 3900

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by hawley
                                                                      Early plays are shaping up nicely here bro!
                                                                      They do indeed. Really need the del potro over to hit.
                                                                      Comment
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